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Sep 14 6 tweets 7 min read
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian troops likely continued ground attacks along the Lyman-Yampil-Bilohorivka line in northern #Donetsk Oblast and may be conducting limited ground attacks across the #Oskil River in #Kharkiv Oblast. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian forces likely hope to take advantage of recent gains in #Sviatohirsk to move east on #Russian positions in #Lyman. Russian sources also stated that Ukrainian forces are fighting around #Bilohorivka. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

A #Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian troops forded the #Oskil River at #Borova, indicating that Ukrainian forces are continuing localized ground assaults to threaten Russian positions behind the Oskil River. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian troops are unlikely to be strong enough to prevent further Ukrainian advances along the entire #Oskil River because they do not appear to be receiving reinforcements. /4
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian troops will likely be able to exploit this weakness to resume the counter-offensive across the #Oskil if they choose. /5
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian troops made incremental gains south of #Bakhmut and continued ground attacks throughout #Donetsk Oblast. /6
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Sep 15
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

The Ukrainian counteroffensive in eastern #Kharkiv Oblast continues to degrade #Russian forces and threaten Russian artillery and air defenses. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Ukrainian advances in the east have likely forced Russia to pull air defenses further away from the frontlines in order to protect those systems from artillery fire, potentially exposing frontline Russian troops to air attacks. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian sources continued to discuss limited Ukrainian ground attacks in eastern #Kharkiv, northern #Donetsk, and western #Luhansk Oblasts. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep… Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 14
#Kremlin officials and state media propagandists are extensively discussing the reasons for the #Russian defeat in #Kharkiv Oblast, a marked change from their previous pattern of reporting on exaggerated or fabricated Russian successes with limited detail.🧵
The Kremlin never admitted that Russia was defeated around Kyiv or, later, at Snake Island, framing the retreat from Kyiv as a decision to prioritize the “liberation” of Donbas and the withdrawal from Snake Island as a “gesture of goodwill.” 2/
The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) originally offered a similar explanation for the Russian failure in Kharkiv, claiming that Russian forces were withdrawing troops from Kharkiv Oblast to regroup, but this false narrative faced quick and loud criticism online. 3/
Read 7 tweets
Sep 13
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian forces are failing to reinforce the new frontline following Ukrainian gains in eastern #Kharkiv Oblast and are actively fleeing the area or redeploying to other axes. /1
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Social media footage shows lines of cars stretching for kilometers near Schastia and Stanysia Luhanska, which are both along the border of long-held LNR territory and close to the #Russian border. /2
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

Certain proxy forces are also reportedly already redeploying from #Kharkiv Oblast to southwestern Donetsk Oblast, indicating that the Russian command is not prioritizing reinforcing vulnerable positions east of the Oskil River. /3
isw.pub/RusCampaignSep…
Read 4 tweets
Sep 12
A new🗺️from @TheStudyofWar and @criticalthreats depicts total liberated Ukrainian territory as of September 11, 2022.

#Ukraine has liberated over 60,000 square km of territory since the Russians began retreating from around Kyiv in early April. Quick🧵below.
Ukrainian forces have liberated about 9,000 square km across all of #Ukraine since August 29.

However, the Ukrainian counter-offensive in #Kharkiv is not an anomaly but part of the long drive of the Ukrainian people to free their country from #Russian occupation. 2/
The Russian flight from #Kharkiv differs from their flight from #Kyiv for a few reasons:

#Putin chose to withdraw from Kyiv when he realized he could not take it.

In #Kharkiv Oblast, #Ukraine forced Russian troops to flee from attacks the Russians could not stop. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Sep 12
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

The success of recent #Ukrainian counteroffensives likely contributed to the Russian announcement that annexation referenda will be indefinitely postponed. /1
iswresearch.org
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

Occupation authorities may be fleeing from occupied #Ukraine to #Russia as Ukrainian forces advance towards Russian rear areas. /2
iswresearch.org
#Russian-Occupied Areas Update:

#Donetsk People’s Republic (DNR) Head Denis Pushilin and #DNR Mayor of #Mariupol Konstantin Ivashchenko reportedly did not attend a military parade in Mariupol on September 11 and their current whereabouts are unknown. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 4 tweets
Sep 12
Southern Axis Update:

#Ukrainian troops are likely to continue counter-offensive operations in #Kherson Oblast based on the limited reporting that is available. /1
iswresearch.org
Southern Axis Update:

Footage taken by residents of #Kherson Oblast on September 10 and 11 corroborates statements made by #Ukrainian officials regarding the continued Ukrainian interdiction campaign along the Southern Axis. /2
iswresearch.org
Southern Axis Update:

Social media users reported explosions near Kakhovka and Nova Kakhovka which substantiates statements made by #Ukrainian military officials that Ukrainian troops hit an ammunition depot and ferry crossing in this area. /3
iswresearch.org
Read 6 tweets

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