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Alberto Alemanno Profile picture
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Sep 18 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
🚨Breaking 🚨

The EU Commission proposes - for the 1st time in its history - to suspend the disbursement of 65% of EU funds due to #Hungary in effort to protect #ruleoflaw (loopholes remain)

Now EU-26 must approve it at QMV (unlike under Art 7 #Poland can’t veto it)
Why does the EU suddenly threaten #Hungary with (partial) suspension of EU funds?

(Spoiler: To save everyone’s face)

1. EU leaders show to the public to remain in control vis-à-vis autocratic #Hungary

2. to then approve #Hungary recovery plan (only remaining unapproved)
Today’s EU Commission proposal to suspend EU funds to #hungary originates in #EUCO back in Dec ‘20 that broke deal re: #NextGenerationEU

That ‘deal with the Devil’ put EU into a bind : gaining the power to formally suspend funds meant to turn a blind eye to major breaches
When the “Hungarian Commissioner” votes for the suspension of #Hungarian funds, you realize that there’s a broader story behind this sudden move by the Commission against #Orban

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More from @alemannoEU

Alberto Alemanno Profile picture
Aug 28
🚨 Breaking: European judges challenge the EU approval of #Poland’s recovery & resilience plan before EU General Court just a few months before elections in the country

Here’s a🧵 on why, how and what of this unprecedented development #ruleoflaw #RPP
Why?

4 associations of European judges intend to defend the interests of the judiciary which they represent & their members including Polish judges subjected to disciplinary proceeding, sanctions & involuntary transfers, in breach of EU law & the #rule of law itself
How?

The judges’ associations argue that #ruleoflaw “milestones” fall short of what is required to ensure effective judicial protection and disregard the judgments of the CJEU

They want Council’s decision to be declared nul & void thus preventing transfer of #RPP funding
Read 26 tweets
Alberto Alemanno Profile picture
Jun 20
The outcome of the French parliamentary elections is highly consequential for both France’s and Europe’s future. Here’s why 🧵

SPOILER: Macron will eventually have to pick either the left or the right!

#electionslegislatives2022 #France #ElectionsLegislatives
1. Macron’s presidential coalition (Ensemble!) came out on top and remains the largest parliamentary force in parliament, BUT lost its absolute majority
2. This leaves us with unprecedented degree of fragmentation and division in the National Assembly, with both the left wing coalition and the far right largely over-performing and squeezing the centre.

Parliamentary power is back! #Elections2022
Read 12 tweets
Alberto Alemanno Profile picture
Jun 17
‼️ The EU Commission paves the way for #Ukraine to gain (conditional) candidate status in record time‼️

Yet that recognition of candidate status may be more symbolic than structural: it may never lead to full membership.

Here’s why 🧵 Image
Today is a moment of truth one for Ukraine, which has invested so much of its political future on a closer relationship with Europe.

There’s political momentum to have #EUCO uniting behind the recognition of candidate status
Despite the lack of a fast track procedure, the EU Commission delivered in record time a positive opinion on 🇺🇦 swift submission to candidate status, in unprecedented conditions (candidate country is at war)
Read 6 tweets
Alberto Alemanno Profile picture
May 10
Did the Conference on the Future of Europe succeed?

It depends very much on how you measure success.

For me it worked beyond expectations.

Here’s why 🧵 #CoFoE #FutureOfEurope
1 If you belong to those who expected #CoFoE to magically deliver a re-opening of the Treaty, you may be disappointed. No majority exists to endorse EP’s demand. That might never materialize. Wait for June #EUCO but it might not be the point project-syndicate.org/commentary/con…
2 If instead you valued #CoFoE as an open-ended (not outcome-bound) process, you may be satisfied. Not only a permanent mechanism of citizen deliberation in EU decision-making is foreseen, but that can be done without treaty change. But there’s more.

euronews.com/2022/01/20/fra…
Read 12 tweets
Alberto Alemanno Profile picture
Apr 29
As the Conference on the Future of Europe comes to an end, what can we reasonably expect?

(Spoiler: a fight over whether, how, and on what to re-open the Treaties NOW)

🧵 #CoFoE
2 Originally promised by @vonderleyen in the aftermath of her rocambolesque appointment, the Conference is the first attempt at institutional reform since 2007.

It didn’t look promising in its early days, but the context has changed.

theguardian.com/commentisfree/… #CoFoE
3 Amid lack of clear majority among Member States & disagreements among EU institutions, #CoFoE was postponed to May 9, 2021 by invoking the pandemic as the official excuse for the delay
This turned out to be a bless as led to redesigning it from scratch
socialeurope.eu/releasing-euro…
Read 12 tweets
Alberto Alemanno Profile picture
Apr 29
No, the vast majority of the recommendations put forward by the Conference on the Future of Europe don’t require Treaty change.

Only 21 out 178, with <120 feasible under existing Treaties #CoFoE

cc: @suzannelynch1 @HankeVela
2. We’ve browsed all 178, and classified them into 4 categories:

1. Recs not requiring new action (23)
2. Recs entailing new action by MS (21)
3. Recs entailing new action by EU (113)
4. Recs entailing Treaty change (21) #cofoe
3. Among the 21 recs requiring Treaty Change, they call for transfer of new competences in:

1.Welfare (7)
2.Education (5)
3.Institutional reforms (4)
4.Health care (2)
5.Taxation (2)
6.Energy (1)
Read 6 tweets

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