Kharkiv Axis - The Battle for Kharkiv City is effectively over. #Ukraine has defeated #Russian forces and driven them far enough away from the city that there is no longer an imminent threat to the city or its occupants. The battle lasted from February 24 - May 11.
From February 24 - May 11 the city was under the constant threat of cannon artillery shelling and assaults from #Russian troops on the outskirts of the city. Several RUAF assaults breached the perimeter of the city, but each time they were expelled. themoscowtimes.com/2022/03/02/rus…
#Russia then took positions 5-10km away and began to pound the #Ukrainian forces inside with cannon/rocket artillery. For weeks the residents of #Kharkiv were told to remain inside bomb shelters at all times, with many residents moving into the subway. washingtonpost.com/world/2022/03/…
However, eventually those troops around #Kharkiv were pulled away from this axis for other higher priority fronts. Eventually, #Ukraine mounted a slow creeping counteroffensive to assault occupied towns or capture those villages abandoned by #RUAF. pbs.org/newshour/show/…
In some places, #Russian rearguard put up stiff resistance to protect supply lines and the withdrawal of other units. As more units retrograded, these rearguard units, mostly made up of Russian proxies, have also started to move N and out of #Ukraine.
As #RUAF continues to move N they have slowly shifted targeting away from #Kharkiv city and instead are now focused on attacking the pursuing #Ukrainians. On May 11, 2022, there were no attacks on Kharkiv, marking the end of the battle for the city. npr.org/2022/05/13/109…
This does not mean that the Battle for #Kharkiv Oblast is over. #Russian forces are likely to hold/defend areas to the E of the Donets River to protect supply lines to #Izyum & other defensible areas, but they won't be in a position to threaten the city. france24.com/en/live-news/2…
It also does not preclude a Second Battle of #Kharkiv either, as #Russia appears to be settling in for a long and drawn out conflict. However, if there is a new battle for the city it will be the second one, with the victor of the first being #Ukraine. nytimes.com/2022/05/10/bri…

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More from @AggregateOsint

May 12
#Rubizhne Update - #Russian forces completed the capture of Rubizhne today by capturing the town of Vojevodivka and forcing the remaining #Ukrainian troops to withdraw from the SE corner of the city. RUAF is now in the outskirts of #Severodonetsk. Video confirmation in next post, Image
#Russian forces posted this video today that shows them at the SE border of #Rubizhne and entering into the Zarya Factory. They appear to be cautious in their movements but no fighting is taking place nearby. Geolocation in next tweet.
The previous video has been geolocated to 48.9976052, 38.3872177 on the SE corner of #Rubizhne, #Ukraine. The below pictures show the location of 1 part of the video shot by the #Russians. Photo 1 shows a wide shot, while Photo 2 provides enough detail to identify the buildings. ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Apr 28
#Moldova - Today the Moldovan President Maia Sandu acknowledged that the #Moldovan military was not combat ready. She said, ""For 30 years, the Moldovan army has been left without equipment, without military equipment and combat-ready means. Now we are aware of the consequences,"
The #Moldovan military is one of the smallest in the region with only 6,000 active soldiers and 58,000 reservists. The Armed Forces of #Moldova had an annual budget of $43 Million or just 0.37% of GDP in 2020. Unlike #Ukraine, whose military budget $5.94 billion or 4% of GDP.
In addition, #Moldova has a strict neutrality clause in its constitution that does not allow the deployment of armed forces of other states on its territory. This means any sort of defensive alliance would be unconstitutional. Because of this, Moldova has no plans to join #NATO.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 27
New explosions reported inside #Russia. Residents of the city of #Voronezh 🇷🇺 reported 2 loud explosions overnight. Both explosions occurred in the Shilovo district SW of the city. Voronezh is 170km from the 🇷🇺 controlled #Ukraine border and 250km from the 🇺🇦 controlled border.
#Russian residents now reporting that the explosions in #Voronezh were 🇷🇺 air defense shooting down and unknown object. Video from the city shows a white contrail with what appears to be an impact point of an anti-air projectile. If we find out more it will be posted here.
#Russian owned RIA now claiming that a small reconnaissance drone was shot down over #Voronezh, #Russia. This claim was made by the regional governor. No video of photographic proof has been provided yet.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 27
An ammunition depot in the #Russian village of Staraya Nelidovka exploded overnight. According to the Belgorod governor at 3:35am local, residents heard an explosion followed by 3 more shortly after. The town where this took place is around 15km from the #Ukrainian border.
There has been a series of these unexplained explosions in #Russia since the beginning of the #UkraineRussiaWar. They have typically involved logistics, oil or ammo depots that are essential to the 🇷🇺 war machine. They have also typically been relatively close to the border w 🇺🇦.
Just released video from the ammo depot that exploded in Staraya Nelidovka, #Russia shows secondary explosions and munitions launching away from the site as the fire continues to burn. There is still no confirmed cause for the explosion. There are no known civilian casualties.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 26
#Izyum Axis & ISW Map Update - Intense fighting continues to the south, west and east of Izyum. #Russian forces continue to drive S in an attempt to cut off logistics (Road/Rail) routes to #Sloviansk & #Kramatorsk. They are 10km from a critical rail (yellow arrow) S of Kurul’ka.
West of #Izyum intense fighting in the town of #Zavodye led to the #Russians being repelled. 🇷🇺 got as far as the middle of the town but has now been pushed out completely. A #Ukrainian Captain in the middle of the town shows a burning BMP-2. Geolocation & map in next tweet.
Geolocation of previous video courtesy of @GeoConfirmed. Also map of #Zavodye.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 26
#Kherson Axis & ISW Map Update - #Kherson front lines are fluid at the moment w villages changing hands rapidly. #Ukraine captured Blahodatne, Kyselivka & Klapaya. #Russia counterattacked and now contests Klapaya. This assault puts Kherson city within 10km of UAF artillery.
To the west of #Kherson, #Russia attacked and captured the town of Oleksandrivka from #Ukraine troops holding it. 🇺🇦 suffered many casualties in the fighting. 🇷🇺 had been trying to seize the town for weeks. The status of the Solonets crossing is unknown.
#Ukraine GenStaff claimed that #Russia had ordered all the residents of Velyka Oleksandrivka to evacuate the city by April 28 or else they will be forcibly removed. The reason for the evacuation or the potential evacuation sites are unknown.
Read 6 tweets

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