In this series, we cover interesting stories and insights of legendary investors which will give invaluable lessons in the journey of investing
In this thread, Kenneth Andrade explained how using #TechnoFunda does not work on huge PF size !!
According to him both the studies contradicts each other, example, A technical chart will tell you to sell it 20% below your purchase price and as a Fundamental analyst you will double your position at 50% below your purchase price so those things are conflicting
In his career he held “MRF” from 2003 to 2015 it was 110 times up, held “Page industries” from 2007 to 2015 it gave an 80x or 90x, & Kaveri seeds which gave 70x
After this there’s just one question he asks is why would you want to sell a business where fundamentals are improving
1) Leadership Changing in Banks, 2) NBFCs breakout, 3) PSE FOMO to set in, 4) New Age Cos Bottomed, 5) Smallcap Oops Moment !!
BankNifty@44k
HDFCBank (28% Wt) - 1750 a major resistance.
KotakBank - (10% Wt) - 2000 resistance.
ICICI Bank strength continues.
SBI crossing 600 confirmation of strength.
AxisBank & Indusind Bank ( 1250 resistance ) can be new leaders.
Be selective.
NBFCs, SFBs
Old thumb rule - NBFCs, Banks can outperform when Rate Cycle has peaked or the rally starts with Big Banks to Small Banks and then Nbfcs
A lot of charts trying to make 2-3 yr highs- Ujjivan, LTFH, M&M Finance, IDFC twins, Equitas, Chola, Federal , Muthoot Cap, etc
First of all let me get this clear, if you are a new investor in PSU bank stocks who bought it 50-100% lower , then you have clearly made money and kudos to you for that…The question now to ask is whether the rally is sustainable or not
But, over the last 10-12 years the stocks have fallen a lot. From 50-80% even after such a rally.
But the next thought that comes to mind is will they regain their lost glory and go back to prices of 2020/2018/2015/2010.