ECFR Profile picture
Sep 9, 2022 6 tweets 5 min read Read on X
#Russia’s war on #Ukraine is likely to last many years, even if the violence may subside at times. #RussiaUkraineWar
To sustain Ukraine during this conflict, Europeans should draw up a four-part ‘#longwar plan’.
This plan would comprise #militaryassistance to Ukraine in the form of a ‘#security compact’; security assurances that respond to scenarios of Russian escalation; economic support, giving Ukraine access to the #EUsinglemarket; and help to secure Ukraine’s #energysupply.
Besides its practical impact, this plan will signal Europeans’ commitment to assisting #Ukraine, showing Kyiv, Moscow, and the wider global community that the EU is in it for the long haul. The long-war plan will also provide clarity to anxious publics in member states.
Together, these proposals would protect Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and help create the long-term conditions for a resolution to the war – if and when a more constructive attitude emerges in the #Kremlin.
Read in detail about what such comprehensive ‘long-war plan’ for #Ukraine should contain in our latest policy brief by @PiotrBuras1 @DumoulinME @GresselGustav @JyShapiro @ECFRWiderEurope ecfr.eu/publication/su…

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More from @ecfr

Jul 3
NEW SURVEY | New research confirms Ukrainians’ determination to fight and Europeans’ steady support for Kyiv. But a major divide lurks beneath this appearance of unity

✍️ Ivan Krastev and @markhleonard

A few insights🧵
buff.ly/4eL5j0V
@markhleonard 1/ New research conducted in Ukraine and 14 other European countries reveals that Ukraine’s determination to fight and European support for arming Ukraine have not been affected by Russian advances on the battlefield.
@markhleonard 2/ But lurking beneath the appearance of unity is a major divide between Ukraine and Europe on how this war should end and what the allied support is destined to achieve.
Read 9 tweets
Jun 12
The potential return of Trump to the @WhiteHouse is a matter of months away. Here are 6 scary policy scenarios to give Europeans sleepless nights & prepare them for what could come. @ECFRStates

New policy brief by @celiabelin, @JyShapiro & @majda_ruge
buff.ly/3z0F4Dl
@WhiteHouse @ECFRStates @celiabelin @JyShapiro @majda_ruge 1/ Donald Trump remains erratic and inconsistent when it comes to foreign policy. But the broader Republican foreign policy ecosystem forming around his administration is increasingly clear and organised.
@WhiteHouse @ECFRStates @celiabelin @JyShapiro @majda_ruge 2/ This ecosystem comprises three main “tribes” – restrainers who want US foreign policy to focus on America; prioritisers who want it to focus on Asia; and primacists who want it to continue to focus globally.
Read 13 tweets
Apr 19
Following Saturday’s Iranian attack on Israel, what should European leaders do to prevent an all-consuming war in the Middle East? And what can Europeans learn from the US intelligence community?

Your #ECFRweekinreview has 4 insights for your weekend. A thread 🧵👇
1/ The apparent omniscience of US intelligence is a valuable strategic asset. In the third installment of Letters from Washington, @JyShapiro sets out what Europeans can learn from the US intelligence community to boost their diplomatic arsenal @ECFRStates
buff.ly/4cWdnLv
@JyShapiro @ECFRStates 2/ The lack of financing for climate projects is a major obstacle for Africa to reach its goals under the Paris agreement. In this critical year for climate finance, scattered efforts threaten to stymie real progress, writes @Ameer_Chughtai @ECFRAfrica
buff.ly/3VWTL3z
Read 5 tweets
Oct 31, 2022
#Climate negotiations are entering a new & challenging phase. Many countries need to do more to lower greenhouse gas emissions to keep the targets in the 2015 #Paris agreement alive.

Read our latest policy brief by @AnthonyDworkin & @MatsEngstrom⬇️
buff.ly/3Dp5zAU
Ahead of #COP27, multilateral climate negotiations are stalling due to geopolitical tensions, distrust between the global south and high-income countries, and concerns about #energysupplies.
@ECFRPower
It is necessary to move faster in implementing #emissions-reduction measures, but the need for consensus in the global #climate process makes this difficult.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 28, 2022
Your #ECFRweekinreview: 5 updates ahead of the weekend. A thread 🧵
1/5 Concerns are mounting that 🇧🇾 troops could join 🇷🇺 ’s forces in 🇺🇦. But this course of action would be extremely risky – for both #Putin and #Lukashenka.

@PavelSlunkin on why the 🇧🇾 army cannot help 🇷🇺 in 🇺🇦 👇buff.ly/3W8Tngg

@ECFRWiderEurope
2/5 Given the task #Sunak faces to stabilise 🇬🇧’s economy without further immiserating the population, he will likely decide that unnecessary conflict with Brussels is something he had better avoid.

Find out more in Nick Witney's article 👇 buff.ly/3zlcdqp

@ECFRPower
Read 6 tweets
Sep 23, 2022
Your #ECFRweekinreview: 4 reads for your weekend. A thread 🧵
While pursuing anti-establishment rhetoric and politics on the domestic front, Meloni seeks to ensure a transatlantic and European foreign policy.

Read more on #ItalianElections2022 and Italian “national interest” ➡️ buff.ly/3SpBirt

@arturo_varvelli
@ECFRPower
“So long as Russia declines to choose between Armenia and Azerbaijan, there could be an opening for EU actors to assist”, writes @DumoulinME

All the details on how 🇪🇺 still has some way to go to make a difference through diplomacy ➡️ buff.ly/3Sf3XPY

@ECFRPower
Read 5 tweets

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