#COVID19AB Balanced Scorecard
Sat 5 June
Nothing remarkable in general downward trend of "Old Covid" - Original Wild Strain and B117.
BIG π₯ in "New Covid" of B.1.617 and P1 Variants of Concern.
(see rest of thread)
Sat 5 June
Nothing remarkable in general downward trend of "Old Covid" - Original Wild Strain and B117.
BIG π₯ in "New Covid" of B.1.617 and P1 Variants of Concern.
(see rest of thread)
B.1.617 has exploded and appears to be drastically under screened in May.
β’ β«38 in last day, to 74 in just 4 days of June, vs 51 in all of May.
β’ π₯from 0.4% of variants thru May, to 9.1% so far in June.
β’ Pushing P1 down relatively from 8.8% thru May, to 5.1% so far in June.
β’ β«38 in last day, to 74 in just 4 days of June, vs 51 in all of May.
β’ π₯from 0.4% of variants thru May, to 9.1% so far in June.
β’ Pushing P1 down relatively from 8.8% thru May, to 5.1% so far in June.
I have been warning about B.1.617 undercount in Alberta since early May in increasingly stronger terms. Not an epidemiologist, but I can see issues hidden in stats or spin.
I built my Variant Spreadsheet with cumulative stats, to find hidden problems between any points in time.
I built my Variant Spreadsheet with cumulative stats, to find hidden problems between any points in time.
I know that testing 20K swabs/day, and then having 2400 cases to screen for variants (esp B.1.617) was incredibly difficult on our labs.
But in 2nd half of May, with daily tests & genetic screening down below 1/3rd of lab capacity, staying under <50% sampling is questionable.
But in 2nd half of May, with daily tests & genetic screening down below 1/3rd of lab capacity, staying under <50% sampling is questionable.
A savvy reporter may want to ask:
Overall, 48.2% of May cases were screened for assorted variants. But B.1.617 = only 51 cases out of 12,606 variants identified = 0.4%.
First 4 days in June: 74 cases = 9.1%.
How many cases of #COVID19AB were screened for B.1.617 in May?
Overall, 48.2% of May cases were screened for assorted variants. But B.1.617 = only 51 cases out of 12,606 variants identified = 0.4%.
First 4 days in June: 74 cases = 9.1%.
How many cases of #COVID19AB were screened for B.1.617 in May?
β’ β’ β’
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