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Michael Liebreich @MLiebreich
, 21 tweets, 48 min read Read on Twitter
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas Oskar, that's a great question, and not easy to answer, because a conservative solution would not be built on an easy-to-communicate (but non-fuctional) top-down approach. Let me see what I can do... 1/
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas First off, a conservative approach to climate change would have to be compatible with continuing current trends in human progress (as documented here: ourworldindata.org). That means all the crap about degrowth is out, and massively distributed innovation is in. 2/
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas Given the level of innovation required to address climate change, and the amount of capital, that means working with private investors and the business community. Or at least not offending them gratuitously, as the SDGs do (liebreich.com/news/un-sustai…). 3/
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas That doesn't mean libertarianism, or a deregulatory free-for-all. What is needed is a set of policy interventions that are internally consistent and drive rapid climate action, but it certainly doesn't mean endless subsidied for clean energy. 4/ ft.com/content/42b634…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas What it does mean is removing subsidies from fossil fuels, which are an absolute obscenity in both their inefficiency (they mainly go to the middle class and the rich) and their climate impact. Here's one I wrote in 2012 on the topic. 5/ liebreich.com/news/sunset-cr…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas In fact, if policy-makers hadn't meddled in every aspect of energy markets - subsidising them, over-regulating them, price-setting, planning, tolerating externalities, etc - clean energy would have been fully competitive ages ago. This is from 2014. 6/
conservativehome.com/platform/2014/…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas That last point is vitally important: true conservatives believe "polluter pays". Never confuse corporatists, who lobby or bribe for the right to pollute, with conservatives. Similarly, beware of the difference between enterprise (innovation) and business (the incumbent). 7/
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas The future clean energy and transport industries must be equitable and inclusive industries. This too is a conservative vision, a meritocracy based on valuing all humans as individuals. Please don't accuse all conservatives of being white supremacists. 8/
about.bnef.com/blog/liebreich…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas A conservative approach to energy access and climate change would focus on helping developing countries realise their own potential - trade not aid. Nevertheless there is still a huge need for aid, particularly for the world's most vulnerable people. 9/
projectbo.org
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas Conservatives do not believe that the state should be a primary capital provider for business innovation. This is where @MazzucatoM and I disagree. The state has a vital role in research, creating markets, etc. But ownership of businesses, no. 10/
unherd.com/2018/06/marian…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM As for international relations, conservatives are fine with treaties between sovereign nations on a mutually respectful basis, but not with ceding powers to unaccountable bodies. That's why I was scornful of Copenhagen but highly supportive of Paris. 11/
about.bnef.com/blog/liebreich…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM That's also why so many conservatives, including me, supported Brexit. I have every confidence the UK's performance on climate and environment will be enhanced by Brexit, not damaged. Developments since 2016 look like proving me right. 12/
amp.theguardian.com/environment/20…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM I also hope to be proven right on electric vehicles: there is every reason why conservatives should rally around the transition, and the UK government at least seems to be listening. 13/
telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08/2…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM If you interpret this thread as me saying rabid free markets will fix climate change, please read it again, and the linked material. States have to intervene in many ways: research, tax, trade, infrastructure, education, building codes, energy and transport regulation, etc. 14/
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM Is it working? Is this messy, mixed, regulated market approach to climate action working? Let's just say that there is great reason to be optimistic, and great reason to be pessimistic. Enough progress to know it can work, but much more to be done. 15/
about.bnef.com/blog/liebreich…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM Some will no doubt claim this is indistinguishable from the "stewardship" which I derided in the hothouse earth paper. Conservatives are very comfortable with stewardship of the environment, but there is a million miles from that to "stewardship of societies". 16/
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM As per tweet 11 in this thread, a conservative approach to climate change has to be founded on the nation state - which is the largest unit in which democratic accountability really works. Because democracy really matters. 17/
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM All the experience of history shows if you choose the environment over democracy, you are liable to end up with neither. To tell if an institution is democratic, apply Tony Benn's five questions. This stuff MATTERS, even in the face of clinate change. 18/
thenation.com/article/tony-b…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM So there you go: that's all I've got right now on what a conservative approach to climate change might look like. No doubt the usual leftie tone-police trolls will now hate on me some more, but I hope they stop short of accusing me of genocide again. 19/
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM Almost forgot, @okohonen asked about how a conservative approach would deal with climate free-riders. First, since 80% of climate action makes economic sense, free-riders mainly hurt themselves. Second, try being Nice, Retaliatory, Forgiving and Clear. 20/
liebreich.com/news/how-to-sa…
@okohonen @EthonRaptor @theresphysics @MogensenPeter @SturmLLiouville @gbrooksenglish @laurimyllyvirta @MichaelEMann @aaronhuertas @MazzucatoM Addendum: I like the Climate Leadership Council. Carbon fee-and-dividend is a politically and economically smart way of pricing in climate externalities. And yes, Carbon Border Adjustments are probably needed. Ted Halstead's TED talk is excellent. 21/
clcouncil.org
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@RadReduction @wingod @mrchrisadams @keithalexander @runclimbskibike @bareftdoctor @KevinClimate @BloombergNEF Yes, I see vast potpourri of opportunities for economically viable climate action. Many of them don't require carbon prices, though carbon prices would accelerate their uptake. I haven't modelled by how much, not my problem. If this enrages you, also not my problem.
@RadReduction @wingod @mrchrisadams @keithalexander @runclimbskibike @bareftdoctor @KevinClimate @BloombergNEF What I know, because its obvious, is that focusing on accelerating the development and deployment of economically viable solutions will lead to a less-worse outcome than taking absolutist positions, wittering on about rationing, and alienating the business & investment community.
@RadReduction @wingod @mrchrisadams @keithalexander @runclimbskibike @bareftdoctor @KevinClimate @BloombergNEF It's Paris vs Copenhagen. You want to go back to Copenhagen, demand binding, top-down carbon budgets be agreed by all countries, that is a failed approach. Paris, voluntary commitments, may be messy and less satisfying, but it's having a massive impact.
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By 2030 all you investors and executives will be operating in a world with either dramatically lower emissions or zero remaining carbon budget. That's just two business cycles away - don't waste them!

