Jeff Seldin Profile picture
20 Apr, 17 tweets, 9 min read
"Strategic deterrence ... if that fails, nothing else in the department of Defense works as planned" @US_Stratcom Commander Adm Charles Richard tells Senate Armed Services Committee, warning of danger from nuclear #Russia & #China
#China "at some kind of an inflection point... well ahead of the pace to double their [nuclear] stockpile by the end of the decade" per @US_Stratcom's Adm Charles

"In the very near term China will possess a credible nuclear triad"
"#Russia remains the pacing nuclear threat" warns @US_Stratcom's Adm Charles, saying #Moscow's nuclear modernization is 80% complete, while the US is still at zero
.@US_Stratcom commander warns the US operational margin "at risk of losing credibility in the eyes of our adversaries"

"We could reach a point where no amount of money could mitigate the operational risk we could be facing"

#nukes #China #Russia
More from @US_Stratcom
Cmdr Adm Charles Richard from earlier this year:
#China has more than 400 satellites in space & is building rapidly, including anti-satellite weapons, @US_SpaceCom Commander Gen James Dickinson tells SASC lawmakers

#Russia has 200 satellites in orbit & could double that by 2030, he adds
Nuclear worries - "I cannot deter with the leftovers of the Cold War forever into the future" per @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard

"I need weapon systems that will actually work & will actually make it to the target"
.@US_Stratcom's Adm Richard says his command "repeatedly trying to pull rabbits out of a hat" to keep some nuclear weapon systems going

"We eventually need to get new stuff"
"I'll take all I can get" @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard says of arms control agreements, provided they are verifiable
"We have exhausted the operational margin to delay" @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard says of nuclear modernization

"You're counting now on more & more things having to go right...that is a standard we have never allowed in our history"
No first use for nukes? @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard says "it will diminish" strategic deterrence if adopted and that "it will have no more credibility" than current policies
.@US_SpaceCom tracking on an average day "32,000 pieces of debris, satellites" per Gen. Dickinson
"We were pleased" w/the #NewSTART treaty, per @US_Stratcom Commander, Adm Richard
US nuclear triad - "We don't have a triad day to day" per per @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard "The bombers are not available to us. We chose to take them off alert as a type of peace dividend after the Cold War. So, day to day all you have is basically a diad"
"If you don't have intercontinental ballistic missiles, we can't meet that criteria. You are completely dependent on the submarine leg" per @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard "I've already told the secretary of defense that under those conditions I would request to realert the bombers"
If US loses the ICBM leg of the nuclear triad, "you will have solved a problem that they [#China] can't currently solve right now" per @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard
"If I was to build a list of the top five things the US could do to accelerate #China becoming a strategic peer of ours, number 1 or number 2 on the list is to get rid of our ICBMs" per @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard

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More from @jseldin

20 Apr
Happening now: @CENTCOM Commander Gen Kenneth "Frank" McKenzie, @USAfricaCommand Commander Gen Stephen Townsend & @DeptofDefense Acting UnderSec Amanda Dory testify at the House Armed Services Committee
"In #Afghanistan, our mission has been preventing terrorist groups from using the country to threaten the interests & security of the UnitedStates, our allies & partners" acting Deputy UnderSec Dory tells lawmakers "After 2 decades...we have accomplished that mission"
"We are focused on working closely w/the Afghan gvt & our @NATO allies to responsibly conclude Operation resolute Support in #Afghanistan" per @CENTCOM Commander Gen McKenzie "This is my main effort, at present"
Read 53 tweets
20 Apr
US reaction to reported death of #Chad President Idriss Deby

"We would like to express our condolences to the people of Chad for their loss" per @USAfricaCommand spox Col. Chris Karns "The United States is closely monitoring the rebel incursion in Chad..."
"#Chad plays a vital role in efforts to counter regional transnational threats" per @USAfricaCommand's Col Karns "Chad's ability to contribute to regional security initiatives helps reduce instability in the region"
"We continue to remain encouraged by #Chad|ian participation in regional counter violent extremist
organization efforts such as the Multinational Joint Task Force, G5 #Sahel Joint Force & the United Nations Multidimensional Integrated Stabilization Mission in #Mali" per Col Karns
Read 9 tweets
20 Apr
"Every operational plan in the department and every other capability we possess rests on an assumption that strategic deterrence and in particular nuclear deterrence is holding" per @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard "If that fails, nothing else in the Dep. of Defense works as planned"
US "facing two nuclear capable strategic peer adversaries at the same time, both of whom have to be deterred differently" per @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard "#Chinese & #Russia|n advances are eroding our conventional and strategic deterrence"
"#China in particular, I submit, cannot be considered anymore a lesser included case in this context" per @US_Stratcom's Adm Richard

"In the very near term, China will possess a credible nuclear triad..."
Read 4 tweets
19 Apr
Just in: More than 28% of US military now vaccinated vs #COVID19, per @PentagonPresSec
"We do continue to see that build-up.. we call on #Russia to make their intentions more clear" per @PentagonPresSec "We call on the Russians to cease their provocations"

No comment on EU estimate that Russia has massed 150,000 troops in #Crimea, along #Ukraine border
"In general, we have continue to see this build-up increase...that is concerning to us" per @PentagonPresSec, asked if build-up has plateaued at all
Read 11 tweets
15 Apr
HAPPENING NOW: @POTUS talks #Russia after slapping #Moscow with what US officials described as sweeping sanctions for a variety of malign activities Image
"Earlier this week, I spoke w/President Putin of #Russia about the nature of our relationship" per @POTUS "I was candid & respectful. The conversation was candid & respectful - 2 great powers w/significant responsibility..."
"#Russia|ns & Americans are both proud & patriotic people" per @POTUS "And I believe the Russian ppl, like the American ppl, are invested in the peaceful & secure future of our world"
Read 18 tweets
15 Apr
NEW: "We believe we have the means to keep an eye on any terrorist threats or any sign of #alQaida's resurgence w/out having a persistent footprint on the ground" per @PressSec Jen Psaki
"The threat against the homeland now emanating from #Afghanistan can be kept to a level that can be addressed w/out that persistent footprint" per @PressSec, adding US "will retain significant assets in the region"

CT capabilities also being repositioned to counter any threat
Stable & predictable relationship w/#Russia "has to be our objective" per @PressSec "Obviously, this continues to be a difficult relationship. There are adversarial components..."
Read 5 tweets

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