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May 31 • 9 tweets • 6 min read
Thread: 31 May 2022: Day 97 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Alas, we will not get a #Russia-#China war
Interesting on the likely relative rise of #Russia's industrial espionage in #Japan, when compared to #China, because of the sanctions the Japanese have placed on Russia. In absolute terms, the Chinese espionage is still massive, of course.
Not humiliating Germany in 1919 and forcing her people to understand they were beaten - making the army surrender in the field, occupying German cities and staging victory parades - is what created the environment where Germans were prepared to try again
#Putin's government continuing to create problems for #Russians
Tim Hayward really is one of the most awful people. Why he was ever hired is the scandal.
Gotta hear both sides
The President of #Slovakia, Zuzana Čaputovà, met in Kiev with #Ukraine's President Zelensky.
Really interesting webinar on the global fallout of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine, inc the potential global food crisis and impact on security (especially in the Middle East) after the Russian military has been revealed as hollow. With @DBDesRoches et al.

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More from @KyleWOrton

Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jun 1
Thread: 1 June 2022: Day 98 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Kalush Orchestra, the rap-folk band that won Eurovision for #Ukraine, has sold the Eurovision trophy at auction for $900,000 in order to buy drones (the PD-2 unmanned aerial system) for the country's war effort against the #Russian invaders. nypost.com/2022/05/30/eur…
Vladimir Shamanov on the "superiority" of #Russia's army; intentions with Poland, Baltics, Romania; taking 5 to 10 years to fully demilitarized and denazify #Ukraine, leveling the country if need be and trying its officials and journalists at a "Nuremberg"
Read 60 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
May 30
Thread: 30 May 2022: Day 96 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Great piece on the #KGB's reconstitution in #Russia in all-but name since the end of the Cold War, and the way this paradigm of a "counterintelligence state" undid #Putin in #Ukraine against Western intelligence systems that have absorbed new techniques. rusi.org/explore-our-re…
Offsetting the hysteria since 2016 about #Russia's government and watching the obvious failures in #Ukraine has led to some bias for the incompetence explanation over malevolence. But the malevolence really is there, much of it aimed at Russians.
Read 45 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
May 29
Thread: 28 May 2022: Day 94 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
One of #Australia's heroic citizens
Something for those who insist #Russia has narrowly limited aims in the Donbas and Ukraine
Read 11 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
May 28
Thread: 27 May 2022: Day 93 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
The faction of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church that had remained under the Moscow patriarchate severed those links on 27 May since Russian Orthodox Patriarch Kirill failed to condemn the "aggression" and had no "words for the suffering Ukrainian people". news.yahoo.com/russia-pounds-…
#Britain's intelligence report says #Russia has probably captured Lyman in the Donetsk Oblast and with it rail links and a better chance of crossing the river, though the focus likely to be 25 miles to the east around Severodonetsk in the coming days.
Read 15 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
May 26
Mark Lane, who wrote the first of the Kennedy assassination conspiracy theory books, was in contact with the KGB, through an officer at the UN delegation, Boris Orekhov. The CIA was told of this by an informant (SHAMROCK) in the KGB itself. eu.usatoday.com/story/news/pol…
This occurred in a context where the CIA counterintelligence chief James Angleton thought, encouraged in this belief by Anatoly Golitsyn, that a lot of the Soviet defectors and sources were dangles, including SHAMROCK and (most (in)famously) Yuri Nosenko.
The Nosenko case remains very interesting. The CIA came to believe he was a genuine defector - and Angleton's "mishandling" of him was the proximate cause of his downfall at the Agency - and the KGB files are suggestive along the same lines. BUT ...
Read 7 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
May 25
Thread: 25 May 2022: Day 91 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Head of RT, Margarita Simonyan, says "Either this [war in #Ukraine] ends badly for all humanity, or we win. There's no third option." #Russians to celebrate this "brave new world" where their children can't study in the West: "you ought to be rejoicing".
Difficult to feel sorry for Yevgeny Primakov, but heading up a "Russian soft power" organisation is a tough gig right now
Read 42 tweets

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