SITUATION UPDATE #AFGHANISTAN:
(A thread)

So as of a short while ago, the #Taliban control 24 of 32 regional capital cities and were around 15km south of #Kabul. The #US has begun evacuation of the Embassy in Kabul, moving personnel to Kabul International Airport which...
(1/8)
...is a few miles north of the Embassy.

3,600 US and #UK troops are supposedly deployed to evacuate the remaining American and British citizens along with hundreds of Afghan interpreters who face death at the hands of the #TalibanTerrorists.

US Air Force & RAF flights...
(2/8)
... have been seen on @flightradar24 and @ADSBexchange heading into the region non-stop at a significant rate in the last 48hrs. A mixture of C-5M, C-17A, C-130T, C-130J, KC-135R and KC-10As from the USAF, with A400M and A330-MRTT from the RAF.
(3/8)
This afternoon footage has emerged showing an Mi-17 and Mi-2 helicopters (thanks to @vcdgf555 for the identify) captured by the Taliban in #Herat which we now believe they are flying. This is a limited capability with no spare parts or engineering ability that we know of...
(4/8)
... but a concerning capability nonetheless.

As i stated yesterday, #OSINT analysis believes that #Kabul will be facing a full assault by the Taliban within the next 36hrs - US intelligence yesterday revised their "90 days" down to 72hrs (approx. 56hrs remaining)
(5/8)
In short, the fall of #Afghanistan is imminent. I sincerely hope that the US and UK are able to get all of their people and a good number of the Afghan interpreters out before the #Taliban arrive... but I'm not holding my breath.

Either way, the situation feels a lot...
(6/8)
... like another Saigon. Last-minute evacuation of forces from an enemy that is growing alarmingly stronger by the day...

20 years in #Afghanistan and ultimately #NATO's biggest failure is walking out just when the #Taliban were resurgent. The Afghan people will now...
(7/8)
... likely pay the price for the choices made by #US Presidents and other #NATO leaders... with their blood and their futures.

History will not look favourably on what happens next.
(8/8 - END)

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More from @DefenceGeek

12 Aug
This yesterday from the #US Press Secretary's chat with reporters at the White House regarding #Afghanistan.
Absolutley bewildering attitude to the posibility of a designated terrorist organisation taking total control of a country... (1/6) Image
She also stated:

"Ultimately, the #Afghan National Security Defense Forces have the equipment, numbers, and training to fight back. They have what they need. What they need to determine is if they have the political will to fight back...
(2/6)
...and if they have the ability to unite as a — as leaders to fight back. And that’s really where it stands at this point."

Now to me this stinks of a disregard for the hundreds and thousands of Afghans who have died fighting the #Taliban, especially in the last few weeks
(3/6)
Read 7 tweets

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