1/5 Concerns are mounting that 🇧🇾 troops could join 🇷🇺 ’s forces in 🇺🇦. But this course of action would be extremely risky – for both #Putin and #Lukashenka.
2/5 Given the task #Sunak faces to stabilise 🇬🇧’s economy without further immiserating the population, he will likely decide that unnecessary conflict with Brussels is something he had better avoid.
3/5 "Ukraine forces are currently building an entire anti-missile defence system around modern Western weapons", write #MargarytaKhvostova & @Krivosheev_Dima.
What can Sky Shield countries learn from 🇺🇦? 👇 buff.ly/3DaufNo
4/5 With increased weaponisation of #digitaltechnologies, governments need to better understand the interests and roles of tech companies in geopolitical developments.
#Climate negotiations are entering a new & challenging phase. Many countries need to do more to lower greenhouse gas emissions to keep the targets in the 2015 #Paris agreement alive.
Ahead of #COP27, multilateral climate negotiations are stalling due to geopolitical tensions, distrust between the global south and high-income countries, and concerns about #energysupplies. @ECFRPower
It is necessary to move faster in implementing #emissions-reduction measures, but the need for consensus in the global #climate process makes this difficult.
To sustain Ukraine during this conflict, Europeans should draw up a four-part ‘#longwar plan’.
This plan would comprise #militaryassistance to Ukraine in the form of a ‘#security compact’; security assurances that respond to scenarios of Russian escalation; economic support, giving Ukraine access to the #EUsinglemarket; and help to secure Ukraine’s #energysupply.
2/8Europeans are divided between wanting “peace” 🕊️ and wanting “justice” ⚖️ from the war. Across 10 countries, 35% want “Peace”, and 22% want “Justice”. Another 20% are Swing voters – those who can't choose between the two but still support the EU response to the war.
3/8Russia is universally blamed for starting the #UkraineWar and is also seen as the biggest obstacle to peace, especially in 🇫🇮 🇬🇧🇵🇱 🇸🇪. A comparable picture is also evident when identifying #Russia as the chief obstacle to a potential peace agreement.
Our new polling shows: the steps taken at EU level since the #RussianInvasionOfUkraine seem to be the minimum the European public expects. Europeans are calling for deeper long-term cooperation on #security matters at EU level. | A thread👇 (1/9) ecfr.eu/publication/a-…
Europeans are disillusioned with how the global system of international cooperation is handling today’s challenges. 71% believe that the system is not working on #climatechange. (2/9) #ECFRdata
Confidence in national political systems is at a low ebb across Europe, with a majority of Europeans (58%) holding the view that ordinary voters have almost “no impact” on today’s politics. 🇪🇺 But support for EU institutions, however, remains high! (3/9) #ECFRdata