Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Mar 2 9 tweets 6 min read
#China's spy balloon - "This was a surveillance balloon period...it is equipment that is inconsistent w/weather balloons" per @ASD_IndoPacific Ely Ratner, speaking at @HudsonInstitute

We "have not heard a plausible explanation for this activity" from the PRC, he adds
US deterrence vs #NorthKorea "is to deter agression & deter conflict" per @ASD_IndoPacific

"It's not to deter Kim Jong Un from killing a bunch of fish with his missiles"
"We're focused on readiness. We're focused on deterrence. We're focused on ensuring that Kim Jong Un doesn't take risks that go way beyond his capacity" per @ASD_IndoPacific

re #DPRK
#China's aggressive behavior - "I don't think they're picking a fight" per @ASD_IndoPacific "They may be trying to coerce & bully but I don't think they're picking a fight. I think they're smart enough not to do that"
US-#China mil-to-mil communication

"We are not where we think we need to be" per @ASD_IndoPacific "Despite ongoing tensions, it's incredibly important for the US & the #PRC military to have open lines of communication..."
"The problem is that the #PRC & the #PLA continue to use mil-mil relations & those channels of communication as a mens of signaling displeasure over issues related to security & not" per @ASD_IndoPacific
"They [#China] will turn off for extended periods of time & be unwilling to engage at times when we think it is important for us to be talking' per @ASD_IndoPacific, citing day US shot down the Chinese spy balloon
#China fully engaged in "nothing to see here" tactics

"There is a pattern that I think a lot of #IndoPacific partners are very familiar with" per @DeptofDefense Deputy Asst Sec Lindsey Ford
"You see the PRC do something which very clearly sovereignty...then there's a bit of an effort w/talking points &whatever to say this is fake news, nothing to see here" per @DeptofDefense's Ford

"It's incredibly important [to] publicly shine a light on what's actually going on"

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More from @jseldin

Mar 2
NEW: 2 US citizens arrested for conspiring to evade export laws & provide #Russia|n companies with aircraft electronics aka avionics

Per @TheJusticeDept, 59yo Cyril Buyanovsky & 55yo Douglas Robertson of #Kansas even did repairs for Russia's Federal Security Services (FSB)
"The defendants concealed the true end user & end destination by providing a fraudulent invoice to the shipment company identifying the end destination as Germany" per @TheJusticeDept on the repairs done for #Russia's FSB Image
Per @TheJusticeDept, Buyanovsky & Roberston used their company, KanRus Trading Company, to evade the laws prohibiting the export of certain technologies to #Russia following the invasion of #Ukraine
Read 4 tweets
Mar 1
BREAKING: US intelligence concludes "very unlikely" a foreign adversary is responsible for so-called anomalous health incidents (#AHI), aka #HavanaSyndrome, per just-released assessment

Assessment based on of 7 key US intelligence agecnies, noting various levels of confidence
Per just released US intel assessment ruling out foreign adversaries as cause of #AHI / #HavanaSyndrome:

2 - moderate to high confidence
3 - moderate confidence
2 - low confidence, calling it "unlikely" but noting some intelligence gaps
"There's no credible evidence that a foreign adversary has a weapon or a collection systems that caused AHIs" per an intelligence official familiar w/the report who spoke on the condition of anonymity
Read 11 tweets
Mar 1
NEW: @FBI believes the origins of the #COVID19 #coronavirus pandemic "most likely a potential lab incident in Wuhan" per Director Christopher Wray
This first public comments from @FBI's Wray on the origins of #COVID19 comes just days after the @WSJ reported the @ENERGY Dept concluded with "low confidence" the virus spread as a result of a lab leak
The @FBI's assessment of the origins of #COVID19 are in line w/one of the two main hypotheses from the US intelligence community - first shared in August 2021
Read 8 tweets
Feb 28
US cybersecurity officials are calling for tech & software companies to step up

"The risk introduced to all of us by unsafe technology is frankly much more dangerous and pervasive than the [#China] spy balloon" @CISAJen said Monday
voanews.com/a/us-cybersecu…
While speaking at @CarnegieMellon, @CISAJen praised some companies for making security - & the use of multifactor authentication a priority

But she said MFA efforts by @Microsoft @Twitter were "disappointing"
@Mircosoft Tuesday pushing back on the @CISAgov narrative

"Advancing the security posture of our customers is one of Microsoft’s top priorities" the company said in a statement to @VOANews

"We provide MFA defenses at no additional cost for our consumer & enterprise customers"
Read 4 tweets
Feb 28
Pentagon, @CJTFOIR urging world not to underestimate a weakened #ISIS in #Iraq, #Syria

ISIS " still has the ideal ideology to inspire and recruit members to its ranks, and it has the will to reconstitute" per @DeptofDefense Deputy Asst Sec for the Middle East Dana Stroul
#ISIS - "the ideology remains unconstrained" per @CJTFOIR Commander MajGen Matthew McFarlane

"There are still aspirations out there for radical fighters in a desire to continue to spread ISIS" he says during media call
"#ISIS is continually trying to rebuild leadership" per @CJTFOIR's MajGen McFarlane

BUT he notes, "right now they're militarily ineffective," unable to launch a major, complex attack since January 2022
voanews.com/a/us-backed-sd…
Read 4 tweets
Feb 28
Threat from #Iran has evolved into "a global challenge" per @DeptofDefense Deputy Asst Sec Dana Stroul

"That is a result of the increasing military cooperation btw Iran & #Russia & the illicit transfer by Iran to Russia of one-way attack drones that are being used in #Ukraine"
"We now need to rally a coalition not only in the #MiddleEast but a global coalition to push back on the malign cooperation between #Iran & #Russia" per @DeptofDefense's Stroul on media call
"It is reasonable to expect that the tactics, techniques & procedures that the #Iran|ians are learning & perfecting in #Ukraine will one day come back to our partners in the #MiddleEast" per @DeptofDefense's Stroul
Read 4 tweets

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