Thread by @vrsrini

Next in the series on #excessdeaths in India: #Maharashtra. We find that excess deaths were 2.8-4.1 times the official COVID19 toll between April 2020 and May 2021.
thehindu.com/news/national/… (1/n)

The online registrations data showed 6,67,900 & 6,93,800 deaths in 2018 and 2019 : 63.9% & 66.6% of the CRS' (2019) numbers. Plus some 6 districts had inconsistent data in 2018 and 2019. To come up with a clearer "excess deaths" estimate, we omitted them for adjustment (2/n)

If excess deaths were adjusted based on the % availability of data for 2018 & 2019 & re-calculated for the State (without the six omitted districts), the estimate increased to 3,10,727 deaths corresponding to a multiple of 4.1 over the official death toll of 75,877. (3/n)

Excess deaths estimates for various periods for #Maharashtra are here. (4/n)

Here's a cumulative look at State-wise estimates of excess deaths based on data from their respective Civil Registration Systems accessed by @the_hindu & others. If only averages of 2018 & 2019 are taken as a baseline, excess deaths were 6.3 times the official COVID19 toll (5/n)

Here's a district wise look at excess deaths, data availability, multiples and adjusted multiples for #Maharashtra. HT @muradbanaji for helping us doing this exercise. (6/n)

The rural-urban classification is based on @devdatalab's district wise data. HT @VigneshJourno for helping parse this. (7/n)

Data for #Maharashtra was aggregated by @PratapVardhan and online graphs were generated were @i_sumantsen . Watch the space for excess deaths calculations for more States (done so far and more to come) - thehindu.com/specials/coron… (n/n)