Or did he just sell his soul for political expediency and end up with the blood of 21,000 victims on his conscience?
No wonder he wept in Parliament.
5/
But today an even more serious question has arisen.
In this afternoon’s statement it was revealed there is a new strain of #Covid_19 accounting for many of the infections in London and the SE.
This strain is thought to spread more quickly than the previous dominant strain.
6/
The Government say it will be a few days to weeks before we know for sure whether the new strain will still be taken down by the vaccine
It is still their policy to sue schools that shut early
Let that sink in because we just showed we learned f🤬k all in round 1 & round 2.
7/
Best case scenario:
Leaving schools open instead of moving online allows a faster spreading variant to spread further thought the community
If it becomes dominant across the country -> more areas in higher tiers and more frequent lockdowns
8/
@BBCFergusWalsh ignores this in his "don’t be unduly alarmed post", continuing @BBCNews streak of doing little other than pumping government propaganda.
Journalism is dead there.
9/
Worst case scenario is we reduce the efficacy of the vaccine, perhaps close to zero, as the fast spreading takes over.
If there is one thing we should have learned by now, after wave 1, after wave 2, is to apply the precautionary principle.
10/
This policy of keeping schools open, just after admitting they are driving COVID19’s spread, even after a new, fast spreading variant emerges comes from someone who has the gall to call himself Health Secretary.
11/
@MattHancock should be referred to as the Secretary of State for Disease henceforth.
He is batting for Team COVID.
(end)
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This is not a pop @NicolaSturgeon any more than @BorisJohnson, but the argument that it's too soon to make comparisons is wearing thin.
UK:
1.6M cases (pop. 67.9M)
85.7 deaths/100k
S. Korea
34k cases (pop. 51.6M)
1.0 deaths/100k
1/
2/
The UK has a death toll that is 86 times that of South Korea and 34% f those deaths happened after 1 June 2020.
Date chose as that's when the first lockdown ended.
3/
Well... Started to end...
Comparing and learning could have started well before then - there were definitely lessons to be learned when our death toll stood at around 40x South Korea's.
Either lazy journalism means the writer missed Y7-11 have the most cases of any age (>2%) or they were trying to create the impression of a problem that is overhyped
Bias
1/
2/
Relatively few is wrong
Look at @ONS data: you see only 6th Form - 24 even come close to 2%
NB: These @ONS demographics seem to carry bias too
.@DogLady2020 I just checked back in on the prediction from 21 days ago & the 7 day average is 200 deaths per day
😖
Third time in a row I have been a bit under (181 yesterday, then we had catch up Monday) but a reasonable prediction for 14/11 is 300 - 400 deaths a day
Previous estimates have been based on the 7 day average of cases reported.
Shifting to 7 day average of cases by swab date gives an expected average of 206 deaths/day today - spookily accurate.
WARNING: We don't know the average yet as swab date lags by c. 4 days
3/
We are on day 57 👆
Looking at another measure - the log of cases reported so far 👇 you can see the orange line (deaths by date of death) is higher than the rolling average reported (blue)
This is because fatalities are rising - but note the last 5 days are unreliable