Anas Alhajji Profile picture
May 13 15 tweets 5 min read
Short thread on inflation
1- I have been listening to what experts have been saying about inflation & its impact on various parts of the economy in recent weeks. Many think inflation is a modern phenomenon & somehow the FED, fiat money, or capitalism created it. #Inflation
2- Inflation is old.. thousands of years old, when people used all kinds of things as money. Inflation existed even when gold & silver were used as money.
The main reason for my thread today is this:
Anglosaxon experts must read about inflation in other languages & cultures.
3- The quantity theory of money was NOT introduced in Europe in the 17th century as European books claim. It was introduced in Egypt 300 years earlier in a book written by a scholar called: Al-Maqrizi
#Inflation #Money #Egypt #Economics
4- Here is the amazing part that I want you to know:
Yaqub ibn Ibrahim al-Ansari (known as Abu Yusuf) a judge and jurist who lived in 8th century Baghdad, studied inflation & debt and concluded that debt has to be paid in its "real value" not the "nominal value."🔥🔥
5- As many of you know, usury (interest on loans) is banned in Islam (same as in Christianity and Judaism). Abu Yusuf concluded that the increase in the "nominal value" when paying the debt in "real value" under inflation is NOT usury. This is from the 8th-century folks!
6- Abu Yusuf is from the Hanafi school of thought. I saw this first hand as a young boy in a small village:
A man visited an old businessman and told him that over 20 years ago when his father was on his deathbed said:
7- I borrowed money about 40 years ago from XYZ (the father of the businessman), please return the money to him or his children.

Now I am here to pay my father's debt to you since your father died too! the man said.
8- both men realized that with massive inflation over the years, paying the debt in its nominal value doesn't make sense. They decided to go to the highest religious authority in town (Shiekh), who was from the Hanafi school .. one of the main schools in Islam.
9- They explained the matter to him. He wrote on a piece of paper five items that are widely used on daily basis in the village & told the two men to go ask the oldest people in town about the prices of these items when they were young and write them down next to each item.
10- They brought back the list after a few days with prices. The Shiekh asked his son to go to two stores nearby to get the current prices of these items. Now you know what he did: with a simple calculation, he calculated the real value of the debt. The dept was settled.
11- My point here is: Inflation is old even when gold was used as a currency, societies dealt with inflation ramifications long ago. Even in a remote village where most people were uneducated realized what inflation means and how to deal with it.
12- So why do some "experts" & "traders" think inflation is something new? Why do some people think "fiat" money is the problem while inflation existed when gold and silver were used as currencies?

Look: gold is just a stone if you do not believe in its value! #Gold #Inflation
13- One of the most amazing things about the Arabic language is that it is the only language that is widely used today that has not changed much in the last two thousand years.
Arabs can still read books written 1,500 years ago. A wealth of macroeconomics knowledge is out there.
14- According to the majority of Islamic scholars, price controls are prohibited. Prices are set in free markets.
In the 8th century (on the modern-day Syrian coast) people complained about the increase in meat prices. A scholar told them: make it cheaper! Reduce your demand!
15- Even at that time, they realized the difference between cost-push inflation, demand-pull inflation, & the role of the money supply. They also realized the solutions & that government intervention to lower or set prices is wrong.

I hope you benefited from this thread!

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More from @anasalhajji

May 12
Ready for some fun?
On this day, May 11, 2007
The fastest motorized Sofa was recorded and registered in the Guinness Book of World Records
The rear-engined couch was commissioned by sofa .com and built by Auto Trader TV show presenter Edd China.
see videos below
#Cars #Fun
Guinness World Records Day 2008 - Edd China Drives The Fastest Bed
Read 4 tweets
May 11
Thread of news items related to #NOPEC
#OPEC #OOTT #COM #Oil
1- Trump calls on Russia and Saudi Arabia to cut oil production
politico.com/news/2020/04/0…
2- Trump told Saudi: Cut oil supply or lose U.S. military support - sources
reuters.com/article/us-glo…
3- OPEC and allies’ oil production cut is Trump’s ‘biggest and most complex’ deal ever: Dan Yergin

cnbc.com/2020/04/13/ope…
Read 6 tweets
Apr 1
سلسلة تغريدات تتعلق بوقف أوبك الاعتماد على بيانات وكالة الطاقة الدولية، وهي من مقال نشر في 29 سبتمبر، 2009، في جريدة الاقتصادية السعودية:
1- ماحصل أمس كان يجب أن يحصل منذ سنوات طويلة.. لأن بيانات وتوقعات الوكالة كانت خاطئة، مجيّرة، وعلميا غير مقبولة.
#النفط #أوبك
2- نجح الغرب في منهجة بعض الكتابات حتى اكتسبت الصفة الأكاديمية والعلمية, رغم أنها كتابات تفتقر إلى أصول البحث العلمي. لقد استطاع الغرب أكدمة العداء للعالم العربي من خلال هذه الكتابات، لدرجة أن رسائل الدكتوراة التي يكتبها الطلاب العرب في الجامعات الغربية أصبحت ''من فمك أدينك''!
3- أما مؤتمرات النفط الخليجية التي عقدت في الأعوام الماضية في العواصم الخليجية فقد أصبحت مجالاً للتندر لأنها تعقد في عقر دار الدول النفطية وتتبنى آراء وكالة الطاقة الدولية والدول الغربية وأغلب متحدثيها من مؤصلي الفكر الغربي المعادي للعرب!
Read 7 tweets
Feb 25
Thread on the effects of the #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine on global energy markets
1- Will oil prices continue to rise? Will they remain high? Will they decline? The answer depends on the types of additional sanctions that might be imposed in the coming g days by the US & EU. Image
2- This raises another question: what can the Biden's & EU governments do? The answer consists of two parts. The first relates to the ineffectiveness of sanctions. The second relates to the dependence of the US & Europe on Russian energy sources & other materials such as pig iron
3- The main objective of economic sanctions is to force the opponent to change his/her position on something. The academic literature shows that sanctions in the last 120, although painful, failed to achieve their “declared” goals. #OOTT #Russia
Read 22 tweets
Feb 7
Thread
1
- US imposed sanctions on Iran & Venezuela
- Iran is sending diluent & gasoline to Venezuela
- Venezuela's crude exports increased
- The Biden Administration is turning the blind eye to keep Iran at the table, so it has to turn the blind eye to Venezuela's exports #OOTT
2- But once sanctions are lifted, why would Iran send its condensates to Venezuela when it can make more money in Asia? So... will the increase in Iranian oil exports be just a replacement for Venezuelan oil exports? Therefore, no impact on the market?
#Oil #OOTT
3- In light of the possible Russian invasion of #Ukraine, the Biden administration needs both Iran & Venezuelan oil. Will it lift the embargo on Venezuela? What is the pretext? Chevron's proposal to get oil for the debt is not made in isolation. It could be coordinated. #Iran
Read 5 tweets
Jan 31
Thread on #OPEC meeting #OOTT
1- This forthcoming OPEC+ meeting on Wednesday is going to be held under the biggest political crisis since OPEC+ has been initiated.
The optimal outcome is a short meeting where they stick to the plan unless Russia wants to increase production.
2- If it was not for the Russian-Ukrain issue, one would argue for an increase in the group's ceiling, which ultimately means higher production by those who can increase production. In a sense, it legitimizes these increases.
But that comes with a risk of angering some members
3- The increase can be justified by curbing a sharp rise in oil prices. Saudis can also justify adding the voluntary cuts that they made in the past. After all, the planned increases were eliminated or reduced in the past, now they can use the same logic, but in reverse. #OOTT
Read 8 tweets

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