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Jeb Kinnison @JebKinnison
, 8 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
1) Sunday $TSLA take. Like @ThomasWictor, have no insider knowledge, but this situation is rare example where no insider knows: SEC, NASDAQ, BoD, Musk are on different pages. The goal of SEC/NASD regs is to avoid precisely this situation.
2) Fantasy market based on years of ZIRP now coming to an end, corruption and #FakeNews clickbait, reporters turning company PR releases into cheerleading stories. Elon is a symptom. NASDAQ should have halted pending clarification, SEC should act. Looks like old VSE now.
3) Meanwhile, ethical $TSLA engineers have left. “The decision to market Autopilot as a ‘full self-driving’ system ‘was a factor in the decision by Mr. Anderson and at least two other engineers to leave the company,’ the Journal reported.”
4) Flim-flam and overpromising on larger and larger scales as the market kept rewarding each episode with more and more funding to burn. It is possible there is one last hurrah if some sovereign fund steps in to finance the pioneering “going private” scheme...
5) Which if somehow crafted to be legal in the US would seal $TSLA fate as an actual cult, Elon’s word never to be questioned or audited. Fantasy finance. “OBEY” - someone needs to make that meme with Elon’s face.
6) Silicon Valley ethos breaks rules and takes risks. But it’s also honest. Examination of books during due diligence for any deal will reveal issues. Slow-walking payment to vendors, collapse in service standards and sales, stressed employees and compliance issues...
7) The erosion of brands takes time but there’s a tipping point when enough bad word-of-mouth overcomes years of image-building hype. Hemingway: “How did you go bankrupt?” Bill asked. “Two ways — gradually and then suddenly.”
8) Taking advantage of hopes and dreams. SpaceX will survive, but the rest of the empire is doomed. Dumb money (in the unlikely event it exists) only delays the end. Buying $SCTY killed $TSLA. /end
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