Thread by @mkeskihe

Feb 2022 update - #Nordic new personnel car registrations #BEV #PHEV #ICE per country 🇳🇴🇸🇪🇫🇮🇳🇱.

BREAKING: 🇳🇴&🇸🇪 12-month BEV% accelerating! Monthly % well above 12-month moving average. 🇫🇮&🇳🇱 slowing down for Jan-Feb 2022, below the trend🙁 1/x

For the 1st time I need to make different linear predictions per country for the middle part of the #BEV s-curve.

According to this 🇳🇴 will reach 100% by Dec 2023! 🇸🇪 will reach 50% early 2024, 🇫🇮 mid 2025 and 🇳🇱 by the end 2025. 2/x

🇳🇴 new personnel car market growth has stopped, but it looks very different to all other markets! This has helped 🇳🇴 car fleet #electrification, >16% is already #BEV. elbil.no/om-elbil/elbil…

#ICE decline is a clear trend for both #diesel & #petrol, in that order. 3/x

🇸🇪 car market is in decline. Current level 74% from the peak in Jun 2018. Will the growth start as in 🇳🇴?

#ICE market % in linear decline. #PHEV market % stalled at 25%, #BEV will soon take over. 4/x

🇫🇮 new car registration is matching 🇸🇪. Current level is also 75% from the peak in Aug 2018.

Linear #ICE decline clearly visible as well. #PHEV market % stalling at 20%. 5/x
5/x

🇳🇱 new car registrations is in recession, #Osborne effect in force. Current level is only 59% from the peak in Aug 2018 (75% 🇸🇪🇫🇮)!

Monthly #BEV% volatile. Peaks in registrations occur in the end of the year. Changes in policies? #Petrol market share higher than #Nordics. 6/x

@threadreaderapp unroll pls