1/ How do you NOT get rekt in a bear trend or a bear market?
We've been in a two-month long bearish trend that could easily turn into a bear market.
I am not saying it will, I am saying it could. Once you accept that reality, you can plan for it.
Here is how?
2/ -- MY EXPERIENCE --
When I offer advice on bear markets someone is quick to point out I am too new. I trade in a team of 3 guys with decades of forex experience who switch to crypto Nov 2017 and saw the worst of the bear market. My plans are based on their experience.
3/ -- NARRATIVES --
There's plenty of profit to be made trading when $BTC is dumping if you choose the right #altcoins. You need to find trending narratives like #defi and #layer1 atm. Even #PlayToEarn is still pumping in the right context, like when it's on a new blockchain.
4/ -- NARRATIVES cont --
Some recent examples are $XFT and $VADER, two #DeFi cryptos that have pumped despite BTC being bearish. $LUMEN is an example of a pumping gaming toke that's on $ONE, a pumping layer 1 blockchain. $FTM and $NEAR are also pumping layer 1s. Right narrative.
5/ -- BTFD --
Buying the dip in a bear trend will get you rekt unless done right. You need to pair dip-buying with aggressive take profits and scaling buys.
You shouldn't buy the dip on shitcoins either. Altcoins need strong teams and narratives to pump in a bear trend.
6/ -- BTFD cont --
You also need to plan your buys out meticulously. Assign a certain % of your portfolio to crypto and plan how much you buy at each support, scaling up as it goes. Combine this with profit-taking on recovery bounces.
7/ -- TAKE PROFIT --
The FOMO on crypto is crazy. So many people refuse to take even partial profit because they think they will miss out on gains.
Protecting your capital is more important than making gains. Without capital, you can never make gains.
8/ -- TAKE PROFIT cont --
If you buy the dip in a bear trend or market, take profit whenever the market gives you a relief bounce. If you don't, you are #NGMI.
9/ -- SEED & STABLE --
If we go into a full-on bear market even strong cryptos won't survive. So get your seed out ASAP to protect your capital and try to hold a big bag of stable in downtrends because they might turn into bear markets.
I have over 60% in stable atm.
10/ -- CONCLUSION --
Don't be a dumbass.
β’ β’ β’
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2/ -- APPROACHES --
I need to make some assumptions here on Jim's trading, sorry if I get anything wrong.
In the below scenario, if consolidation occurs, Jim would outperform me. However, if we get a strong bounce, I leave myself open to a few more favourable outcomes.
3/ -- FAVOURABLE OUTCOMES --
My approach is approach has its roots in game theory. I am trying to give myself the most favourable outcomes so that despite what happens, I end up ahead.
I don't know if this is a bear market or if it's a quick dip before a major run.
1/ I often talk about keeping a high-risk portfolio for blindly apeing into things like my spectacularly bad $KIBA buys.
I'm not a #memecoin trader so when I do buy them I use my high-risk portfolio. This portfolio holds 5% of my total #crypto capital but risk per trader is <1%.
2/ I use this portfolio when I want to be a full-on degen and ape into projects with no research.
The money in my high-risk portfolio is not actually counted towards my total capital.
This means that psychologically I can trade this money without fear of losing it.
3/ For all intents and purposes, my high-risk portfolio is already lost. If I get lucky and make a 100x the money is redistributed into my low and medium risk portfolios.
If I get rugged and lose it all π€·ββοΈ it's gone anyway.
3/ -- RESEARCH --
BSC scan and ETH scan are good for checking holders. Replace the contract address in the URL with the token you want, then click the holders tab.