These make for interesting reading:
§7 92% vaccine uptake vs 96% - have to assume this is adult and importantly, for at least a week it has looked like we will top out at around 90%
High instability because w/o vaccinating children, you have reservoir susceptible
1/
§7 92% vaccine uptake vs 96% - have to assume this is adult and importantly, for at least a week it has looked like we will top out at around 90%
High instability because w/o vaccinating children, you have reservoir susceptible
1/
https://twitter.com/CMO_England/status/1414986547196219394
2/
§8 PCR testing capacity is 578k per day and may be exceeded in period of high prevalence lasting until the end of August.
😳
So that is why they are ramping up testing.
Expecting more than 578k tests a day...
§8 PCR testing capacity is 578k per day and may be exceeded in period of high prevalence lasting until the end of August.
😳
So that is why they are ramping up testing.
Expecting more than 578k tests a day...
3/
§9 risk of high prevalence leading to the emergence of new variant explicitly acknowledged.
Through mechanism of high prevalence + high levels of vaccination.
Significant risk to UK + other countries if it happens.
#JohnsonVariant
§9 risk of high prevalence leading to the emergence of new variant explicitly acknowledged.
Through mechanism of high prevalence + high levels of vaccination.
Significant risk to UK + other countries if it happens.
#JohnsonVariant
4/
§10 references §8
Caseload may be high enough to overwhelm sequencing and thereby limit ability to detect new #JohnsonVariant
Which §9 identifies as a global risk...
§10 references §8
Caseload may be high enough to overwhelm sequencing and thereby limit ability to detect new #JohnsonVariant
Which §9 identifies as a global risk...
5/
§11 More than 1,000 hospital admission/day likely.
Even if lower than previous peaks, the number of admissions may become challenging for the NHS (medium confidence).
So much for tackling the backlog @sajidjavid...
🤦♀️
§11 More than 1,000 hospital admission/day likely.
Even if lower than previous peaks, the number of admissions may become challenging for the NHS (medium confidence).
So much for tackling the backlog @sajidjavid...
🤦♀️
6/
§12 Admissions likely to double between any re-introduction of measures and them taking effect...
We're at 550/day at the moment, growing at 50% per week...
@BorisJohnson lied during PMQ when stating link between cases and hospitalisation severed...
§12 Admissions likely to double between any re-introduction of measures and them taking effect...
We're at 550/day at the moment, growing at 50% per week...
@BorisJohnson lied during PMQ when stating link between cases and hospitalisation severed...
7/
§14 Contrary to the narrative, SAGE states further delay to Step 4 could have positive benefit.
(Note - is states as smaller)
§14 Contrary to the narrative, SAGE states further delay to Step 4 could have positive benefit.
(Note - is states as smaller)
8/
§15 High confidence that peek will be lower if more measures to reduce transmission are retained.
@BorisJohnson just chucked the whole lot on the bonfire and this was the response of two of the worst-hit sectors to voluntary measures:
"No, because money"
§15 High confidence that peek will be lower if more measures to reduce transmission are retained.
@BorisJohnson just chucked the whole lot on the bonfire and this was the response of two of the worst-hit sectors to voluntary measures:
"No, because money"
9/
§16 High confidence that working from home, use of 😷, better ventilation would reduce hospitalisation.
@BorisJohnson: Other people's lives are a risk I am willing to take for the economy, which has actually been doing okay recently...
§16 High confidence that working from home, use of 😷, better ventilation would reduce hospitalisation.
@BorisJohnson: Other people's lives are a risk I am willing to take for the economy, which has actually been doing okay recently...
10/
§17 High confidence that isolation is 'particularly important' for reducing transmission.
Importantly, it goes on to say evidence is not yet in for daily testing as an alternative.
Effective TTIS important - so please can we have some?
§17 High confidence that isolation is 'particularly important' for reducing transmission.
Importantly, it goes on to say evidence is not yet in for daily testing as an alternative.
Effective TTIS important - so please can we have some?
11/
§18 Messaging important
@BorisJohnson: You don't need to wear 😷 after 19/7 but you need to. CEV need to stay away from unvaccinated people, who look just like everyone else.
§18 Messaging important
@BorisJohnson: You don't need to wear 😷 after 19/7 but you need to. CEV need to stay away from unvaccinated people, who look just like everyone else.
12/
§19 Disadvantaged groups will continue to be disproportionately impacted by direct and
indirect harms from COVID-19.
@BorisJohnson: And?
businessinsider.com/boris-johnson-…
§19 Disadvantaged groups will continue to be disproportionately impacted by direct and
indirect harms from COVID-19.
@BorisJohnson: And?
businessinsider.com/boris-johnson-…
13/
So all in all, not as spineless as @CMO_England made it sound when he shared a platform with @BorisJohnson and surrendered to #COVID19
But that makes it all the worse...
So all in all, not as spineless as @CMO_England made it sound when he shared a platform with @BorisJohnson and surrendered to #COVID19
But that makes it all the worse...
https://twitter.com/ConcernedofBri1/status/1414874490333327364
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