1. Is #Evergrande stock suspended news? If you've followed me, you know I've said many times the screenplay on how to restructure is largely already laid out in past restructuring of companies like HNA or Huarong. #HNA Group is turned into a trust to pay to bond holders.
2. How long will it take? Majority of HNA restructuring took about 10 months, with the rest still ongoing. It's broken into 4 pieces with three parts introducing strategic equity investors, with the rest turned into a trust for bond holders.
3. How about the those wealth management products? HNA bankruptcy procedure mentioned that if all law is followed, they are likely so low in debt priority to get nothing. But it gave each person Yuan30k, with the rest going into official pool of debtors. Call it socialism.
4. Again, Chinese news from two days back reemphasized HNA original equity wiped out, even including the government's own original equity by the local Hainan Province SASAC (State Assets Supervision Admin. Comm. )
5. Again, these Chinese company restructuring details are all open news for a year, particularly HNA Group and Huarong. Diversify your portfolio and diversify your news source if by this day you are still surprised on what's happening on #evergrande
1. Better headline: "Will Common Prosperity Make Japan Great Again?" MJGA!😂 We have deep expertise and top indexes on Japanese equity, particularly currency hedging. Below is the list of some under appreciated things of Japanese equity.
2. Underappreciated: If US fiscal/monetary response to the pandemic is large, Japan's is even a larger share of GDP. Lay person language: money money money for the economy.
3. Our colleague reviewed how Warren Buffet's Japanese investment last September has turned out. Following Mr. Buffet, global investors have been putting money there quietly for a while. wisdomtree.com/blog/2021-05-0…
1. A recap on #China electricity shortage, National Development and Reform Commission (#NDRC) that’s at the center of news, and what’s next.
2. Like any sudden shortage, it’s demand, supply, low slack and sudden shock. Due to low price of Coal in 2020 right after Covid, and government's push to reduce overcapacity and carbon emissions, coal inventory was low. China electricity is 70%+ coal power.
3. This September 3rd Moody’s report on coal sector was a 2 weeks early to be noticed. They mention 10 largest producers – all SOEs – accounted for nearly 53% of China's coal production in 2020, while three regions represented 70% of total production moodys.com/research/Moody…
1/6 #ChinaTech#Event#Watch: World Internet Conference 2021 opened in WuZhen, Zhejiang. Generally who's who in gov't and businesses showed up with topics as future themes: AI, Cybersecurity, CyberLaw, Internet Charity/ESG, 5G, Internet+Edu
2/6 Panel 1 Guests on AI
3/6 Panel 2 guests. Notice #Megvii and #Iflytek, both on US sanction lists.
TAIWAN News: Eric Chu wins race for KMT leadership, first time ever with less than 50% vote for party election. Chu has vowed to return the century-old party to power in 2024. taipeitimes.com/News/front/arc…
If US-China conflict escalates, it's going to run through Taiwan and its local politics. A few important dates on Taiwan's political calendar leading up to 2024 election, which is about 10 months ahead of US election cycle.
1/12 A thread on #ANT and how to read #China#PBOC Governor speech on Fintech(#ANT) yesterday. The headline says only FinTech, but Wink Wink, ANT is all over. Get strapped because I will sprinkle some wide guesses and rumors in the end. pbc.gov.cn/goutongjiaoliu…
2/12 My quick take on Fintech (Ant) SINS: 1. Monopoly power 2. Winner takes all 3. Payment system seeping into finance, insurance, small loan and asset mgt. 4. FIN must be separated from Tech, Payment from FIN. 5. Data Security 6. Global Coop on Fintech regulation
3/12 Points 3, 4, 5 has been addressed! I'v written on ANT credit scoring JV+ SASAC take stakes in the three private credit scoring companies. And Alipay has been ordered to be separated from financial services, because FinTech is more Finny than Techy!
1/9 A thread of one potential negative wind for #China#growth next few months: manufacturing firms forced to halt production under energy/environmental constraints 能耗双控. Firms in #Jiangsu asked to stop production. Malls asked to delay opening for 1/2 hour to conserve energy.
2/9 Background: 2060 carbon neutrality goal, National Development and Reform Comm.(#NDRC) sets a staged road map2025/30/35. Each province, two annual hard targets need to meet: total energy usage growth and GDP per unit energy used. (in Chinese) in-en.com/article/html/e…