So a word to the #crypto skeptics and #tether truthers around:
I think it is good to be skeptical and there is literally no person with a brain in the entire industry who truly thinks that $USDT was not used to manipulate prices in 2017 or that it is backed with cash.
Everyone knows it is the biggest tail risk in this space and most people would probably rather it disappears.
However, recently more than before, I notice you guys are taking the high moral ground but you use the exact same “scam” tactics for your own arguments. You repost
articles without fact checking because they fit your bias, then ignore corrections, you don’t care about any use of #crypto because it seems you cannot stand the thought of it not all going to zero. Everything is a scam & everyone a scammer. You may not feel that way,
but it is the way your arguments come across. It’s okay by the way, we all do it (including myself). It’s just hard to claim moral high ground each time you use your own fabricated arguments. I catch you once,don’t care. Twice I start doubting you, third time you lose credibility
It’s yours to lose of course so who am I to tell you differently. But it seems that you dislike the practices of scammers in #crypto (of which there are many), so it would be kind of logical to not follow their methods, no?
You want examples? Sure:
- most of you find it entirely impossible that any stablecoin can reach $50bn in value or otherwise it would be inexplicable why you rush to attack $USDC despite them publishing auditor attestations monthly, march report was faster than feb report & it is
entirely normal that auditor opinions take longer with increasing size (because the auditor liability increases, its the same for full business audits, the larger the audit the longer it takes). It does not matter how often you get told this, you just ignore it 🤷🏻♂️
- $BTC energy use is a problem. We can all agree on that. But it is not useless (ask some Venezuelans or Turks about that please), the problem can be addresses and most importantly there are other #cryptos out there that address this issue (like #solana). Plus the fact it is 35%+
renewables is something that should at least not be ignored. I can think of a lot of things free people engage in that wastes more resources and has less use. Let’s be a bit more balanced here as well please. #bitcoin is one of the most decentralized databases we have. That may
not be relevant to you, but it is to a lot of other people who have the same right to this use case as you do.
- you keep equating outlawing #crypto with stopping #ransomware attacks. So basically we should shut off the internet because it enables scams & drug trafficking? If
you spend some time instead looking into chainalysis or crystal crypto tools that are already able to identify any inappropriate uses of coins in a wallet, you might instead see what I see: in a few years #crypto will make tax evasion harder & use of tainted funds more difficult
than any offshore bank account today. You can ignore it, but why would you?
There are numerous other examples and I refrain from adding your handles, but just know: when you argue only one direction, it makes you much,much less credible than when you criticize in a balanced way
I also know I am guilty myself of similar behavior when it comes to other topics. Nobody is perfect. But I try not to assume I am.
Finally, I am not a scammer. I work in #crypto because I believe it can build spectacular uses and I want to be a part of it. I am also a trader,
so assets with high volatility attract me (and I see zero reason by the way why that s a bad thing or the people need to be protected from it; I’d much rather invest in #crypto and be able to make 10x and lose 1x as opposed to other things where I can lose 1x and make 0.2x).
When you ignore any counter arguments and give people like me the feeling you think I am a scammer just because I am a part of a growing industry in which I have (so far) met some truly spectacular individuals, I start ignoring your correct analyses as well. Yes Saylor is nuts,
yes there are thousands of scams in #crypto, yes $USDC could still turn out to be the next #tether, but that is not a given and we aren’t all Michael Saylor just because some of us use laser eyes... Finally here are some uses I like in case u need some: link.medium.com/ckDTaWgSPgb
I cannot stress enough how clear it is to me #tether is a scam that will implode, #ripple dumped unregistered securities on uninformed retail investors or that #binance is part of a #crypto cartel just as dirty as most drug cartels
Does not mean I condemn by industry association
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#Tether is an unregistered, unsecured debt security.
What does that mean?
"Unregistered debt security": 1 $USDT is a promise by Tether Inc to pay you back $1 should you request it back without interest. It is, funnily enough, not unlike commerical paper.
The way that it was sold (ie promising audits that never came, pretending the assets that "back" it sit in a bank account and playing as if you had any legal claims to those assets) make it a debt security in my view and it should have had a proper prospectus.
"Unsecured": There are no assets that legally back up 1 $USDT. ZERO. You have a company that has no contract with you. They say "we will always 'peg' it to 1 $". They do not explain what this peg means. It is just an internal accounting procedure and you have to take their word.
Just wanted to make sure you are all aware of the things that could happen to #bitcoin, so you do not need to panic dump on every headline re $BTC:
- #tether could turn out to be an unregistered security, backed by unregistered securities
- tax authorities might add a carbon tax
- more and more countries will outlaw #crypto mining
- the blockchain is a fully tansparent ledger, so as crystal, chainalysis and other ramp up their tools, #dex will block addresses that involved mixing and tax authorities will know absolutely every one of your moves & tax you
- China and India will ban #bitcoin at least 8 more times
- large exchanges like Coinbase or binance will be hacked, maybe even disappear because of regulatory action in some cases
- AWS will go down and #BSC will not be reachable
- Stablecoins will be regulated
Look guys, everything can always be a scam. But the allegations hurled @circlepay from the #tether skeptics (of which I am one) are a bit too aggressive & too early.
Ever since assets climbed above $3bn, attestations have been later and later. That is reasonable ->
Why? Because an auditor (and this is not an audit, but an auditor attesting to it) has a liability, so while it may be easy for them to attest to $400m, the current $16bn might be might more of a risk. Also $USDC is cross-chain; the larger it gets the more difficult to count ->
And yet, we are STILL within the timing of their last release (its still 8 days before it exceeds that and I'd assume it is natural that it will).
So yes - it could be another #crypto scam. It's possible. But saying a Goldman & Coinbased backed venture
->
Wanted to put out an article but no time. So I’ll try like this. Within my trading methodology we have left Bull market territory and are now in between. I called that consolidation in my trading article (bit.ly/3yg5bkQ).
What does that mean?
It means that consolidations have started to drift downwards instead of up and while a return to new highs is definitely possible, it is now 50/50 that we enter a full Bear market first. We have established an early pattern of a lower high and a lower low as well.
There are strong fundamental headwinds for $BTC to consider now:
1) Inflation is showing up everywhere and the labor market seems okay in the US. New debt issuance will exceed Fed purchases for the first time in a while soon and the Fed is likely to begin looking at a taper.
When they announced their pie chart to the #crypto world, everyone (incl me) was like "Okay, they are backed, great - let's move on".
The thing is - I don't think we can move on actually...
I have written before (cutt.ly/pbZKGiC) the main issue is not that #tether is backed with something these days, but what that backing is and whether that means $USDT should trade as a stablecoin pegged 1-1 to the USD.
Their publication actually means they should not...
Let's look at their breakdown of assets and believe it without a second thought.
You can see that the #tether reserves consist of a grand total of 3.87% in actual cash. All else are instruments that any company might use to park their cash in, however there are some problems...
Just thought of some #crypto personalities:
- @TheCryptoDog: The Warren Buffet of crypto. Always friendly, loves what he buys, finds value, never sells
- @AltcoinPsycho: The Jim Simons of crypto. Quant trading, options, return, but good person.
- @CryptoDonAlt: George Soros of crypto. Will speculate against the crowd, remains a good person with sound advice.
- @SalsaTekila: the Jesse Livermore of Crypto. "Colossal gains and colossal losses" sounds like his twitter feed.
- @woonomic: Ray Dalio of crypto. Best at macro.
- @edwardmorra_btc: William Gann of crypto. Purely technical analysis trading.
This was fun. I am sure there are loads of others out there.