Nicolas Tenzer Profile picture
May 12 • 10 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Ten theses.
A thread.
🧵
1 We're at war with Russia, not because we've declared it, but because it's waging war on us.
#OurWar
2 Russia is waging a war of extermination. That's just a fact.
It's a war without limits, neither in time nor in space.
3 With a radical enemy, there can be no negotiation. Any negotiation means both more crime — in fact, it's a license to kill given to Putin, especially in the Russian-ruled areas of Ukraine — and more insecurity.
4 Any compromise would mean that tomorrow the Russian war against us would be even more bloody, total and dangerous.
Russia would also be better armed.
The very legitimacy of democracies would not survive it. Our enemies would know only too well how to take advantage of this.
5 If Russia wins, or even doesn't lose completely, all the other powers it is courting will continue to support it. Democracies will receive less support, because they will be less credible.
If Russia loses, ambiguous countries will more easily return to the democratic camp.
6 Diplomatic chancelleries must learn to act simultaneously on several fronts — Ukraine, Georgia, Belarus, Armenia, Syria, Africa, the Middle East...
Russia is better armed in its horizontal wars.
We urgently need to reverse this trend.
7 The fight against internal enemies must be intensified by all means consistent with democratic norms.
The reality is that we are becoming more competent when it comes to understanding threats, but not when it comes to repression.
8 We must stop saying that we must “help Ukraine”. The reality is that we have to get involved ourselves. I've been saying this since February 24, 2022.
No one in history has ever won a war by leading from behind and acting by proxy.
It's #OurWar
9 All the talk, even sincere, about the risk of WWIII, nuclear apocalypse, a NATO-Russia war, the danger of Russia collapsing, is only the result of the influence of Kremlin narratives.
Propaganda's more dangerous when it invades the souls of leaders than the minds of the people.
10 It's a zero-sum game. Either we win the war completely, or we also lose it completely.
There is no middle way.
Winning the war is the only realistic strategy.
#OurWar

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More from @NTenzer

Apr 30
As those of you who have been following me for some time know, April 30 is a special day for me.
On that day in 1945, the #RavensbrĂĽck concentration camp was liberated. My mother, Martha Tenzer, a resistance fighter in Belgium who had been arrested by the Gestapo in 1943,...
1/8 Image
was “celebrating” her 25th birthday there.
She would have turned 104 today.
She had joined the Resistance at the age of 20, and was Jewish. Fortunately, her false papers concealed her origin.
When she was liberated and handed over to the Red Cross of Sweden,...
2/8 Image
where she spent long months convalescing, she weighed 30 kg and was suffering from numerous illnesses (typhus, turberculosis...). She survived.
After the war, she was one of the first women to enter the Belgian diplomatic service (closed to women before the war).
3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
Oct 4, 2023
So wonderful to listen again to the awesome @avalaina, Nobel Peace Prize, whom I met in Kyiv last July, today at @WarsawForum #WSF interviewed by @AslanTV.
She rightly emphasized the lack of bravery of the world leaders.
Some edited extracts in this #thread.
1/7 Image
"I wish no one had to experience what we're experiencing now with Russia's absolute war against the Ukrainian people since February 2014.
We already had so many stories of people who survived captivity and the worst tortures that we documented.
We must never get used to this.
2/7 Image
The @IntlCrimCourt will only be able to try a limited number of cases of war criminals and criminals against humanity, but we have tens of thousands. This risks limiting accountability. Yet we cannot refuse to dispense justice. We'll just have to find a way to do it.
3/7
Read 7 tweets
Apr 30, 2023
Today, as every year on April 30, I commemorate the liberation of the #Ravensbrück concentration camp—78 yrs ago.
On that day, my mother, who was there, was "celebrating" her 25th birthday.
I pay tribute to her today.
On that day, Hitler killed himself in his bunker.
#Thread
1/13 ImageImage
Mom was a member of the #Resistance in Belgium. She was arrested by the Gestapo in 1943 after her network was denounced. She went from prison to prison as a Nacht und Nebel political prisoner.
Her false papers concealed her Jewish origins.
Her last stop was #Ravensbruck.
2/13 Image
When she was released, she was suffering from typhus and tuberculosis and weighed 30 kilos.
She was taken in by the Swedish Red Cross and gradually recovered in #Sweden.
Forever my gratitude to the wonderful persons who took care of her.
3/13 Image
Read 13 tweets
Feb 26, 2023
Some reminders in the form of a short #thread.
1 Democratic leaders should avoid talking about "peace talks" or "peace agreements" even in the distant future, at least as long as Putin's regime, or the equivalent, is in place.
Period.
1/6
🧵
2 Let's stop lending any interest to supposed #mediation attempts. We do not need a mediator. We need to ensure #Ukraine's victory. That's all there is to it.
Western governments should stop with this desire to be deceived all the time.
2/6
3 Let's stop fussing about #securityguarantees for Ukraine. It needs a NATO+. It deserves it and @NATO would benefit from it too. All its territories must be liberated.
I do not suggest buying the sometimes-heard thesis of a guarantee on a part of the territories.
3/6
Read 6 tweets
Feb 11, 2023
Itw superbement menée par @ilasserre avec @ZelenskyyUa
"Le monde ne parlera plus de la même manière à la Russie. Les Occidentaux vont devoir revoir leur politique 🇷🇺, même si un autre dirigeant arrive au pouvoir à Moscou. Vous devez changer de vision."
1
lefigaro.fr/international/…
"L'escalade, ce sont les Russes qui en sont responsables. Ils ont torturé, assassiné, enterré des gens vivants. Je savais par les livres que ce genre de meurtres & atrocités de masse existait. Je ne pouvais pas imaginer que cela puisse se reproduire dans le monde d'aujourd'hui"
2
"Concernant les partenaires qui m'ont prévenu, qu'ont-ils fait pour l'éviter ? Que nous ont-ils donné depuis 2014? Qu'ont-ils fait pour éviter une attaque? Pourquoi l'Otan ne s'est-elle pas engagée si elle savait une invasion probable ? Ts les efforts diplomatiques ont échoué."
3
Read 7 tweets
Jan 26, 2023
10 principles for these weeks (recap).
1 In the medium to long term, the main cost would be the non-defeat of #Russia.
It would be terrible for #Ukraine, #Syria, #Georgia, #Belarus, #Moldova, #Africa..., but also for Europe and the world.
It should dictate our strategic goal.
2 In the short term, the worst cost is measured in terms of Ukrainian lives (civilians, military, people in the occupied territories, incl. Crimean Tatars).
This is what must matter to us first.
We must defeat #Russia as quickly as possible with all possible conventional weapons.
3 Western leaders must banish certain words, including:
- escalation risks;
- red lines;
- peace talks;
- negotiations;
- compromise;
- balance;
- architecture of stability...
Words matter.
Narrative matter.
Read 10 tweets

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