I am beginning to think that this sudden climate change business is getting a bit out of hand. Especially as nobody seems to be noticing except those in Yemen and Somalia watching their cars being washed away down the roads and rivers.
The video from Oman is remarkably similar to this one from Somalia - where the Shebelle River has broken its banks due to very heavy rains falling in the Ethiopian Highlands.
Meanwhile across the Middle East there have been extraordinary #ArabianStorm events every day for the past three weeks. Yemeni authorities reported on May 1st that floods there have killed 13 people. apnews.com/article/yemen-…
And Yemen also has footage of cars floating in in the streets....
So it is clear this is not an isolated incident something widespread and huge is going on with the climate. I have been tweeting about the impact of this in Europe over the past week using the hashtag #WestAfricaWaterPlume.
The hashtag refers to one of the proximate causes for all this, a much stronger than usual #WestAfricanMonsoon, which has been so far sent two plumes of water into Europe (April 17 & April 29) disrupting the weather in peculiar ways and making it colder.
I had thought that it might be a freak set of one off events. But it appears not. Which brings me to the image in the OP. This came from a weather simulation on May 3rd. I kept it as to me it looks like Poseidon/Tangaroa/Neptune reclining on America.
I also kept it because it is the beginning of a remarkable simulation of precipitable water movements over the Atlantic Ocean. This one is from the European @ECMWF model. Its 10 days long and at the beginning you see Poseidon poking his left hand into Europe. That happened today.
... and while the outcome is not cars floating down streets, it is noticeable, i.e. yet more endless icy cold Northerly winds in the UK, and flooding in Russia.
Here's a Canadian version of the same forecast data, from the CMC global weather model.
And for good measure, one from the US's @NOAA GFD model, which delivers an even more dramatic presentation of the data - also over a longer period - 16 days - during which there are three cycles of insertion of firehose into Europe's left facing window.
Anyway I really think we all ought to start paying attention to this. Else, before we know it, we may start seeing cars being washed away down our streets.
And in the meantime efforts need to be made to assist those on the front line of all this. I.E @walia_x in Somalia.
/ENDS
Looks like I am about to be hit by a storm.
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This 16 day Northern Hemisphere simulation is very trippy, but its also getting very interesting. First of all you can see how much of an impact this very wet and active Atlantic is about to have on the Arctic.
It is not acceptable for the EU @eaas_eu and the U.S. @StateDept to simply look away from the upcoming imperiled Ethiopian democratic transition due to prejudice and personal views. addisstandard.com/news-joint-int…
The circumstances of what is happening in Ethiopia, and Tigray, make the presence of election observers simultaneously difficult (for the observer missions) and vital.
The decision of the @eaas_eu in the very complex circumstances leading up to this extraordinarily important election smack of hand-wringing and cowardice. I very much doubt that this decision would have been made under the former special representative.
Good morning... is a grey day today. I haz brolly.
Sometimes the sun rises but you don’t see it. I am quite used to this as a Wellingtonian.
It’s set to rain here shortly, which will be very welcome. And possibly photogenic. In the meantime here’s a macro, rapidly zooming out view from above.
The Horn of Africa this morning @NASA worldview, got a great view and more pictures will be included in today's rainfall forecast thread for #Ethiopia#HoA and the #MiddleEast.
Today's forecasts follow.
Here's the first. A view mostly of #Sudan, capturing both the #WhiteNile and #BlueNile as well as part of the Nile below Sudan on its way to Egypt. On the right hand side Lake Tana can be seen through the clouds.
If you look very carefully you may be able to see #GERD.
This view which captures the area below that in the previous image has borders on it to make it easier to see where the abundant green in the firsy image in this thread is located. The rains of the past few weeks appear to be doing God's work in the region.
Reading what is going on with these #AfricanWaterPlumes and their impact on Europe is getting a lot more difficult now. Here's a bunch of informed guesses. Informed by the animation that follows.
While its not immediately obvious the plume on the far right - that has done the work to get everything moving again and break the #BalticFaceoff - is powered by moisture from both the Atlantic and North Africa, merging on the Spanish border with France.
Incredibly #BalticFaceoff - between #UKStorm, now pummeling both UK and NW Europe, and #RussiaStorm - is going into the night unresolved with both storms nearly stationary and dumping shed-loads of rain, and another #AfricanPlume is trying to join the party [look at Italy].
These storms are far from harmless:
- #UKStorm has some wicked wind and is wired into the North Atlantic.
- & While Russia has been quiet about its "Biblical"rain event, they cannot be happy about it.
Meanwhile, if you look at it in its full context it is quite a sight.