generalsvr_en Profile picture
Nov 29, 2022 13 tweets 12 min read Read on X
Dear subscribers and guests of the channel! Yesterday, #Russian President Vladimir #Putin held talks with the President of #Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart #Tokayev in the Kremlin.
1/13
The visit of the head of #Kazakhstan to #Russia immediately after the re-election can rather be called a visit of courtesy and the result of agreements with #Putin. The President of Russia recently asked #Tokayev not to suspend his membership in the CSTO for a year.
2/13
#Putin promised a number of preferences in this regard. On the other hand, the President of #Kazakhstan did not make any fundamental promises but did not refuse Putin either. #Tokayev is an experienced and sophisticated politician.
3/13
He is well aware of the state of affairs within the CSTO and the desire of the #Armenian leadership to leave the organization at all costs and thereby give a powerful impetus to the collapse of the alliance.
4/13
In this case, the head of #Kazakhstan will only have to shrug his shoulders and bury the CSTO completely without arousing the wrath of the Russian leadership, which still has to be reckoned with both economically and politically.
5/13
#Tokayev pursues a multi-vector policy, maneuvering among #Russia, #China and #Turkey but at the same time trying as much as possible not to quarrel with anyone and not cause irritation. #Putin understands everything perfectly.
6/13
Of course, he does not count on #Tokayev’s complete loyalty, but now the #Russian President needs to "sell" his importance on the domestic track and the visit of the President of a "friendly" country, even if there are just a few, has almost a global significance.
7/13
On the outer edge, for #Putin, shaking hands with leaders of other countries should demonstrate that he is not a pariah. If only Nicolás Maduro and, of course, Lukashenko could come for the New Year, Putin can say: "the whole year has not been in vain."
8/13
For #Putin, #Tokayev's visit does not solve the main problem - defeat in the #UkraineRussianWar. That is why Putin again raises the topic of implementing his geopolitical ambitions by attacking neighboring states, where "victory" can be practically guaranteed and...
9/13
the price will be insignificant at meetings with representatives of the leadership of the security and military blocs. We are talking about the "liberation" of #Georgia, the "salvation" of #Armenia, and the voluntary absorption of #Belarus.
10/13
The assassination of #Saakashvili should cause a protest movement and anti-Russian speeches in #Georgia. The #RussianArmy should solve this problem quickly and effectively. Mobilization after the New Year in #Russia is also taken into account in geopolitical plans.
11/13
#Putin believes that the defeat in #Ukraine will almost pass unnoticed thanks to an easy victory in other areas. And if earlier the plans for annexation included the northern regions of #Kazakhstan, Putin's plans changed dramatically...
12/13
after #China guaranteed the territorial integrity of #Kazakhstan.
#Putin is looking for a way out, which simply does not exist, and is ready to sacrifice millions of lives for this purpose.
13/13

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2/5
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2/12 Image
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Read 12 tweets

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