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18 Jun, 11 tweets, 5 min read
I couldn’t sleep before I researched this further.

Let’s put to rest the assertion that $USDC is just the new $USDT and just as sketchy at #tether because the monthly attestations by a Top auditor aren’t full audits. This can all be wrong, but think for yourselves:
For every month, without fail, Grant Thornton attests that the USD held by @circlepay for $USDC match the token in circulation. This report is not, as with #tether, an irregular, unclear document. It is very clear.

Check the screenshots.
You got an auditor saying “we attest that we have seen the cash or approved investments” in the value of outstanding token every month (!).

Note that auditor liability increases with value, so yes the 2021 reports have been later in general than in 2020, but that is to be…
… expected when the value goes into 10s of billions and the April attestation happened 38 days after end of month. That is 100% acceptable for any kind of attestation of this magnitude (they actually account for the token as well) and risk to the auditor.
But you may say “Ah, but we do not know what approved investments are” and you are right, I think @circlepay could be A LOT clearer on this point and it should enter into the attestation as well. But its not impossible to find:
$USDC reserves according to its CEO (who is a US, regulated individual) adhere to the Centre Consortium reserve investment policy.
That policy is not simple to find, but it is available. As you can see below, it limits investments to “instruments that are approved by the money transmission statutes of US states”. That one is actually much simpler to look up…
For example, for New York it means practically anything interest bearing (!), traded in the US, rated AAA to A (top 3 rating levels) by a public rating agency for considerable time, as well as bank deposits and bank notes,etc.
So there you have it: according to a top auditor, $USDC is backed by cash and the absolutely highest rated bonds as of 38 days ago.

Anyone in finance accepts this as a cash equivalent. It’s actually backed by more assets than your bank account (though that has gov’t insurance).
Obviously I am human and I can make mistakes. But just like #tether talks like a scam, walks like a scam and acts like a scam, $USDC talks, walks and acts like a regulated US institution. So can we just put this unfounded speculation about their backing to rest? Its unsustainable
Oh and in case you wanted to read a really good piece on #tether s black swan potential, this is it:

Still “cashing out” into $USDT anon?

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More from @dkcrypto13

5 Jun
So a word to the #crypto skeptics and #tether truthers around:

I think it is good to be skeptical and there is literally no person with a brain in the entire industry who truly thinks that $USDT was not used to manipulate prices in 2017 or that it is backed with cash.
Everyone knows it is the biggest tail risk in this space and most people would probably rather it disappears.

However, recently more than before, I notice you guys are taking the high moral ground but you use the exact same “scam” tactics for your own arguments. You repost
articles without fact checking because they fit your bias, then ignore corrections, you don’t care about any use of #crypto because it seems you cannot stand the thought of it not all going to zero. Everything is a scam & everyone a scammer. You may not feel that way,
Read 17 tweets
23 May
#Tether is an unregistered, unsecured debt security.

What does that mean?

"Unregistered debt security": 1 $USDT is a promise by Tether Inc to pay you back $1 should you request it back without interest. It is, funnily enough, not unlike commerical paper.
The way that it was sold (ie promising audits that never came, pretending the assets that "back" it sit in a bank account and playing as if you had any legal claims to those assets) make it a debt security in my view and it should have had a proper prospectus.
"Unsecured": There are no assets that legally back up 1 $USDT. ZERO. You have a company that has no contract with you. They say "we will always 'peg' it to 1 $". They do not explain what this peg means. It is just an internal accounting procedure and you have to take their word.
Read 11 tweets
20 May
Just wanted to make sure you are all aware of the things that could happen to #bitcoin, so you do not need to panic dump on every headline re $BTC:
- #tether could turn out to be an unregistered security, backed by unregistered securities
- tax authorities might add a carbon tax
- more and more countries will outlaw #crypto mining
- the blockchain is a fully tansparent ledger, so as crystal, chainalysis and other ramp up their tools, #dex will block addresses that involved mixing and tax authorities will know absolutely every one of your moves & tax you
- China and India will ban #bitcoin at least 8 more times
- large exchanges like Coinbase or binance will be hacked, maybe even disappear because of regulatory action in some cases
- AWS will go down and #BSC will not be reachable
- Stablecoins will be regulated
Read 4 tweets
20 May
Look guys, everything can always be a scam. But the allegations hurled @circlepay from the #tether skeptics (of which I am one) are a bit too aggressive & too early.

Ever since assets climbed above $3bn, attestations have been later and later. That is reasonable ->
Why? Because an auditor (and this is not an audit, but an auditor attesting to it) has a liability, so while it may be easy for them to attest to $400m, the current $16bn might be might more of a risk. Also $USDC is cross-chain; the larger it gets the more difficult to count ->
And yet, we are STILL within the timing of their last release (its still 8 days before it exceeds that and I'd assume it is natural that it will).

So yes - it could be another #crypto scam. It's possible. But saying a Goldman & Coinbased backed venture
->
Read 4 tweets
15 May
A thought on #bitcoin $BTC

Wanted to put out an article but no time. So I’ll try like this. Within my trading methodology we have left Bull market territory and are now in between. I called that consolidation in my trading article (bit.ly/3yg5bkQ).

What does that mean?
It means that consolidations have started to drift downwards instead of up and while a return to new highs is definitely possible, it is now 50/50 that we enter a full Bear market first. We have established an early pattern of a lower high and a lower low as well.
There are strong fundamental headwinds for $BTC to consider now:

1) Inflation is showing up everywhere and the labor market seems okay in the US. New debt issuance will exceed Fed purchases for the first time in a while soon and the Fed is likely to begin looking at a taper.
Read 17 tweets
15 May
Okay, another thread on #tether.

When they announced their pie chart to the #crypto world, everyone (incl me) was like "Okay, they are backed, great - let's move on".

The thing is - I don't think we can move on actually...
I have written before (cutt.ly/pbZKGiC) the main issue is not that #tether is backed with something these days, but what that backing is and whether that means $USDT should trade as a stablecoin pegged 1-1 to the USD.

Their publication actually means they should not...
Let's look at their breakdown of assets and believe it without a second thought.

You can see that the #tether reserves consist of a grand total of 3.87% in actual cash. All else are instruments that any company might use to park their cash in, however there are some problems...
Read 18 tweets

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