It should (again) be headline news that #Covid19 is so out of control in the UK.

It is the 3rd time since the start of the Pandemic I've started a thread like this. The last two each ended in an unnecessary 40,000 deaths.

If you think vaccines make this ok.
God help you. Image
To be clear there are no laurels to rest on in the UK as far as vaccines are concerned. The days where the UK could claim to be ahead of Europe on vaccine deployment are long behind us.

You think leaving the EU gave us an advantage? You've missed it meant less honest reporting. Image
Can we argue our exposure to the Delta variant is what's causing our

5 FOLD

number of cases compared to our nearest neighbours?

No, that looks pretty much identical these days. Image
So if we're vaccinated less, have the same Delta rate and many more cases can we rely on the fact that the DEATH rate is lower under the vaccine regime.

Or as Tory MPs told us that we've "broken the link with death"

NO. DEATHS ARE FAR WORSE IN THE UK. 2-3 X EU per citizen rate Image
Am I exaggerating this for political effect.

Maybe I don't actually care about human life, I just care about besmirching the reputation of the good and caring people in power?

Well then presumably our R rate is under control and we're ahead of Europe. They will catch up?

NO Image
Is there Trumpian nonsense about too many tests to mention?

I showed already absolute deaths are worse so if we are testing more we must be testing less accurately?

Exactly what the data show.
UK tests are an unmanaged scatter gun.
Ineffective.
Less predictive than Europe. ImageImage
OK but this is the new vaccinated #COVID19. It's under control, we're not putting pressure on the NHS when we know that flu season is coming, right?

NO, NO AND NO

Hospital cases are the worst in Europe AND people who need hospital after infection is far worse than Europe ImageImage
Maybe the UK has some odd way of reporting #Covid19, it's a difference in the technique, Doctors over report it in the UK? people who would have died anyway are reported as #CoronavirusPandemic deaths?

The way to rule these all out is to look at excess deaths.
UK IS STILL WORSE Image
So what is going on in UK? Why are more innocent people still dying here? Why does our Government have more blood on its hands than any other country in Europe?

Why did reports show #covid19 to be the worst public health failure of all time?

STRINGENCY

What's stringency?... Image
Your toddler is pushing knives into electric sockets, do you stop them?

Is that it? Or do you check where they got the knife? How they climbed there?

Managing a virus is not about one thing (vaccine), it's many things (eg. effective tests, quarantines)

We can track these... Image
People die more in UK for the reason they died more at the start.

Monstrous negligent social mass murderers in charge for whom precautionary principle means lie first, take accountability last

UK is last in the pack for managing this virus carefully
Negligent
Incompetent
Deadly Image
If only it were just Government.
They could be voted out
Charged for crimes.

But remember how I started this thread.

IT SHOULD BE HEADLINE NEWS

How much corruption in our Press if news of massive incremental death is SUPPRESSED?

It's not just Cabinet who must face charges Image

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More from @atatimelikethis

Mar 23, 2023
An excellent summary of the cost of living in Germany vs in the UK.

This has very little to do with the EU. It's about corruption in politics.

One country invests in the long term future of its citizens

The other gives out backhanders, crony contracts and dodgy deals to donors
One thing @skedeschi doesn't cover is a comparison of the two political systems.

Like the UK, Germany is a collection of smaller states working together under a United Federation.

But unlike the UK, each state is fairly represented. In the UK, England gets a 90% block vote.
Lke the UK, Germans value both their local representatives and the ability to choose between various policies offered by political parties.

And both countries have roughly 600 MPs, albeit Germany makes this work with a much larger population

But there the similarities end
Read 50 tweets
Jun 27, 2022
You might conclude there are no data on lab lib overt/covert pacts.

You wonder. Has no one analysed whether to compete?

TLDR you'd be right to ask. And maybe then surprised. The bigger issue is that 75% of #Johnson's seats are due to a huge mess-up on this in 2019
Data follow⬇️
Ok first #TivertonandHoniton #Wakefield

Was it worth lab and lib striking local "non-compete" agreements?

Absolutely.

LSE analysis shows⬇️📈vote share can shift ~5-30% just by not competing. Or this week maybe a darn lot more.

blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpol…
Someone may want to argue lib dems do slightly better.

They do.
But that's because they start far smaller
AND it's easier for marginal voters to settle on centrist.

Also that effect is minor vs the boost labour gets from LD where they need it.

But one more thing...
Read 8 tweets
Jun 27, 2022
Since everyone is talking Criminal Justice today, for obvious reasons, some thoughts below.

Every time Patel plays Gesture Politics, changes sentences, botches laws, adds grounds for appeal, she knows she's making a broken system worse.

Proof of insincerity and/or incompetence?
How does Criminal Justice end up like this?

This man ⬇️ is a victim of another Home Office miscarriage of justice.

His pursuit by Patel is political. And the cost is massive amounts of Court and Barrister time.

Now recall, he is just one of thousands.

I doubt you're a fan of the Government's Rwanda Policy.

But imagine you were. Most likely you wouldn't want it in court, failing to work. You'd want to avoid last minute appeals.

Yet Patel creates exactly those problems. This is how to avoid them ⬇️

Read 6 tweets
May 10, 2022
Whatever faces the UK, it's complex. To prosper we will need these:

Careful, long term thinking
Objectivity in difficult tradeoffs
Honesty, shrewd negotiation
Deep analysis and preparation
Dedicated ruthless planning

Meanwhile it's #Bodger #Johnson's Queens Speech.

Chances? ❌
This dichotomy is just weird:

Take #Brexit.

Imagine, if you can; your passion for extracting the UK from the EU was unpersuaded by any argument to the contrary.

OK.

But did you think doing it was so simple that Slapdash-cover-the-cracks Bodger was the guy to run it?
Out of the blue, we faced a Global #COVID19 Pandemic.

OK,caught a little short with the No 10 leadership. It happens.

But maybe reconsider when you found out he dodged all the scientific briefings at the start to write a book?

You wanted to #Bodger your way through?
Read 8 tweets
Jan 27, 2022
The High Court has found the #HomeOffice guilty of illegal mugging of Asylum Seekers.

It is NOT illegal to flee danger, but the HO wrongly said it was, deciding to steal possessions from victims. That IS illegal.

No one knows where this 2020 policy originated. Some ideas ⬇️ ImageImageImageImage
@pritipatel has constantly and deliberately (unless she's just stupid) lied about the legality of those who flee danger to come to our country.

She also characterised the victims of violence as economic migrants - a number her HO data says is vanishingly small.⬇️ ImageImage
Today is #HolocaustMemorialDay

Lest any of us forget, this was an event, the result of a policy of hate directed toward a marginalised community unable to defend itself by lying positions wishing to rabble rouse and distract a disenchanted set of deceived voters.

Familiar?
Read 4 tweets

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