Thread by @althecat

This 16 day Northern Hemisphere simulation is very trippy, but its also getting very interesting. First of all you can see how much of an impact this very wet and active Atlantic is about to have on the Arctic.

But there are also two cyclones in it.

Actually make that three. Two in the Pacific....

... and one in the Arabian Sea.

These should really be called theoretical cyclones as they are not yet even tropical waves let alone low pressure systems. But they are worth keeping an eye on... and perhaps saying prayers to stop.

Especially this one.

Note that this does not appear as a low pressure system until 264 hours into the forecast (11 days away). When it becomes a "suspect area" i.e. a possible tropical wave, then it will pop up here. metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html

Note also that Cyclones are notoriously difficult to forecast and what models are saying now, before they even exist, is very unlikely to be what happens - if it turns up.

What this does indicate is that the computers think the sea is ripe enough to produce cyclones already.

The Eastern Pacific simulated cyclones - which are not the first - are simulated to appear on May 13th East of the Philippines. And according to the simulation will be guided away from China whilst still a long way from becoming a threat to any populated areas.

FYI @Arab_Storms