ISW Profile picture
Nov 8 4 tweets 5 min read
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian troops continued counteroffensive operations in the #Svatove direction. /1
isw.pub/UkrWar110722
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian sources claimed that Russian troops conducted limited counterattacks to regain lost positions west of #Kreminna. /2
isw.pub/UkrWar110722
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian sources widely claimed that proxy and #Wagner Group troops entered the outskirts of #Bilohorivka. /3
isw.pub/UkrWar110722
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian troops continued offensive operations around #Bakhmut, in the #Avdiivka-#Donetsk City area, and in western #Donetsk Oblast. /4
isw.pub/UkrWar110722

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Nov 9
.@SkyNews reported on November 8 that #Russia flew 140M euros, a selection of captured NLAW and Javelin anti-tank missiles, and a Stinger anti-aircraft missile to #Tehran on August 20 in exchange for 160 additional Shahed-136 drones for use in #Ukraine. news.sky.com/story/russia-g…
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Nov 9
Nour announced Patrushev’s arrival in an English-language tweet, stating that Iranian Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) Secretary Ali Shamkhani invited him and noted that he will also meet with other high-ranking Iranian officials to discuss Russo-Iranian cooperation. /1
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Nov 8
Russian occupation authorities are likely beginning a new phase of evacuations from #Kherson Oblast.

Kherson occupation deputy Kirill Stremousov stated that November 7 will be the last day of organized evacuations from the west bank of the #Dnipro River. isw.pub/UkrWar110722 Image
2/ A Russian milblogger similarly noted that November 7 is the end of centralized evacuations in #Kherson Oblast and that private evacuates will continue from November 8.
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Nov 8
The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) has remained remarkably tight-lipped about milblogger critiques of Russian failures throughout the war in #Ukraine — unlike the #Kremlin, which will occasionally indirectly address milblogger narratives. /1
isw.pub/UkrWar110722
The MoD’s public response to milblogger outcry indicates that some Russian milbloggers have considerable leverage to shape MoD interactions in the information space and additionally suggests that the situation in Pavlivka is dire enough to warrant a response. /2
The discourse regarding the widespread failures of the Russian military establishment has pervaded beyond the milblogger information space and is increasingly coloring social dynamics. /3
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Nov 7
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian milbloggers amplified reports that the Russian 155th Naval Infantry Brigade sustained severe losses during the recent offensive push towards #Pavlivka, #Donetsk Oblast. /1
isw.pub/UkrWar110622
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian sources claimed that #Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in the direction of #Svatove and #Kreminna. /2
isw.pub/UkrWar110622
Eastern #Ukraine Update:

#Russian opposition sources reported that Ukrainian shelling near #Makiivka, #Luhansk Oblast may have killed up to 500 Russian mobilized personnel in one day. /3
isw.pub/UkrWar110622
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Nov 7
Key #Kremlin officials and entities including the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev, and #Putin himself began collectively de-escalating their rhetoric regarding the use of nuclear weapons in early November.🧵
Putin and key Kremlin officials had increased their references to the use of nuclear weapons from Putin’s September 30 annexation speech and throughout October, likely to pressure Ukraine into negotiations and to reduce Western support for Kyiv. /2

isw.pub/UkrWar110622
The Kremlin’s rhetorical shift indicates that senior Russian military commanders and elements of the Kremlin are likely to some extent aware of the massive costs for little operational gain Russia would incur for the use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine or NATO. /3
Read 14 tweets

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