Ted Darling Profile picture
Apr 8 11 tweets 2 min read
Hello Friday!

Week to date

$BTC -5.45%
$EUR -1.5%
$GOLD +0.75%
$USD +1.15%

$CAC -3.35%
$NIKK -2.8%
$COMPQ -2.55%
$KOPSI -1.6%

$GASO -4.2%
$WTIC -3.35%
$COFFEE -1.05%
$PLAT -3.1%
$COPPER +0.25%
$CORN +2.05%
$WHEAT +4.15%
$NATGAS +11.2%

$TNX +27.5 BPS

Let's dig into the 🧮!
After a ↘️ week, Asia closed Friday ↗️

$NIKK 26986 +0.35%
$SSEC 3252 +0.45%
$TWII 17285 +0.6%
$HSI 21857 +0.2%
$KOSPI 2700 +0.15%
$IDX 7210 +1.15% ⬅️

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7478 +0.45%

India ↗️
$BSE 59444 +0.7%
Europe catching a bid ↗️ into the weekend

$DAX 14321 +1.7%
$FTSE 7641 +1.2%
$CAC 6578 +1.8%
$AEX 727 +1.45%
$IBEX 8600 +1.55%
$MIB 24843 +2.2% ⬅️
$SMI 12465 +0.75%
$MOEX 2623 -0.5% 🪆

$VSTOXX 32.53
🇺🇸 futures ↗️

$ES 4522 +0.5%
$NQ 14617 +0.6%
$RTY 2-16 +0.1%

$VIX 21.00
GOLD ↘️ with metals ↗️

$GOLD 1933 -0.25%
$SILVER 24.8 +0.25%
$COPPER 4.757 +1.25%
$PLAT 964 +0.65%
$PALL 2275 +2.35%
$ALI 3449 +1.9%
$ZINC 4268 +1.9%

$GVZ 18.43 🔻
Hydrocarbons ↗️

$WTIC 97.31 +1.35%
$BRENT 101.81 +1.2%
$GASO 3.06 +0.7%
$NATGAS 6.383 +0.4%

$OVX 54.23 🛗
Grains are firm ↗️

$WHEAT 1025 +0.55%
$CORN 756 -0.2%
$SOYB 1653 +0.5%
$SUGAR 19.91 +0.15%

$COFFEE 225.30 -0.35% ☕️
$USD 👊↗️

$USD 99.875 +0.12%
$EUR 1.087 -0.08%
$GBP 1.305 -0.19%
$AUD 0.7465 -0.2%
$USDJPY 124.11 +0.15%
$USDCHF 0.935 +0.12%
$USDCAD 1.259 unch
$USDRUB 75.86 +0.15% 🪆
#cryptocurrencies ↗️

$BTC 43724 +0.45%
$ETH 3291 +2.1%
UST yields are firm ↗️
10/2s to +17 BPS

MOVE 122.67 🔻

2Y 2.516 +0.054
5Y 2.74 +0.049
10Y 2.683 +0.029
30Y 2.687 -0.002

Global 10Ys mostly ↗️
JPN 0.233 -0.006
A decidedly #RiskOn ↗️ start to the day

Lots of ⚠️ ahead with #OPEX, #CPI, short week, and taxes 💲 due post Good Friday ✝️

Stay 💦 and have a super profitable 💰 day and a GREAT weekend!

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More from @tdarling1

Apr 10
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮
Global Macro Review - 4/10/2022

1/11

The 💦🍋 has begun as the #FOMC drains the 👊🥣

And they are coming after YOU dear investor

"'The Fed needs to 'inflict more losses' on the stock market in order to rein in soaring inflation.’”

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/11

Realizing the Fed bid is no more, bonds headed for the ⛰️⛰️

10/2s steepened ↗️ to 18.6 BPS from #inversion the week earlier

MOVE 125.96 🛗🔺

Chart: $TNX with a new cycle high 2.72% - there’s no reason this cannot go to 5-6% Image
3/11

Bond ETFs go 'no bid' as the 🐻🐻 continue to roam

$TLT -5.5% (w) -12.05% (T) = 3 mos
$BNDD -5.45% (w) -2.2% (T)
$LQD -3.2% (w) -9.65% (T)
$HYG -2.1% (w) -6.55% (T)
$TIP -1.2% (w) -3.65% (T)
$IVOL +1.6% (w) -3.75% (T) ⬅️

Chart: Despite #inflation, $TIP no place to hide Image
Read 17 tweets
Apr 6
Hello 🐫 day!

