Profile picture
Staedtler
@Staedtler
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
What's not going to happen is May's deal. Twice with the political declaration, and once in the bare bones.
Her withdrawal agreement will never get through parliament.
Let's make a few decisions, then. we're not crashing anywhere. So we're going to ask for the long extension.
Which means we are now bound to have European elections.
Which means we're not going to leave.
It was a bit of an anticlimax, really, but I think we just saw Brexit die.

No withdrawal agreement, no leaving without one, staying for elections. All that's left is to admit publicly that Brexit has failed.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Staedtler
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Staedtler see all

Profile picture
Staedtler
@Staedtler
The Common market 2.0 is the one I don't like because it's just more of the same problem that got us here - a flat refusal to understand Europe.
Part of the Boles plan seems to be to join EFTA and then immediately try and rewrite the rules of EFTA to suit yourself.

This is the reason EFTA won't let you in - you'd unbalance it and start throwing your weight around trying to overturn everything.
Ha ha. Bercow has thrown out amendments A and B.

Good.
Read 3 tweets
Profile picture
Staedtler
@Staedtler
Aha. We have the amendments. Eight of them.

A (Baron) Unilateral exit from backstop

B (Baron) No deal exit in the absence of a withdrawal agreement

I'm already punting that Bercow refuses both of those because they're daft.
There are six sensible amendments

C: (Clarke) Customes union

D: (Boles) Common market 2.0

E: (Kyle) Confirmatory referendum

F: (Jones) Referendum before allowing no deal exit

G: (Cable) Parliamentary supremacy

H: (Eustice) EFTA / EEA
Of the six amendments, these three C, D and H don't deal with the withdrawal agreement.

G is mere political exhibitionism

So that leaves us E and F as the only plausible options, both of which ask for a confirmatory referendum, and the Kyle amendment with most credibility.
Read 5 tweets
Profile picture
Staedtler
@Staedtler
Good news!

"Oh God, not you again."

Good News!

The Tories are going to sack Theresa May and abandon Brexit. You'll even get a referendum for the pleasure.
A week on Friday we have to decide if we're doing European elections.

If we are, then we accept a long extension of a year.

If we are not, we leave a week on Friday with nothing. A raw Brexit.
No government is going to accept a raw Brexit with no deal. Never happen. Some would, the backbench incurables, but no government would do that, in spite of all the bravado.
Read 7 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
No-Swamp-Dwellers-Aloud
@RemoveTheSwamp
Make no mistake, the deep state is not done.They are never done. This was a serious blow to them.They knew @realDonaldTrump was not guilty of colluding with the Russians,but what they didn't realize,is he was not guilty of anything.He was actually squeaky clean. They are shocked!
The deep state thought, if they dug deep enough, they would surely find something. The more they dug, the more they kept digging. On the other side of that mirror, they only saw their own reflection of evil. They could not even come close to implicating the president. Amazing!
While the deep state was digging and digging, they actually started making huge mistakes. They were breaking the law left and right, to purposely frame and innocent man. That innocent man was not without resources and allies. This whole attempted coup is about to turn on them!
Read 8 tweets
Profile picture
Scott Wortley
@Scott_Wortley
The more I think about May's speech last night the angrier I get.
Her government has whipped to stop MPs having indicative votes.
Her red lines which determined the terms of withdrawal agreement were never debated by parliament but drawn up by her and a small coterie of advisers
To then try to set herself against parliament, encouraging a section of the public to view parliamentarians who are trying to do their job with contempt undermines our democratic process.
This follows attacks by the press supporting her, and by some MPs in her government and on the back benches (and who have not been disciplined) on the civil service, on judges, on "remainers". And now to set herself against parliament itself.
Read 5 tweets
Profile picture
Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Brexit's already having a massive impact on the UK, even ahead of our official departure from the EU. Here are 250+ fully-sourced examples of Brexit's effects. Jobs going, investment drying up, companies moving assets to the EU, or redomiciling. Project *fact* not project fear.
The Government has spent £4.2 billion pounds on Brexit preparations (£2.2 billion in previous Budgets, plus an additional £2 billion in the most recent Budget.) 1/254
gov.uk/government/new…
EU citizens will be obliged to register to stay in the UK after Brexit (deadline is June 2021). The registration system, which cost the Government £175 million, will have to cope with over 3,500,000 applications, or several thousand a day on average. 2/254
news.sky.com/story/eu-settl…
Read 257 tweets
Profile picture
Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
Joint Statement Juncker-May
“Juncker expressed his openness to add wording to the Political Declaration agreed by the EU27 and the UK in order to be more ambitious in terms of content and speed when it comes to the future relationship between the European Union and the UK”
“Add wording to political declaration” falls short of legally binding change to Withdrawal Agreement - but still shows some willingness to talk. Barclay and Barnier will meet on Monday...
Though the promise of another meeting by end of Feb - possibly at EU-Arab summit - will surely mean the Government will attempt to delay the real meaningful vote return beyond that, into March...

And then a rather controversial Withdrawal Agreement Bill to pass too before Mar 29
Read 3 tweets
Profile picture
James Crisp
@JamesCrisp6
Ok here is a steaming hot take on the exchange of letters offering assurances over the Irish border backstop. First impressions are that EU trying to help with talk of discuss “alternative arrangements “ ie tech solutions to Irish border, once dismissed as ‘magical thinking’
1/
In May’s letter to Tusk and Juncker, she reminds them she suggested a legal commitment to have future relationship talks end by 2021 at the latest.

Tusk and Juncker don’t mention this in their response. It aint going to happen, which we knew already.

2/
May asks for exploratory trade talks to start as soon as Withdrawal agreement is signed. She asks for "particular urgency' for tech solutions to border, wants EU to stress legal link between political declaration & WA
3/
Read 11 tweets
Profile picture
Adam Fleming
@adamfleming
The Article 50 case at the ECJ has begun. Lawyer for the British MSPs, MPs and MEPs arguing that requiring unanimity to revoke A50 would "ride roughshod" over EU principles, meaning a state could be forced out against its will if it changed its mind.
He ends his argument saying that parliamentarians need to know what options are available to them when they vote on Brexit.
Lawyer for @ChrisLeslieMP and @thomasbrake says another member state could block a possible revocation of A50 and "destroy" that country's rights, if it has to unanimous.
Read 21 tweets

Trending hashtags

#hike #newsnight #projectreality #PakatanHarapan #skypapers #Sunday #isupportbharathbandh #bbcbreakfast #neta #malaysia #Traffic #SAA #Kurds #article50 #bbcnews #bbcr4today #Few #Yeovil #goodmorningbritain #Afrin #victorialive #peston #bharatbadh #Oscars #itvnews
Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!