#Climate negotiations are entering a new & challenging phase. Many countries need to do more to lower greenhouse gas emissions to keep the targets in the 2015 #Paris agreement alive.
Ahead of #COP27, multilateral climate negotiations are stalling due to geopolitical tensions, distrust between the global south and high-income countries, and concerns about #energysupplies. @ECFRPower
It is necessary to move faster in implementing #emissions-reduction measures, but the need for consensus in the global #climate process makes this difficult.
At the same time, drivers of action on #climatechange are evolving, with countries now competing for economic advantage in new green #technologies.
The 🇪🇺 and its partners are right to combine negotiations under the🇺🇳#UN climate convention with initiatives that bring together like-minded and ambitious countries to accelerate industrial transformation.
To be effective and legitimate, these efforts should remain rooted in the multilateral system and incorporate substantial #climate funding for emerging #markets and lower-income countries.
🇪🇺 institutions and member states should also work to strengthen the capacity of multilateral institutions to support efforts on #climatechange.
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1/5 Concerns are mounting that 🇧🇾 troops could join 🇷🇺 ’s forces in 🇺🇦. But this course of action would be extremely risky – for both #Putin and #Lukashenka.
2/5 Given the task #Sunak faces to stabilise 🇬🇧’s economy without further immiserating the population, he will likely decide that unnecessary conflict with Brussels is something he had better avoid.
To sustain Ukraine during this conflict, Europeans should draw up a four-part ‘#longwar plan’.
This plan would comprise #militaryassistance to Ukraine in the form of a ‘#security compact’; security assurances that respond to scenarios of Russian escalation; economic support, giving Ukraine access to the #EUsinglemarket; and help to secure Ukraine’s #energysupply.
2/8Europeans are divided between wanting “peace” 🕊️ and wanting “justice” ⚖️ from the war. Across 10 countries, 35% want “Peace”, and 22% want “Justice”. Another 20% are Swing voters – those who can't choose between the two but still support the EU response to the war.
3/8Russia is universally blamed for starting the #UkraineWar and is also seen as the biggest obstacle to peace, especially in 🇫🇮 🇬🇧🇵🇱 🇸🇪. A comparable picture is also evident when identifying #Russia as the chief obstacle to a potential peace agreement.
Our new polling shows: the steps taken at EU level since the #RussianInvasionOfUkraine seem to be the minimum the European public expects. Europeans are calling for deeper long-term cooperation on #security matters at EU level. | A thread👇 (1/9) ecfr.eu/publication/a-…
Europeans are disillusioned with how the global system of international cooperation is handling today’s challenges. 71% believe that the system is not working on #climatechange. (2/9) #ECFRdata
Confidence in national political systems is at a low ebb across Europe, with a majority of Europeans (58%) holding the view that ordinary voters have almost “no impact” on today’s politics. 🇪🇺 But support for EU institutions, however, remains high! (3/9) #ECFRdata