ISW Profile picture
Sep 13 4 tweets 4 min read
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian forces are failing to reinforce the new frontline following Ukrainian gains in eastern #Kharkiv Oblast and are actively fleeing the area or redeploying to other axes. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Social media footage shows lines of cars stretching for kilometers near Schastia and Stanysia Luhanska, which are both along the border of long-held LNR territory and close to the #Russian border. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Certain proxy forces are also reportedly already redeploying from #Kharkiv Oblast to southwestern Donetsk Oblast, indicating that the Russian command is not prioritizing reinforcing vulnerable positions east of the Oskil River. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

The Ukrainian recapture of #Izyum has likely degraded #Russian forces’ ability to conduct artillery strikes along the Izyum-#Slovyansk highway. /4
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Sep 14
#Kremlin officials and state media propagandists are extensively discussing the reasons for the #Russian defeat in #Kharkiv Oblast, a marked change from their previous pattern of reporting on exaggerated or fabricated Russian successes with limited detail.🧵
The Kremlin never admitted that Russia was defeated around Kyiv or, later, at Snake Island, framing the retreat from Kyiv as a decision to prioritize the “liberation” of Donbas and the withdrawal from Snake Island as a “gesture of goodwill.” 2/
The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) originally offered a similar explanation for the Russian failure in Kharkiv, claiming that Russian forces were withdrawing troops from Kharkiv Oblast to regroup, but this false narrative faced quick and loud criticism online. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Sep 14
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian troops likely continued ground attacks along the Lyman-Yampil-Bilohorivka line in northern #Donetsk Oblast and may be conducting limited ground attacks across the #Oskil River in #Kharkiv Oblast. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian forces likely hope to take advantage of recent gains in #Sviatohirsk to move east on #Russian positions in #Lyman. Russian sources also stated that Ukrainian forces are fighting around #Bilohorivka. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

A #Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian troops forded the #Oskil River at #Borova, indicating that Ukrainian forces are continuing localized ground assaults to threaten Russian positions behind the Oskil River. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 6 tweets
Sep 12
A new🗺️from @TheStudyofWar and @criticalthreats depicts total liberated Ukrainian territory as of September 11, 2022.

#Ukraine has liberated over 60,000 square km of territory since the Russians began retreating from around Kyiv in early April. Quick🧵below.
Ukrainian forces have liberated about 9,000 square km across all of #Ukraine since August 29.

However, the Ukrainian counter-offensive in #Kharkiv is not an anomaly but part of the long drive of the Ukrainian people to free their country from #Russian occupation. 2/
The Russian flight from #Kharkiv differs from their flight from #Kyiv for a few reasons:

#Putin chose to withdraw from Kyiv when he realized he could not take it.

In #Kharkiv Oblast, #Ukraine forced Russian troops to flee from attacks the Russians could not stop. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Sep 12
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

The success of recent #Ukrainian counteroffensives likely contributed to the Russian announcement that annexation referenda will be indefinitely postponed. /1
iswresearch.org
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

Occupation authorities may be fleeing from occupied #Ukraine to #Russia as Ukrainian forces advance towards Russian rear areas. /2
iswresearch.org
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

#Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) Head Denis Pushilin and #DNR Mayor of #Mariupol Konstantin Ivashchenko reportedly did not attend a military parade in Mariupol on September 11 and their current whereabouts are unknown. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 4 tweets
Sep 12
Southern Axis Update:

#Ukrainian troops are likely to continue counter-offensive operations in #Kherson Oblast based on the limited reporting that is available. /1
iswresearch.org
Southern Axis Update:

Footage taken by residents of #Kherson Oblast on September 10 and 11 corroborates statements made by #Ukrainian officials regarding the continued Ukrainian interdiction campaign along the Southern Axis. /2
iswresearch.org
Southern Axis Update:

Social media users reported explosions near Kakhovka and Nova Kakhovka which substantiates statements made by #Ukrainian military officials that Ukrainian troops hit an ammunition depot and ferry crossing in this area. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 6 tweets
Sep 12
#Kharkiv Update:

The #Russian Ministry of Defense’s September 11 briefing map confirmed that Russian forces are withdrawing from settlements around Kharkiv City, from northern Kharkiv Oblast, and settlements on the western bank of the #Oskil River. /1
iswresearch.org
#Kharkiv Update:

Geolocated and social media footage confirmed that #Ukrainian forces have entered #Vovchansk and Velykyi Burluk, severing #Russian ground lines of communication (GLOCs) along the T2104 highway and reaching the international border. /2
iswresearch.org
#Kharkiv Update:

Geolocated footage also shows that #Ukrainian forces took control of #Izyum and settlements south and southwest on September 11. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 5 tweets

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