2/8 Q: OK but moving the SL in profit you don't have same RR.
A: Let's extrapolate, from 500 trades if I manage to have SL in profit for 400 of them & 100 closed on usual SL with RR 1/2.5 you think is a good ratio?
This is my "edge" & I'll capitalize on it while minimizing loses
3/8 What happened with the initial $BNB short:
After the trade went ITM (in the money) I placed the StopLoss in profit and on yesterday's better than expected #CPI print it was closed.
I almost never trade on high volatility news, so I waited for the dust to settle.
4/8 Opened a new $BNB short position:
I know, I know #ETH Goerli merge was successful lots of people are ultra bullish on #alts now, but I don't trade what I want to see, I trade what I see.
Trade: $BNB short
Entry: $332,15
SL: $339 (above 25th of May highs)
TP: $316
5/8 New $BNB short technical explanation:
#BNBUSDT : On H4 it printed a "rising wedge" pattern. YES, yesterday we had high volumes but they were not consistent and now it looks more like a fakeout.
If buyers fail to defend $330 as support then $318 can be tested.
6/8 #BNBBTC :As mentioned previously although it is in Price Discovery a retrace to the previous ATH is to be expected.
Here even more than vs USDT, the price action already confirmed the rising wedge breakout to the downside. If buyers don't defend 0.01345 more downside follows.
7/8 A much more safer trade would be to "let the price come to us" meaning a retrace towards $320 breaking the lower trend line of the wedge and entering at retest (around $325) with SL at $331 and TP $310.
8/8 Part of my #trading strategy is recognizing my strengths (one of it is my "edge") but also my weaknesses.
I respect my strategy & remember that money is made at the exit not the entry.
Stay safe, green trades !
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All eyes where on the CPI, Core CPI and PPI reports this week. The slowdown in inflation is actually a confirmation that FED's demand destruction program starts to be felt by markets.
2/16 The 10YUS bonds are retesting now the "Neckline" of the daily Head&Shoulders. If buyers manage to push the price beyond 2.9% and close above it on a weekly closing basis, it means that the breakout was a fakeout and that might put a break to the RiskOn assets rally.
4/16 Continuing my idea from the last analysis, DXY looks toppy on monthly and it confirmed my fakeout theory. I still want to see more confirmation, meaning a clear weekly close under 105, but for now RiskOn assets are happy with this weaker DXY.
Waited for the dust to settle after FED Chair Powell speech. SP500 had an intraday decline of 1.25% when J.Powell said that they will use 50bps rate hike starting May if needed.
2/12 The effects were minimal and the traders bought back late into the session managing to put SP500 only on a -0.25% day. This continuation of the trend after the breakout from the channel, enforces the idea that a current bottom in stock might be in.
3/12 Don't know about others, but I wouldn't want to short this monster weekly candle. Although Bitcoin is lagging and didn't caught up with SP500, this doesn't come as any surprise because the 42k area is a major resistance + turning point since January 2021.
The DXY continued its move lower, broke the Neckline from the DoubleTop pattern but bounced from 97.710 area and failed to print a new LowerLow.
2/13 DXY had a strong rejection from the 99.2 area and closed the week red. The "Double Top" is an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that forms after an asset reaches a high price two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs.
3/13 We didn't have the last confirmation from the Price Action, meaning that the price went under the Neckline, but failed to close daily under it. The bounce was decent on lower timeframe, so I'm really curious to see if the DXY will continue lower and the reversal next week.
#Bitcoin and the whole crypto market passed yesterday another important pressure test. The FED Reserve raised the rates with 25bps. As expected and as we discussed previously, the effects were minimal on risk-ON assets.
2/12 DXY printed in the last 2 weeks a DoubleTop W pattern, which is a bearish reversal pattern. Not even the FED raising the rates couldn't help the DXY push above the monthly resistance at 99.4 region.
3/12 However we still need DXY to close 2-3 days under 98 to confirm this downtrend, expose 96 region and trigger a rally from RiskON assets such as SP500, Bitcoin and $EGLD. Any bounce from DXY and a daily close above 99 would invalidate this pattern.
1/4 De maine revenim la #analiza pentru ca in contextul actual nimeni nu poate sa stie directia instrumentelor financiare inaintea deciziei FED.
Mai jos un comentariu de acum ceva timp de pe grupul EGLD-trader: t.me/ElrondTrader_RO
2/4 Acum 2 luni se vorbea pe Twitter ca @federalreserve o sa majoreze dobanda cu 100bps(1%). Va spuneam de atunci ca sunt slabe sanse sa vedem asta si ca am vazut “dansul” asta al FED si in alti ani.
Acum o luna au redus asteptarile la 50bps, iar recent la 25bps deci 0,25% 🤦🏻♂️.
3/4 In contextul actual macroeconomic si geopolitic, FED au motive sa zica pas in Martie sau sa majoreze cu maxim 25bps. Efectul probabil o sa fie minim pentru ca majoritatea traderilor si bancilor mari de investitii vad aceste majorari “priced in” adica deja asimilate de pret.
Am intrat pe ultima suta de metri cu vanzarea colectiei #ParadigmShift asa ca pana la extragerea celor 25 de premii vreau sa va mai dezvalui o supriza pe care v-am pregatit-o:
Toti cumparatorii intra automat in tragerea la sorti pentru un loc pe WL de 50 de locuri al unei noi colectii de NFTuri din ecosistemul #Elrond .
Colectia va avea cel mai mare reward pool de pana acum din toate colectiile #Elrond .
Colectia #ParadigmShift este SOLD OUT 🔥🥳!
Astazi in a2a parte a zilei o sa aiba loc extragerea pentru primele 25 de premii, iar maine pentru cele 50 de locuri din whitelist.
Va multumesc tuturor si abia astept sa ne vedem la podgoriile @VinulGramma 🍷.