Over the last years, we have actively speculated in #exploration sector.
Our approach has changed over time.
One of our strategies is to participate early on in discoveries.
π§΅πTips on how to do it below.
Step #1: Stay up to date with exploration results announcements EVERY day.
For us #ASX and #TSX takes 10-20 min per day.
Success here comes down to:
β’ Know what you look for e.g. 20m @ 3% Cu
β’ Do not get distracted by noise
β’ You get faster over time
β’ Automate π
Step #1 cont.: Why EVERY day?
We missed the good announcements before. Most of the days nothing happens, but you do not want to miss the 200% move.
1/6 Most of the new #discovery announcements and good first holes ends up as a minor discovery.
How to spot significant discoveries as an investor?
2/6 Three steps to followπͺ:
1) Study significant discoveries 2) Study the failed discoveries 2) Learn the essentials of geology
Let's dig in.
3/6 Do the following:
β’ Select commodity of interest e.g. #copper#nickel#uranium#gold
β’ Study top discoveries made in the last years
β’ Look at announcements (grades, footprint, structures, geophysical anomalies etc.)
β’ Put it into a system
What can we learn from $HUR $PANR $RECO. Geologists musings and personal opinions.
Best read with a glass of new years eve drink of your choice. #oil#exploration
π§΅π
2/24 CHAPTER 1: "Story of geologists greed for discovery."
I first heard about $HUR fractured basement prospect as a student at Aberdeen Univ. I went to an evening lecture where geologist, Rob Trice HUR CEO was laughed by industry for his idea of oil in the basement rocks.
3/24 He proved them wrong several years later by making Bln+ recoverable oil discovery.
π§΅28 significant #discovery announcements on #ASX this year so far.
Will Santa bring us more discoveries this year?
How many will turn significant over time?
2/5 If you wondering, we had no "significant discovery" announencements since the beginning of October.
3/5 How many of the announced discoveries will turn out to be really significant? We can already see from below graph that market thinks that most of the discovery announcements this year were minor discoveries.
Over the past years, I have read 100s of exploration news releases (NRs).
How to read them efficiently?
Breaking down my technique π§΅π
Tip #1: Headline - important or not?
I will only read NR if:
β’ New discovery confirmed
β’ Significant assay
β’ New resource or bid
β’ Company on my watchlist
This simple techniques allows you to only focus on most important news and filter the noise.
Tip #2: Scan through the highlights.
β’ Does it still look positive?
β’ Look for thick, high grade intervals or large step outs
β’ Red flag: up to X% Cu
β’ Red flag: grab/chip samples i.e. discovery not confirmed vertically