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10 Dec, 21 tweets, 6 min read
#BREAKING: F-35A winner of #HXhanke program to replace Finnish F/A-18C/D Hornets. #turpo=#säkpol #F35
64 aircraft, weaponry suitable for Finnish scenario, all gate checks passed, budget within framework (including annual costs below set limit of 254 MEUR).
Front fuselage assembly in Finland for Finnish and global fleet.
MoD stresses that all four countries remain valued and important partners, and close cooperation will continue with all in the field of foreign and national security policy. #FISE
Block 4 as delivery standard.
Importance of mission sets in evaluation:
Air superiority 30%
Air to ground/support of ground forces 20%
Support of naval forces 10%
Long-range fires/interdiction 20%
ISR 20%
Note importance placed on long-range precision strike.
MoD don't see this as altering Finland's defence and foreign policy choices, but instead shows continuity and a resolve to take care of our own defence.
#Rafale and #Eurofighter did not pass gate checks! No comment on ranking in evaluation between the other three, besides the fact that F-35 was a "clear" winner.
#Sidekick coming, i.e. making it possible to fly with six AIM-120 #AMRAAM internally. Norwegian brake chute also included.
"Large number of weapons" included in offer played an important role.
LJDAM in 1,000 and 250 kg versions, SDB I/II, JSM, and JASSM-ER included.
Aircraft scored highest or shared highest in all mission sets.
No "major difference" in annual operating cost between bids. Notes that in particular Swiss and Dutch numbers aren't comparable with Finnish due to major differences in calculation principles.
Independent engine maintenance capability coming.
All current bases (including road bases) can take F-35A in all conditions, two main operating bases as currently in use will continue.
755 MEUR weapons bought now, approximately 800 MEUR of weaponry to be acquired later to ensure ramped obsolescence and that deliveries throughout take into account upgrades and developments of new weapons (*cough* AIM-260 *cough*).
Missed to include this little nugget.
NATO AIRCOM weighing in on decision:
Does that make us a Tier One country? 😇😉
Swedish MoD note that they believe they made a solid offer, but that they obviously respect Finnish decision and that Finnish-Swedish defence cooperation is based on common values and interests and will continue as currently. #FISE #HXhanke #turpo=#säkpol regeringen.se/uttalanden/202…

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More from @CorporalFrisk

Corporal Frisk Profile picture
5 Dec
Okay, time for another thread on everyone's favourite topic - the real cost of #F35 and can #Finland afford it in #HXhanke. The reason is that the Norwegian budget and Swiss acquisition costs are out, and they have caused quite a stir. 1/x #turpo=#säkpol
The Swiss number caused quite a stir, including talk about the aircraft having gone up 20% in cost since the decision was made. I don't quite get those figures, but an increase of 17% (5.07 Bn CHF to 5.95 Bn CHF). 2/x vbs.admin.ch/content/vbs-in…
A key detail here is that the exchange rate of USD to CHF has grown somewhat worse for the Swiss since February when the original figures came in, so I get an increase in USD of 13%. Still bad, but not quite on par with the dreaded 20% figure. 3/x
Read 23 tweets
Corporal Frisk Profile picture
3 Dec
The five suspected #terrorists arrested in Finland today (though considering the police has had eyes on them for years we can most probably for all intents and purposes drop "suspected") represent a hardcore version of #accelerationism or #SiegeCulture. Explanatory thread below.
In short, they are inspired by James Mason's ideas that through terror a race war can be kicked off, and then the white state can rise from the ashes. The most (in)famous group to adhere to the theory is likely #AtomwaffenDivision.
Notable is that these organisations often work in small isolated groups without connection to the larger and more visible far-right networks, something which the Finnish police also pointed out.
Read 5 tweets
Corporal Frisk Profile picture
3 Apr
Seems western hunters flying to Africa to shoot rare species is again in the headlines, this time in Sweden. I understand why this makes people upset, however, the situation is more complex than evil wannabe-colonialists wanting zebra heads above their fireplace.
Some of the serious threats to African wildlife (to the extent such generalisations can be done to such a vast continent holding any number of different habitats) include poaching (due to either value of animal products or to protect crops and livestock) and habitat loss.
Obviously, these are driven by local developments, and biodiversity simply isn't as interesting to most people if it means your living wage is directly negatively affected by it (I will argue this is true for most westerners as well).
Read 8 tweets
Corporal Frisk Profile picture
1 Apr
I don't know if there's a real risk for a Russian offensive, or if the movements are just part of the training pattern leading up to #Zapad21. However, this is one of my pet peeves - it's hard to tell an exercise from preparations for war. #turpo=#säkpol corporalfrisk.com/2016/08/13/exe…
"The only thing differentiating war from maneuvers is the last stage on the last day. The concentration of forces and the logistics is the same for both.” Lt.Col. Ben-Porat, AMAN, on lessons from Soviet repression of the Prague Spring (quoted in Rabinovich’s ‘The Yom Kippur War’)
Kofman has written quite a bit on the recent #Russia.n movements, and is certainly correct to preach caution and ask if it is different this time re water crisis and spring being a good for war. However, there's three issues were I question the reasoning:
Read 10 tweets
Corporal Frisk Profile picture
26 Feb
Plan for tomorrow 😎 #NextWarPoland #GMTgames #wargaming #boardgames
Table starting to be set. Have houseruled some of the deployments to slightly better portray the current situation. It's not perfect, but current BAP countries and EFP leads are there.
And then we'll go to two questions: do Russia grab islands? As part of the opening move we can land airborne troops on Bornholm and/or Gotland. This gives better sea control, but obviously tie up valuable forces. In the case of Gotland, it drags Sweden into the war.
Read 35 tweets
Corporal Frisk Profile picture
25 Feb
Norwegian ship engine manufacturer #BergenEngines to be sold to #Transmashholding. Now questions in Norway about what it means that the manufacturer and maintainer for a number of their key defense and coast guards vessels will be owned by oligarks close to Putin. #turpo=#säkpol
Notable that one of the areas where Russia still seriously struggles with covering the suppliers lost due to post-#Crimea embargo is boat and ship propulsion.
One of the solutions has been to buy propulsion solutions sold for "civilian" use or routing them through third parties, but this require companies willing to sell with few questions asked (much of the #exportcontrol in the field hinges on companies doing their due diligence).
Read 4 tweets

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