.@FRANCE24 reports that Russian advances in Ukraine have stalled. No significant territorial changes on the ground in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, US sources put the number of Russian soldiers killed in this reckless invasion at around 6,000. #Kyiv I don't know what will stop Vladimir Putin," says journalist Manon Loizeau on @FRANCE24. "Yes, we should all be afraid." #Ukraine #Kyiv #Moscow #Russia

"US commitment to [NATO] Article 5 is iron-clad," says @VP Kamala Harris now speaking live from Poland alongside @AndrzejDuda. Desperately hoping that US intelligence hasn't picked up that there are already Russian plans to invade other countries. #Ukraine #Kyiv #Warsaw When asked about air defences and airpower, especially regarding the Polish offer to supply Ukraine, @VP Harris lists all that the US has done to date, but doesn't answer that question. It's being asked again, but she evades it a second time. #Kyiv #Warsaw #Poland

Lavrov's press conference #HappeningNow a bit of a (bad) joke. Says Russia didn't attack Ukraine and that the supply of air defence systems to Kyiv is a threat to civil aviation. Yes, the Foreign Minister of the country that shot down #MH17 over Ukraine just said that. "Ukraine is being turned into an anti-Russian country," says Lavrov in the press conference following his meeting with his Ukrainian counterpart in Antalya.

Yes, I guess invading a country generally does that.

Some analysts are already offering their take on how all three countries are responding to what is a constantly evolving situation.

In short, they are treading carefully.

Ukraine and the South Caucasus onnik-krikorian.com/new_site/ukrai… Speaking on Civilnet, Anna Ohanyan, a professor of Political Science and International Relations at Stonehill College in the US, says that supply chains, food prices, inflation, and remittances from abroad will be affected given the close integration between Armenia and Russia.

"I have cooled down regarding this question a long time ago after we understood that… NATO is not prepared to accept Ukraine," Zelensky said in an interview on ABC News.”

In Nod To Russia, Ukraine Says No Longer Insisting On NATO Membership ibtimes.com/nod-russia-ukr… #Kyiv “In another apparent nod aimed at placating Moscow, Zelensky said he is open to "compromise" on the status of two breakaway pro-Russian territories that President Vladimir Putin recognized as independent just before unleashing the invasion on February 24.” #Ukraine #Kyiv 1/3

Watching a live-streamed presentation on Armenia and Azerbaijan in the context of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict from the Netherlands. Apparently neutral. Might live-tweet any relevant points worth being amplified to and for all sides as well as others interested. HT @babayevsky Perhaps the most important point articulated by @adrianrogstad just now is that the international community is frustrated by the inability of Armenia and Azerbaijan to resolve the Nagorno Karabakh conflict. Remember, the main ceasefire agreement was signed 26 years ago.

As mentioned, I've a piece coming soon on the impact fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan over Nagorno Karabakh will have on Georgia. Because of word count, can't include all the interviews other than in much shorter quotes. So tweeting key points here over next few days. 1/ Today's key points are the responses from Georgian International Relations Analyst @ISirbiladze. It won't be any surprise that he considers the implications of fighting are very serious for the region. #Armenia #Azerbaijan #Karabakh 2/

Seems the Basic Principles are still on the table, and reportedly in Yerevan too. 1/4

"[…] Baku is ready to halt hostilities in and around Nagorno-Karabakh if Armenia accepts a framework peace accord put forward by the United States, Russia and France."

azatutyun.am/a/30911727.html "In separate comments to the Sputinik news agency, [Pashinian spokesperson] Gevorgian said that Yerevan is “committed” to seeking a peace deal that would be based on the principles cited by Aliyev. “Armenia is prepared for a ceasefire and a negotiating process,” she said. 2/4

Following the recent post by @ArpiBekaryan I'm going to post about some grassroots conflict resolution projects I've seen. Though not without problems, they didn't fall into the cookie cutter trap of closed doors and usual suspects. One was Tekali...

balcanicaucaso.org/eng/zone/Armen… The ethnic Azeri village of Tekali was chosen for cross-border meetings. More importantly, rather than involve the 'elite' in the capitals, it's location in Georgia on the Armenia-Azerbaijan border allowed people from the regions of all three to attend.

balcanicaucaso.org/eng/Areas/Arme…

Because of other recent events, only got to catch the first four episodes of this excellent podcast series. Time to listen to the remaining three. Now episode 5. Did not know Dylann Roof was listening to Christian’s former band. #Charleston #XRW 1/2

https://twitter.com/cpicciolini/status/1320092294142398465

Interesting introduction too. On whether Preventing / Countering Violent Extremism (P / CVE) should be entrusted to former violent extremists? Not solely, but if genuine, they can be important and credible messengers. Also mentors, but let’s see what the conclusion is. #XRW 2/2

There'll be an article coming on the impact the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict has had on Georgia next week, but regarding the impact on the ethnic Armenian and Azeri communities, some of the points made in various interviews to come over the next few days. 1/5 First up, Arnold Stepanian, Chairperson of the Multinational Georgia public movement. He describes the situation as being more tense between the two communities than at anytime before. He reckons about 12,000 people total from both have engaged in some kind of demonstration. 2/5