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Mar 1 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
NEW: The #Kremlin is meanwhile likely attempting to reintroduce yet another #Russian information operation aimed at falsely portraying #Russia as being open to negotiations regarding #Ukraine while the collective West refuses to negotiate. isw.pub/UkrWar022823
2/ #Kremlin spox Dmitry #Peskov stated on 28 FEB that Russian officials are open to negotiations to end the war in #Ukraine but that Ukraine and the West must recognize new “territorial realities” associated with #Russia’s illegal annexation of occupied territories in Ukraine.
3/ #Peskov added that #Ukraine also needs to consider #Russia’s specific goals in the war in Ukraine to reach a negotiated settlement.
4/ These goals include regime change of the #Ukrainian government under the rubric of “denazification“ and the elimination of #Ukraine’s ability to defend itself against future #Russian attacks under the rubric of “demilitarization.” isw.pub/UkrWar022823

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More from @TheStudyofWar

ISW Profile picture
Mar 2
.@POLITICOEurope reported yesterday that #Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić is seemingly reconsidering #Serbia’s close ties with #Russia, spurred in part by ongoing #Wagner Group recruitment and subversion efforts in Serbia... politico.eu/article/serbia…
2/ ...and demonstrating the international economic and informational costs imposed on #Putin by his invasion of #Ukraine. isw.pub/UkrWar03012023
3/ @POLITICOEurope reported on March 1 that Vučić seeks to appeal to both #Russia and western institutions by continuing #Serbia’s #EuropeanUnion membership bid while refusing to impose sanctions against Russia, but Vučić said that Serbia must make "difficult choices" soon.
Read 7 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Mar 2
Having expended its utility as a recruitment tool, the #Kremlin likely seeks to mitigate further pushback from the #Russian pro-war ultranationalist community which looks up to #Putin as the facilitator of the war despite their criticisms of its conduct. isw.pub/UkrWar03012023
2/ @TheStudyofWar assessed on 26 FEB that #Putin has allowed the ultranationalist community to expand its influence at the expense of the #Russian MoD so the #Kremlin can leverage the community’s pre-established networks to recruit volunteers. More here: isw.pub/UkrWar022623
3/ The #Kremlin could seek to use these new amendments to promote self-censorship among select milbloggers whose constituencies are no longer needed for its force generation or crowdfunding campaigns, or whose criticisms have exceeded the Kremlin’s tolerance for open criticism.
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Mar 1
Southern #Ukraine:

Ukrainian officials continue to report potential Russian preparations for renewed offensive operations in #Zaporizhia & #Kherson oblasts, though ISW has not observed indicators that Russian forces plan to renew offensive operations in these directions. (1/7)
2/ The #Ukrainian General Staff reported that #Russian forces are defending in #Zaporizhia and #Kherson oblasts but are trying to create conditions that will allow Russian forces to conduct offensives in some unspecified areas of this part of the front. isw.pub/UkrWar022823
3/ #Russian forces have conducted infrequent localized attacks in #Zaporizhia Oblast in recent months but have not conducted any meaningful offensive activity in #Kherson Oblast since withdrawing from the west (right) bank of the #Dnipro River in November 2022.
Read 7 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Mar 1
Eastern #Ukraine: #Donetsk Oblast

Russian forces made tactical gains in northern #Bakhmut and continued ground attacks around Bakhmut and in the #Avdiivka-Donetsk City area on February 28. 🧵(1/7)
isw.pub/UkrWar022823
2/ #Russian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut and made tactical gains within Bakhmut.

Russian milbloggers claimed that #Wagner forces are trying to advance on central Bakhmut from the north near the Stupky station and from positions on the city's eastern outskirts.
3/ #Wagner Group-affiliated media outlet RIAFAN posted footage on February 27 and 28 showing Wagner fighters walking around northern #Bakhmut near the Stupky railway station and “Sady Bakhmuta” garden store, indicating that Wagner has advanced in northern Bakhmut.
Read 7 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Mar 1
Eastern #Ukraine: #Luhansk Obl

Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks near #Svatove & #Kreminna and likely made limited advances north of Kreminna on 28 FEB.

Ukrainian forces continue to target Russian concentration areas in the rear of Luhansk. isw.pub/UkrWar022823
2/ A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces are engaged in fierce fighting near Novoselivske, NW of #Svatove; another claimed that elements of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division pushed Ukrainian forces out of unspecified high-ground positions on the Svatove-#Kreminna line.
3/ Further south, #Russian forces reportedly conducted unsuccessful offensive actions near #Kreminna itself, Makiivka (22km NW of Kreminna), Nevske (18km NW of Kreminna), Ploshchanka (17km NW of Kreminna), Dibrova (6km SW of Kreminna), & Bilohorivka (10km south of Kreminna).
Read 5 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Mar 1
The recent resurgence of several standard Russian information operations in the form of false flag warnings & tired nuclear threats suggests that Russian officials are increasingly trying to mitigate the informational impacts of an ongoing lack of Russian battlefield successes...
2/ ...as well as to slow down the provision of Western tanks and other equipment in advance of expected Ukrainian counteroffensives. isw.pub/UkrWar022823
3/ @TheStudyofWar has previously reported on the correlation between #Russian information operations and battlefield realities, particularly when Russian forces are failing to take significant ground in offensive operations in #Ukraine.
Read 4 tweets

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