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Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
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May 18 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
The best part of #SOFIC is always the capability demonstration 😎

#SOF #SOFIC2022
#SOFIC2022
#SOFIC2022
#SOFIC2022

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More from @JJSchroden

Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
May 19
Yesterday @SIGARHQ posted an interim version of its report titled "Collapse of the Afghan National Defense and Security Forces: An Assessment of the Factors That Led to Its Demise"

In this thread, I'll summarize the report's main findings & offer some thoughts. 1/n
@SIGARHQ (You can find the full version of the interim report here: sigar.mil/pdf/evaluation…) 2/n
@SIGARHQ First, on scoping: @SIGARHQ was directed by Congress to "examine the factors that contributed to the #ANDSF’s collapse, including the underlying factors over the past 20 years that resulted in the underdevelopment of ANDSF military and police capabilities" 3/n
Read 23 tweets
Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
Mar 12
A question it seems everyone is asking these days: “Why has #Russia’s military been so ineffective in #Ukraine?”

Some answers in this THREAD. 1/n
(In case you’re wondering what qualifications I have to address this question—I teach a course on military power & effectiveness @ElliottSchoolGW. Also, this thread was inspired by @RisaBrooks12 excellent thread on her own work on this topic: ) 2/n
@ElliottSchoolGW @RisaBrooks12 There are *many* factors that play into whether a military is effective or not, as I’ve shown in what I call the “Grand Unified Framework of Mil Effectiveness.” The most commonly considered of these are the quantitative factors: people (size) & resources ($, materiel, time). 3/n
Read 25 tweets
Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
Nov 3, 2021
I was asked this morning what kind of threat #ISIS-Khorasan poses to the #Taliban: Existential? Nuisance? Something in between? Some thoughts in this THREAD. 1/n
First, @AmiraJadoon can correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe the current attack numbers from #ISIS in #Afghanistan represent a slight uptick since the #Taliban took over, but are still well below the group’s peak a few years back. 2/n
The attention being given to #ISIS-K is thus less b/c they’re an immediate large threat, but more b/c: a) the US intel community assessed them to potentially be able to threaten the US in 6-12 mos (per @ColinKahl testimony) & b) they’re the last challenger to the #Taliban 3/n
Read 9 tweets
Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
Oct 14, 2021
HOT OFF THE PRESSES! My team @CNA_org just finished a pair of reports looking at the #psychology of #disinformation. We sought to answer two main Qs: 1) How does disinfo work on your brain? 2) What, if anything, can #DOD do about it? Summary findings in this THREAD. 1/n
@CNA_org The first report answers the first question: How does #disinformation work on your brain?

You can find the full version of the report here: cna.org/CNA_files/PDF/… 2/n
@CNA_org We identified four key psychological principles related to the absorption & spread of #disinformation: initial information processing; cognitive dissonance; the influence of groups, beliefs, & novelty; and the role of emotions & arousal. How do these work? 3/n
Read 31 tweets
Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
Oct 12, 2021
Remarks on #Afghanistan from @PentagonPresSec's #DOD presser today in this THREAD. 1/n defense.gov/News/Transcrip…
QUESTION: On #Afghanistan, is there been a decision yet on providing financial compensation of families of those civilians killed in the August 29th strike?

MR. KIRBY: I don't have an update for you on that today. 2/n
Q: Does the secretary owe Congress an update on over the horizon planning for #Afghanistan?

MR. KIRBY: I think what the secretary made clear in his sessions a week or so ago was that we would certainly communicate with Congress to the degree that they need more information...3/n
Read 13 tweets
Dr. Jonathan Schroden Profile picture
Oct 12, 2021
JUST OUT! My team @CNA_org just completed a quick-look project – led by Alex Powell – looking at lessons from historical examples of #maritime #sabotage for #StrategicCompetition. I’ll summarize some key findings & implications in this THREAD. 1/n
@CNA_org (You can find the full report on the @CNA_org website here: cna.org/CNA_files/PDF/…) 2/n Image
@CNA_org The impetus for this study was discussions w/various #SOF entities as well as the call for work in this area by the Joint Special Operations University in its 2021 “Special Operations Research Topics” guide: jsou.libguides.com/ld.php?content… 3/n
Read 16 tweets

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