1/ How do you BTFD, take profit and not get rekt when #crypto is bearish?
In a bull market, you can take a lighter approach to taking profit (TPing) as TPing too aggressively can be counterproductive.
In a bear market, an aggressive approach works best.
How?
2/ -- NEW BAG: CONSERVATIVE --
On new bags where I take profit conservatively my first objective is to secure initial investment (ii).
To do this I would take half my ii at 50% gain and the other half at 100% (from the start point). Strong resistance is an exception.
3/ -- NEW BAG: CHILL --
On new bags where I'm chill about TPing my first objective is still to secure initial investment (ii).
To do this I would take half my ii at 100% gain and the other half at 200% (from the start point). Strong resistance is an exception.
4/ -- CHILL VS. CONSERVATIVE --
I decide on a bag by bag basis which to use. Generally, I use the conservative approach but if it's a low market cap crypto, or a strong narrative that's pumping, like metaverse in October 2021, I will use the chill approach.
5/ -- BEAR TP --
In a bear trend buying on the way down can be dangerous if you do not take profit aggressively. I've got flak for buying dips in a bear trend but as long as you take profit aggressively the odds of a favourable outcome are higher than doing nothing.
6/ -- BEAR TP cont --
Taking profit in a bear trend is vital because it allows you to average down your position as you buy the dip. Check out my #BFTD thread for a breakdown on dip buying.
7/ -- BEAR TP cont --
Buying dips without taking profit is inefficient. The best way to build a bag in a downtrend is to take profit aggressively and buy the next time price dips. Here is how I do it, many of these were shared on CT/Discord prior to my buying and selling.
8/ -- BUYING A BEAR MARKET --
Bearish trends can turn into a full-blown bear market and rek you if you DCA.
So, in a bear trend, you should only buy good cryptos which you believe will survive a bear market. This is why I'm averaging into $PYR and $UOS.
Be picky!
9/ -- JUST WAIT --
A counterargument is to just wait for congestion to buy. My counter is that sometimes price turns too quickly. I believe my approach has potential for more favourable outcomes.
If things dump too fast my approach will not lead to a favourable outcome.
10/ -- BTC, ETH & MORE BUY LEVELS --
I share my buy levels in my analysis. Like I did with my recent $BTC, $ETH, $UOS, $PYR, $ROSE and $CHMB.
1/ How do you NOT get rekt in a bear trend or a bear market?
We've been in a two-month long bearish trend that could easily turn into a bear market.
I am not saying it will, I am saying it could. Once you accept that reality, you can plan for it.
Here is how?
2/ -- MY EXPERIENCE --
When I offer advice on bear markets someone is quick to point out I am too new. I trade in a team of 3 guys with decades of forex experience who switch to crypto Nov 2017 and saw the worst of the bear market. My plans are based on their experience.
3/ -- NARRATIVES --
There's plenty of profit to be made trading when $BTC is dumping if you choose the right #altcoins. You need to find trending narratives like #defi and #layer1 atm. Even #PlayToEarn is still pumping in the right context, like when it's on a new blockchain.
2/ -- APPROACHES --
I need to make some assumptions here on Jim's trading, sorry if I get anything wrong.
In the below scenario, if consolidation occurs, Jim would outperform me. However, if we get a strong bounce, I leave myself open to a few more favourable outcomes.
3/ -- FAVOURABLE OUTCOMES --
My approach is approach has its roots in game theory. I am trying to give myself the most favourable outcomes so that despite what happens, I end up ahead.
I don't know if this is a bear market or if it's a quick dip before a major run.
1/ I often talk about keeping a high-risk portfolio for blindly apeing into things like my spectacularly bad $KIBA buys.
I'm not a #memecoin trader so when I do buy them I use my high-risk portfolio. This portfolio holds 5% of my total #crypto capital but risk per trader is <1%.
2/ I use this portfolio when I want to be a full-on degen and ape into projects with no research.
The money in my high-risk portfolio is not actually counted towards my total capital.
This means that psychologically I can trade this money without fear of losing it.
3/ For all intents and purposes, my high-risk portfolio is already lost. If I get lucky and make a 100x the money is redistributed into my low and medium risk portfolios.
If I get rugged and lose it all 🤷♀️ it's gone anyway.
3/ -- RESEARCH --
BSC scan and ETH scan are good for checking holders. Replace the contract address in the URL with the token you want, then click the holders tab.