Thread by @srirambjp

To rebut Media Anchors Juvenile Analysis
1 #TDPPullsOut political harakiri by CBN
2 Talk of CBN in 3rd Front meaningless, TDP faces anti-incumbency, role in any front is based on no. of MP's
3 2019 is role reversal of 2014 for TDP & YSRCP. TDP alone against 4 + anti-incumbency

4. CBN is no Modi, though CBN has been around for 40yrs, he couldn't do a Modi to beat Anti-Incumbency term after term with Vikas plank. The only 2 terms for TDP were 1994 & 1999, The 1994 won by NTR and he was infamously stabbed by CBN next 2 terms he conceded to YSR & AP split.

5. Amusing, Media talking about CBN forming a United Front against Modi. To Open a Front and to lead a Front you should be expecting to sweep your own state. If CBN was sweeping his state he wouldn't have rocked the Boat. Role in a United Front is proportional to MP seats won.

6. In 2014 Seemandhra region considered to be bastion of TDP. out of Total 175 seats TDP won 102, YSRCP won 67. TDP got 2.06% more votes than YSRCP but won 35 more assembly seats. The Margin of victory was between 100 to 5000 In 26 seats where YSRCP won and 14 seats that TDP won.

7. I called CBN stunt a harakiri for this reason. Modi has a Pan-India image and tallest leader of the day. Any day a Modi can be a value add for your campaign. What image does a Maya, AY or Mamta have in AP? A small swing in vote % can lead to a Landslide victory in AP.

8. Kalyan Pawan Movie star politician is from Kapu Community which constitute 27% and influence in min 42 Assembly seats. TDP in 2014 promised reservations. Panic bells rang in TDP when Kalyan Pawan scathingly attacked CBN in his Jan Sena Party annual meet 2 days ago.

9. Any reach out by CBN to Congress is suicidal. Wish to remind some pro Cong Editors of Lutyens media. In 2014 ruling Cong

- Lost deposits in 150 seats plus seats
-On many didnt cross 2000 votes
-Only on dozen got more than 10,000 votes.
-On 8 seats got less than 1000 votes.

10. For the above reasons, I challenge any of the English news Media editors and Anchors going gung-ho about CBN challenging Modi by leading a 3rd front to come with hard analysis than rhetoric

What CBN did is ill thought/ ill advised blunder. More panic than strategy.

-End