Waiting for Lord Frost @DavidGHFrost
to appear in front of @CommonsEU with tensions running high over implementation of Northern Ireland Protocol which Frost now says needs rebooting since it isn't working as UK envisaged. BUT, to be clear.../1

@DavidGHFrost @CommonsEU Frost in his @MailOnline
piece says didn't "anticipate" 'rest of world style checks...BUT.../2

@DavidGHFrost @CommonsEU @MailOnline ...BUT....that is what the Cabinet Office explainer said would happen when the deal was signed in 2019. /3

@DavidGHFrost @CommonsEU @MailOnline Now. All that said, we are where we are and -- as have said -- we definitely need pragmatism on both sides...but I fear it riles the other side (from whom we are demanding pragmatism) if we start from a position they feel denies the facts. ENDS

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More from @pmdfoster

18 May
🚨🚨🇬🇧🇦🇺🦘🥊🚜🐄🐑🇦🇺🇬🇧🚨🚨 Huge UK government split over Australia trade deal via @FT with ⁦@GeorgeWParker
— Tl:dr the buccaneers are battling for soul #brexit. Stay with me. It’s a multi-dimensional play. /1 on.ft.com/3hwXlgE
@FT @GeorgeWParker As we report there is a "ferocious" fight going on in Whitehall over the terms of the Australia - UK trade deal, which is striking at the very heart of the #Brexit debate and what 'Global Britain means'...Truss+Frost v Eustice+Gove with Boris Johnson still to weigh in /2
@FT @GeorgeWParker The fight, in a nutshell is over @trussliz desire to give Australia a 'zero tariff' deal with UK -- like we have with EU -- which will be phased in over time. And she wants this ahead of G7 in June where Oz PM is being invited. That means decision time.../3
Read 15 tweets
17 May
🚨🚨🇬🇧🇪🇺🎤🎸🎹🎶🥁🎸🇪🇺🇬🇧🚨🥁 As Lord Frost says #brexit trade returning to normal, music industry body ⁦@ISM_music⁩ decries first 100 days of Brexit as a “disaster”. Latest via @FT - stay with me /1
@ISM_music @FT So the topline finding by the ISM survey is that 94% of businesses surveyed said that #Brexit had had a negative or very negative impact on them. But why? Well.../2

@ISM_music @FT It's the fours C's

- Carnets
- Cabotage
- Clearances
- Customs

which combine to make if very much harder to do business, tour etc. Much of this has been masked by #COVID19 preventing travel anyway, but not for much longer (we hope). /3
Read 10 tweets
14 May
It's out!! My latest #Brexit Briefing which looks at stormy outlook for Northern Ireland. Not at all clear either EU or UK is prepared to move on big stuff on Protocol... biz confidence is falling, politics getting more strident. Stay with me/1

No need, probably, to rehearse the basic problem, which is that Brexit creates a trade border in the Irish Sea, that Unionists have rejected. That border gets thicker the harder the Brexit becomes over time, the more the UK diverges. The UK now wants to "sandpaper" it down /2
Again, at risk of simplifying, the UK is applying a mix of unilateral 'grace periods' on the full force of checks, and is arguing that digitisation and supply-chain tracking should enable a "pragmatic" approach that sees checks commensurate with actual risk to EU single market /3
Read 13 tweets
10 May
🚨🚨🇬🇧🇪🇺🚛🚛🚛🚛🚛🚛 🇪🇺🇬🇧🚨🚨🚨

Exodus of EU truckers leaves UK hauliers facing acute driver shortages - it’s a story of #COVID19 #Brexit and HMRC tax reforms.

So what now?? Stay with me. /1

First, the problem: this is what Alex Veitch of @LogisticsUKNews and @RHARodMcKenzie of Road Haulage Association call an "acute" shortage of HGV drivers that -- as we open up from #Covid19 -- could be come a "hurricane" of shortages. Why now? /2
@LogisticsUKNews @RHARodMcKenzie Well it's a triple whammy of factors:

1. Brexit/Covid (EU drivers which UK was reliant upon going home)

2. Covid. 28,000 HGV tests missed during lockdown

3. Brexit/Immigration: no legal route to recruit foreign HGV drivers /3
Read 20 tweets
7 May
Q: Cons say big wins coz "we're delivering on the people's priorities" -- but in truth #Covid19 has delayed most delivery, and folk get that, bar the vaccine, which was huge tick.

So Q: come 2024? Do cons need delivery? Or will culture war and a smattering of pork cut it? /1
I don't know the answer to this. Is the success of fueling "a narrative" fuelling the idea that politics is now decoupled from delivery -- i.e it's enough to talk about the "people's priorities" in a bullish way that folk identify with, because they don't actually expect much./2
Because deliver is going to be hard -- fiscal recovery from the pandemic is going to crimp spending if @RishiSunak has his way; #brexit (the big winner) is a drag on industry in Red Wall areas, the NHS has huge backlogs from Covid...i.e there are lots of challenges /3
Read 8 tweets
3 May
🚨🚨🇬🇧🇪🇺🐟🐟🐟⛴⛴🇪🇺🇬🇧🚨🚨NEW: remember how Govt said #brexit would lead to sustainable fishing? Mmmm 🤔 now fishing NGOs accuse govt of reneging on those promises. This doesn’t look good. Stay with me/1

First those pledges. When the Fisheries Bill was tabled in Jan @MPGeorgeEustice and Theresa Villiers promised fishing policies that would be "sustainable", protect our "wonderful blue belt" and based on "*health of our fish stocks* not vested interests"/2

@MPGeorgeEustice But now me and @jimbrunsden learn that in negotiations in Brussels the UK is pushing for "flexibility" to transfer catches of Haddock, Hake, Monkfish from the better-stocked North Sea to the areas West of Scotland - Area VIa in this chart /3
Read 10 tweets

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