Interesting observation from Chennai Age group of active cases.
There is a significant drop in % of active cases between age group of 40-70 years in last 10 days which could be +ve correlated with vaccination. 1/3 @sri50@rameshlaus@sumanthraman@RAKRI1@kprabhdeep@albyjohnV
1)60-69 age group reduced significantly 14.39% to 11.05%
2)50-59 age group reduced 18.50% to 16.71%
3)40-49 age reduced 18.76% to 18.4%
4)70-79 age from 6.9% to 5.2%
This could show positive correlation on Vaccine in reducing the % of age group been affected by Covid.
2/3
On the other side
5) 30-39 age group has highest active case increased from 16.8% to 21.22% 6) 20-29 age increased from 16 to 18% 7) There is increase in 0-9 age group child % cases from 1.16% to 1.8%
Chennai Test positive rate all time high 23.8% today crossed 20% forecasted by model last week. It could cross 25% in 3-4 day. Forecasting model shows TN would cross 1 Lakh active cases in 5 days, Chennai 40K in a week. Public support critical at this moment #StopTheSpread 1/8
Comparing Chennai Wave 1 and Wave 2.
Test positive rate is now all time high 23.8% crossed last year peak of 21% took 45 days to overtake last year peak TPR, and it took 30 days to cross daily new case of last year peak 2393. The curve is still parabolic. 3/8 #COVIDSecondWave
Some facts:
Chennai population density per SqKm is 26,076 people per Sq Km.This is out of proportion compared to other districts avg of 538.Lowest is Erode 276
The Chennai population density is more than all the district population per sq km (19356) Combined #TNCoronaUpdates 2/4
Chennai Sq KM is 178.2 and the largest district is Erode 8161.91 Sq KM.
Population density is most critical factor why Chennai is out growing in Covid +ve cases when compared to rest of TN.
Time to develop other cities like Chennai so there is equal spread of population.
3/4
1) Chennai -On the rise again 2) Ariyalur - downtrend started 3) Chengalpattu - fluctuating and downtrend 4) Coimbatore - steady spiking 5) Cuddalore - on the rise 6) Dharmapuri - on the rise 7) Dindigul - fluctuating and spiking 8) Erode - sharp spiking
9) Krishnagiri - downtrending 10) Madurai - downtrend and stable 11) Nagapattinam - DOWNTRENDING 12) Namakkal - On the rise