My last long piece of the year for @BloombergNEF.
about.bnef.com/blog/liebreich…
Is Paris a metaphor for the state of global climate politics? Three years ago the Paris Agreement, committing the world to limiting global warming. Today, the Paris riots, triggered by increases in fuel tax designed to help deliver France’s climate goals.
about.bnef.com/blog/liebreich…
Lofty climate ideals, soaring rhetoric, ambitious targets – meet popular push-back!

Is that the message of Paris, or is the reality more complicated?

about.bnef.com/blog/liebreich…
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This is a really great question without a really concise answer. But I'll try to answer the best I can without getting overly technical.
The foundation of historical linguistics is the comparative method. You take languages that are thought to be related, look at their differences, and try to work out what their ancestor might have looked like.
A great example of this is Grimm's law, one of the best-known sound changes. Early linguists noted that words from Germanic languages often resembled words in Latin or Greek.
Read 22 tweets
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Question 12: The olympic committee have great standards on access of trans people to sport.
QUESTION 12: NO whilst it may help trans people feel able to access sport it will not actually change the ability of trans people without medical interventions being able to access competitive sport, there are already strict regulations on this which won't be affected.
QUESTION 13: NO. I am going to TOWN on this one. Access to single sex services is governed by the equality act and not the GRC so there will be no impact. Women are not currently asked to bring a birth certificate to refuges so this has no impact at all.
Read 18 tweets
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Great question, thanks for asking. Here are some great basic guidelines: myjewishlearning.com/article/how-to…. Don't bring food if you aren't comfortable with kosher laws--people have all sorts of levels of observance, easier not to worry about it. No flowers. 1/x short thread
A small donation to an appropriate charity in memory of the deceased is nice, but not required--the main thing about shiva is just showing up. Show up. Be present. Offer your condolences, but don't offer theological platitudes like, "they're in a better place now."
Give the mourner(s) space to both experience/grieve this death in their own way and make sense of it in their way. No one monolithic answer for all Jews, or all deaths, obvs. Feel free to make small talk with other people there, to take a nosh from the table if there's food out.
Read 6 tweets
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Great question.

Here was my own attempt at an answer, from July 2016: noahpinionblog.blogspot.com/2016/07/trump-…
Basically, Reaganite conservatism had three pillars:

Pillar 1: Laissez-faire economics (failed with the financial crisis and Bush tax cuts)

Pillar 2: Muscular internationalism (failed with Iraq)

Pillar 3: Evangelical traditionalism (failed with the gay marriage defeat)
When all three pillars of Reaganite conservatism failed in quick succession in the 2000s, the grassroots barbarians of Trumpian racism and xenophobia - who had usually occupied a back seat in the party - rushed in to occupy the void.
Read 3 tweets
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This is a great question, and I think the answer is in short that periods are often another way for men to refuse us the right to be individual and equally human, no matter what explanations we give. Our "moods" and valid emotions are made menstrual by default, for instance.
It becomes an easy way to deny us expression, because if you happen to be angry with someone but it is your period, then it is the period that is angry without cause. Dismissing women as angry - especially black women - is an easy way people use to invisibilise us further
Again the issue of "moods" implies that women should be generally easy to get along with, but men having clouds of impenetrable emotions rarely gets called moods, that's just being a man
Read 11 tweets
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Great question, Frederik! Thanks for asking! So... a few thoughts about outlining an arc of a comic book series... which is, in many ways, THE HARDEST PART OF THE WHOLE JOB for me!
Planning the initial story arc of a comic book series often feels like the toughest part of writing comics because in order to nail down that story, I have to nail down all the big things that make the series and character tick.
That initial story arc is a kind of mission statement, laying out the main character's big motivating dynamic, building the world, setting the genre and style, and establishing the supporting characters and villains. So it requires a ton of thought.
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