As if the relentless ↗️ in yields was not enough, #Brainard reminded participants that the #FOMC is hell bent on removing the 👊🥣

What 🐫 lurks today?

Let's dig into the 🧮!
🪦 🧹 in China is over and Asia closed ↘️

$NIKK 27350 -1.6%
$SSEC 3284 unch
$TWII 17522 -0.6%
$HSI 22016 -2.15% 🐫
$KOSPI 2735 -0.9%
$IDX 7104 -0.6%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 7490 -0.5%

India ↘️
$BSE 59666 -0.85%
Europe opens ↘️ for a 2nd day 🐫

$DAX 14211 -1.5%
$FTSE 7565 -0.6%
$CAC 6559 -1.3%
$AEX 726 -1.35%
$IBEX 8534 -1.05%
$MIB 24552 -1.65%
$SMI 12326 -0.4%
$MOEX 2668 +0.2% ⬅️🪆

$VSTOXX 29.16 🔺
Read 11 tweets
Apr 5
Hello Tuesday!

$HYG +0.75%
$WTIC +4.05%
$TSLA +5.5%

As call buyers 🍋 the 🩳

Is this deep #Quad4?
Asking for a friend reading a themes deck in the desert

Let's dig into the 🧮!
China closed for Qingming Festival, also known as Tomb Sweeping Day

$NIKK 27788 +0.2%
$SSEC closed
$TWII 17625 -0.4%
$HSI 22502 closed
$KOSPI 2759 +0.05%
$IDX 7148 +0.45%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7528 +0.2%

India ↘️
$BSE 60397 -0.35%
Europe trading ↔️

$DAX 14555 +0.25%
$FTSE 7548 -0.15%
$CAC 6704 -0.4%
$AEX 742 +0.55%
$IBEX 8577 +0.65% ⬅️ 🇪🇸
$MIB 25201 +0.1%
$SMI 12345 +0.05%
$MOEX 2720 -2.4% ⬅️🪆

$VSTOXX 26.73
Read 11 tweets
Apr 4
Hello Monday!

Post #opex
Post #NFP

With #PMIs and 3 Fed speakers beginning with Brainard on Tuesday and Bullard 🦅 on Thursday, today may be the quietest day of the week.

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia started the week 💪↗️

$NIKK 27736 +0.25%
$SSEC 3283 +0.95%
$TWII 17626 -0.4% 🔻
$HSI 22509 +2.15% ⬅️
$KOSPI 2758 +0.65%
$IDX 7116 +0.55%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 7514 +0.25%

India 💪↗️
$BSE 60408 +1.9%
Good move to cover your 🩳
Europe trading ↔️ at the open

$DAX 14397 -0.35%
$FTSE 7554 +0.2%
$CAC 6677 -0.1%
$AEX 732 +0.6%
$IBEX 25127 -0.15%
$MIB 25132 -0.1%
$SMI 12288 +0.9% ⬅️
$MOEX 2773 +0.5% 🪆

$VSTOXX 28.50
Read 11 tweets
Apr 3
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮

Global Macro Review - 04/03/2022

1/13

Why is #Quad4 consensus for Q2?

Because everyone KNOWS that both growth and inflation are “un-comp-able” vs Q2 2021

And right on cue, #Quad4 deflationary signals appeared this week ⚠️
2/13

Important note on trade (t) and Trend (T) this week

t = trade = 1-mo price change is comping against the March 7 commodity peak

T = Trend = 3-mo price change in comping against the #SPX ATH
3/13

The UST curve went from 🥞 to 🙃 as the 2Y ↗️ +18 BPS and the 10Y ↘️ -10 BPS to #inversion -7.2 BPS

Chart: 10/2s curve
Read 21 tweets
Apr 1
Hello Friday at the 1st day of April!
🐰🐰

Since there's no trading allowed on the Fool's 🃏 Day, let's review the month-end and quarter-end 🧮!
🌊 rough seas, for sure, but equity volatility declined into month-end (m) but remained 🛗 for the quarter (q)

$VIX 20.81 -9.34 pts (m), +3.59 puts (q)
The $NIKK +4.88% (m), -3.37% (q) was the best performing developed market

$SPX +3.6% (m), -4.95% (q)
$COMPQ +3.4% (m), -9.1% (q)
$CAC +0.02% (m), -6.9% (q)
$DAX -0.3% (m), -9.25% (q)
$HSI -2.87% (m), -5.7% (q)
$KOSPI +2.15% (m), -7.4% (q)
$SSEC -6.05% (m), -10.65% (q) ⬅️
Read 17 tweets

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