🧵We should stop weapons supply to #Ukraine, cause the more weapons, the longer war and the more casualties! Risky and manipulative argument, used by loyal to #Russia experts and politicians to stop soppier of UA. Here are several counter arguments to that. 1/
Military counter argument. UA army is efficient in repelling massive offensive. RU had to leave Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy and almost all Kharkiv regions. 4 weeks of attacks in Luhansk obl. didn’t bring RU control over main cities, besides of Kreminna. RU occupied there rural areas
Success in repelling RU offensive happened BEFORE massive weapons delivery to UA. Decisions on new massive supplies, including of heavy offensive weapons, started being made on the edge of March-April and continues now.
Once armed much better, UA army is callable of even more efficient counteroffensive operations. Not only in Donbas, but definitely in Kherson, part of Zaporizhzhya. Better armament means not prolongation, but first of all effective short-term counterattacks. #ArmUkraineNow
In fact, the best chance to decrease scope of the war and prevent conflict for many years forward, is to support #Ukraine as massively, as possible, and in the shortest possible time. #ArmUkraineNow
Now humanitarian counter argument. Lack of weapons and defense capacities will bring not a ceasefire, but #WarCrimes and civilians casualties in occupied areas. #BuchaMassacre is what happens, when there is no weapons and UA army has to step back.
No weapons means #occupation. Now none international org-n is able to make #Russia confirm humanitarian corridors, stop #deportation and illegal conscription of UA men to RU army and army of self-proclaimed “L/DPR”. Neither can they influence destiny of deported people in 🇷🇺
And political argument, as the final point. Appeasers of Russia omit the fact, that #Putin isn’t seeking constructive agreement at this stage. He wants the whole South and #Donbas, at least, before a military pause. War is on the stage, when military front is still prevailing

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More from @Mariia_Zolkina

Apr 18
THREAD with quotations of the story about attempts to leave Mariupol. People have to pass dozens of #Russian check-points and filtration camp. For lot of civilians it is road of death. Link to original story will be at the end of THREAD.
“The camp is not a settlement, it's just a column of cars. There were 500 cars in line in front of us, thousands more behind us. Getting out of cars, looking for food, water, going to the toilet was forbidden. Soldiers with weapons went everywhere, threatened, checked” 2/
“Here's how filter camp works: they have a checkpoint. There comes a car, where they check every pocket, trunk, every bag, clothes and what's under it. Men are undressed outside near cars. Soldiers are looking for tattoos, some labels. Looking for "nationalists"” #StopRussia
Read 16 tweets
Apr 16
THREAD. Day 52d since #RussiaInvadedUkraine. How does situation look on the ground? Below find overview on 1)military situation. 2)developments in temporary occupied areas 3) negotiations 4)what to expect ⬇️1/
1)Military situation. #Russia seriously changed its tactics. After failure of RU land operation in the North (#Kyiv, Sumy, Kharkiv) RU is concentrating its efforts in fixing its presence in the South, occupation of whole #Donbas and ensuring land corridor btw Russia and Crimea 2/
Donbas is needed for #Russia for 2 reasons. 1)Ideological: to show success before May,9. If #Putin can’t occupy even Donbas (that is not enough for RU), he is complete looser and propaganda won’t explain it. 2)Military: RU wants to weaken the most efficient part of UA army 3/
Read 17 tweets
Apr 8
THREAD on What’s next between #Russia and West? This is crucial Q-n, directly influencing Western reaction of RU aggression. Declaration, that RU is commenting #WarCrimes doesn’t necessarily mean readiness of the West to reshape and rebuild its relations with RF 1/
Scenario 1. West wants to preserve relations as such, continue business with RU while accusing it for aggression and authoritarianism. It means support to “peace deal” btw #Ukraine and #Russia regardless, whether it will bring strategic security either for UA, or for Europe 2/
In this case, RU will be treated as aggressor, but won’t be economically and politically punished to possible maximum. After “peace deal” or in case of protracted conflict, West will return to “rational” co-existence with RU, meaning “business” cooperation. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Apr 4
🧵RU war crimes, disclosed in towns around Kyiv, is a #genocide of Ukrainians. Accord. to UN “Genocide Convention” (1951), genocide is any of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such: 1/
(a)Killing members of the group; (b) Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group; (c) Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part; 2/
(d) Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group; (e) Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group. After #BuchaMassacre we have seen direct proofs of at least 4 out of 5 possible #genocide acts. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Mar 20
1/ Most impressive from intercepted phone calls btw RU militaries and their wifes/moms: 1) women are excited by marauding catch, directly say to take as much as possible; 2) women hate Ukrainians, perceive them as subhumans and urge to kill and destroy. No compassion
2/ 3)Once RU soldiers are captured and call to ask relatives to make it public, to address authorities to release them, the is pure silence in response. Moms/wifes say “What can I do?”. This is the most impressive. Not to try to save your child, really?!
3/ 4) Lots of curse words. Almost any conversation btw soldiers and their women is 90% consist of curse words. Not just to call Ukrainians, but generally.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 19
Refusal from NATO will be strategic mistake for #Ukraine️. They say that @NATO doesn’t want UA as a member. On the contrary:1) this 🇩🇪 or 🇫🇷 position won’t change without pressure from UA. By refusing we strengthen idea, that RU is to decide about UA-NATO relations 🧵1/
2/Such refusal can’t be temporary and tactical. No one will treat UA seriously, if it decides to return to idea you join NATO later. UA authorities will look as unstable, if change strategic priorities from Constitution easily.
3/Another claim to @NATO like it doesn’t help UA now. Though #Ukraine expected closed sky, more air-defense and anti-missile systems, fighter jets, all other weapons are supplied by NATO member-states. NATO is alliance of countries. If some gover-ts are against, let’s push them
Read 5 tweets

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