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Matt Batzel @MattBatzel
, 5 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Thread: Wisconsin Early Voting Analysis. Comparing 2018 Early Voting Numbers to 2016 Early Voting (easiest comparison). No Sign of BLUE Wave in Wisconsin yet. Statewide average is 31.5% of 2016 as of Oct 26, 2018 - Source is Wisconsin Elections Commission. #wiright #maga
1/5
Dem WI Strongholds seem to be at or below the statewide average of 31.5% (Walker 2014 % in parenthesis):
Dane County - 30.65% (below statewide average) (Walker 29.2%)
Milwaukee County- 31.52% (Walker 36.1%)
Rock County - 27.93% (Walker 42.8%)
2/5
Some WI GOP Strongholds are ABOVE statewide ave (Walker 2014 % in parenthesis):
Fond du Lac County -34.88% (Walker 64%)
Manitowoc County-36.09% (Walker 61.8%)
Marathon County-34.88% (Walker 61.2%)
Ozaukee County -38.99% (Walker 70%)
Sheboygan County -36.22% (Walker 62.9%)
3/5
Other Wisconsin GOP Strongholds are right AROUND statewide average of 31.5% (Walker 2014 % in parenthesis)
Brown County - 31.46% (Walker - 58.3%)
Waukesha County - 31.70% (Walker - 72.5%)
4/5
Conclusion: No evidence of a Blue Wave yet. I would expect to see MUCH higher numbers for Milwaukee & Dane if a Big Blue Wave was coming to Wisconsin. Caveats: Early Voting has changed to more availability in WI, & WI doesn't have party reg so no way to tell who is voting.
5/5
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