NEW @CookPolitical: Republicans are still clear favorites in 2022, but there are poised to be perhaps 3-8 *more* Biden-won seats after redistricting than there are now - creating a House map less biased towards the GOP than the past decade's. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
So far, district lines are complete (or awaiting sign-off) in 293 districts, more than two thirds of the House. There are 15 seats that have shifted from GOP-leaning to Dem-leaning @CookPolitical PVIs, and just 9 that have moved the other way. 
This is a positive long-term trade for Dems. However, because Dems *already hold* 11/15 newly Dem-leaning seats, that means only four are pickup opportunities. By contrast, Rs only hold 1/9 newly GOP-leaning seats, giving them twice as many newly ripe targets in 2022.
The far more dramatic effect of redistricting so far: a continued obliteration of swing seats. The number of single-digit Biden/Trump seats has plummeted from 62 to 46 (-26%), and the number of seats decided by less than 5 pts is down from 39 to 23 (-41%).
We're pleased to offer this analysis in front of our paywall. To kick off 2022, @CookPolitical is also offering a free two-week trial subscription, w/ easy cancellation (promo code: STATEOFPLAY122). cookpolitical.com/subscribe
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