1/ They key, Philippa, is David Davis made it v. clear to Select Committees, not only that he was going to do QUANTITATIVE Impact assessments (see quotation below) but also he was inviting businesses to contribute. He specified it would be done prior to triggering Art 50 Notice.
2/ HofC Foreign Affairs SC. 13/9/2016.

“Q194. Michael Gapes: Yesterday you told the Lords EU Select Committee that you are going to ask businesses to give you a quantitative assessment of the impact of various scenarios on their sectors..
3/ “How are you going to assess the validity of that data?”

David Davis: “....what I said was that we will carry out quantitative assessments and, yes, of course, some of the information will come from there,
4/ “but it will be the same way you test any data given to you. You look at how it was calculated, you ask for the—

Q195: Mike Gapes: You will carry it out, or the businesses will carry it out?
5/ “Mr Davis: We will carry out some of our own, yes; that’s right. The example I cited earlier is people comparing the effect of tariffs and non- tariff barriers. How do you assess that? How big are the problems? Where are they?”
6/ (discuss incoming staff levels. Davis: “... the sequence of events is a little like this: we are, at the moment, doing the round tables and the bilateral discussions; we will then be asking for data and submissions from them, which is already coming in some cases;
6/ (incoming staff levels) Davis: “the sequence of events is a little like this: we are, at the moment, doing the round tables and the bilateral discussions; we will then be asking for data and submissions from them, which is already coming in some cases;
7/ “...we will then be doing the assessments. That is a little way away. The Department has doubled in one month, and I suspect it will double in size again, and that is about the point at which we will be looking for that information.
8/ Q197 Mike Gapes: Will that be before or after article 50 is triggered?

Mr Davis: Before.
9/ Q198. Mike Gapes: So we won’t be able to trigger article 50 until you’ve actually got your Department at capacity to carry out the functions that you will need to do?

Mr Davis: To carry out those functions; that’s right. That’s self-evident, I would have thought.
10/ Q199. Mike Gapes: Will you be drawing on the balance of competencies process and all of the documentation that was produced by Ministers before the referendum—that whole process that was gone through when William Hague was Foreign Secretary & David Lidington was Europe Min?
(My comment :I have a link to the Balance of Competenices report. 38 vols of evidence from business showing that EU regs & directives map to what we would need in any event. Ie not unduly burdensome)
11/ “Q203. Mr Davis: Most of this is a new process. I think what the Committee should understand is that it is a very big process. There is a lot of work going on. Pretty much every Department of State is involved in it.
12/ “They will, of course, be doing a fair amount of contributory analysis themselves, and then we will be challenging it, really......

There are a whole series of these studies under way right now—and some are still to be started—which will take time to complete.
13/ “It seems to me that the only way to carry out such a negotiation responsibly is to do the analysis first, draw up your negotiating priorities—it is clear what the national priorities are—on the basis of that analysis, and then design your negotiating strategy around that.
14/ “That’s why it takes time, and I make no bones about it: I think the British people want us to do this properly. They don’t necessarily want to do it incredibly fast.
15/ “Q236. David Davis “. A variety of things. First, there is the sectoral analysis: they are working through about 50 cross-cutting sectors—what is going to happen to them, what the problems of those industrial groups are, and so on...
16/ “That is both them and in liaison with other Departments. Some of them are setting up an engagement strategy.”

In summary, industrial consultation, quantities assessments, carefully done, complete before A50 notice, effects of tariff & non tariff barriers.

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