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@ani7709 Nagpur - BJP

Although there may not be lead as much as last time for BJP, BJP is in comfortable position to win this seat.

Nana Patole uplifted spirit of INC cadre as he fought against heavyweight minister Gadkari. Gadkari couldn't move out of Nagpur for a while in this phase.
@ani7709 Bhandara-Gondiya - BJP

A neck to neck contest. BJP put a good fight in by poll held previously. Due to Nana Patole moved to Nagpur to contest, BJP somewhat got a relief to make this seat workout.
Both BJP & NCP put fresh candidates. It is going to be a cadre vs cadre fight.
@ani7709 Gadchiroli-Chimur - BJP
No any other CM has visited Gadchiroli as much as Devendra Fadnavis did. Development work has put edge to BJP in this seat.
@ani7709 Chandrapur - BJP
Heavy weight minister Hansraj Ahir will be fighting against Suresh Dhanorkar who have jumped to INC from ShivSena.
Fight though looked to be neck to neck, Hasnraj Ahir's reputation, connection with public & every assembly, development work should put him through
@ani7709 Yavatmal-Washim - SS

A four corner fight between SS-INC-VBA-Prahar's candidate Vaishali Yede.

In fighting in ShivSena, a bit of upset in BJP's cadre has put this fight tough for Bhavana Gawli. Although VBA can spoil chance of INC on this seat.
@ani7709 Hingoli - INC

ShivSena's past candidate Subhash Wankhede jumped to INC due to no ticket offered as fresh candidate Hemant Patil to contest from SS.
Wankhede known for his reach & playing cards. How much INC's Satav puts effort will decide fate. INC seems to have edge
@ani7709 Nanded - INC

Heavy weight INC leader Ashok Chavan wanted to contest his wife but pressure of top leadership made him contest this seat, he was locked in Nanded for two phases.

ShivSena's Prataprao Chikhlikar will be fighting on BJPs ticket & has put good fight as much as 2014.
@ani7709 Parbhani - NCP

Highest anti incumbency noted on this seat. Rajesh Vitekar a reliable face put by NCP seems to be winning against ShivSena's many terms MP Sanjay Jadhav. Although how many votes VBA takes will be interesting to see!
@ani7709 Jalna - BJP

BJP Maharashtra's head Raosaheb Danve will be winning yet again. Just in time damage control seems to have worked for him as he made ShivSena's MLA Arjun Khotkar put differences aside.
@ani7709 Aurangabad - ShivSena

Four cornered fight has made this seat very interesting! SS vs MIM vs independent MLA Harshwardhan Jadhav vs Subhash Zambad.

At first glance, INC doesnt look in the contest neither Jadhav will be able to make it. Real fight is between MIM & ShivSena
@ani7709 Very high anti-incumbency against Chandrakant Khaire while MIM put solid efforts to unite Muslim & Dalit votes.

Some BJP leaders have worked for Jadhav.

Either ShivSena should win by 25k or MIM may make it by same margin.
Still insights looked like ShivSena has edge.
@ani7709 Dindori - BJP

BJP changed its incumbent MP to NCP's 2014 candidate Bharati Pawar. NCP has imported ShivSena's Dhanraj Mahale to contest.
How much Harishchandra Chavan reacts will decide fate of this seat.
@ani7709 Nashik - ShivSena

Nashik has a history that no MP has repeated ever. This time history will not repeated it seems. ShivSena's Hemant Godse should win Nashik consecutively.

Independent MP, Manikrao Kokate cutting votes of both parties. His large influence remain only in Sinnar.
@ani7709 Palghar - ShivSena

Palghar looks like major fight is between ShivSena vs Bahujan Vikas Aghadi (not to be mistaken with Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi)

SS has asked Rajendra Gavit who won by poll last time on BJPs ticket to contest.
BVA has lost its symbol whistle which is disadvantage
@ani7709 Bhiwandi - BJP

At one point INC had major advantage to win this seat.
However table turned after Vishwanath Patil INCs 2014 candidate lent his support to BJP, Kapil Patil apologized to ShivSainiks & Eknath Shinde personally keeping watch on this seat.
Also Kunbi Sena & Maratha sakal morcha has declared support to BJP/ShivSena in whole konkan belt.
Kalyan - ShivSena

ShivSena will win Kalyan handsdown.
Major fight is between Shrikant Shinde of SS- son of Eknath Shinde against Babaji Patil of NCP.
Thane - ShivSena

ShivSena will win Thane also handsdown. Rajan Vichare of ShivSena contesting against Anand Paranjpe of NCP. NCP noticed low voting percentage in Kalwa-Mumbra where they hoped to get major votes.
Mumbai North - BJP

Gopal Shetty will win seat against INC's Urmila Matondkar. Though Urmila ran nice campaign & created hype, lack of machinery & strong alternative made BJP win this seat easily.
Mumbai North West - ShivSena

Gajanan Kirtikar of SS will be fighting against Sanjay Nirupam of INC. Sanjay Nirupam jumped to this constituency at last minute. Sena will win this seat yet again.
Mumbai North East - BJP

Manoj Kotak will be fighting against Sanjay Dina Patil of NCP. In spite Kirit Somaiyya got ticket denied, Kirit Somaiyya have worked as much as he can to win this seat. Also ShivSainiks worked for BJP as candidate changed, earlier they opposed Somaiyya.
Mumbai North Central - BJP

Once upon a time, Congress looked ultra strong in this seat, now finding infighting & lack of machinery to take its voter to booth.
BJP campaigned well & systematically put its machinery to make Poonam Mahajan win against Priya Dutt.
Mumbai South Central - ShivSena

Rahul Shewale of ShivSena has good hold now on this seat while INC finding it slipping from its hand. Help of MLA Kalidas Kolambkar will also be added advantage.
On other hand Eknath Gaikwad of INC ran his campaign without noise & systematically.
Correction: NCP noticed low voting percentage in Kalwa-Mumbra where they hoped to get major votes in Kalyan & not Thane.
Mumbai South - ShivSena

ShivSena will win this seat as Worli, Shivdi & Malabar Hill voted higher compared to Congress stronghold Colaba, Mumbadevi & Byculla.
People have voted for Arvind Sawant for his network & good work done.
Congress yet again lacked necessary machinery.
Raigad - NCP

Anti incumbency against minister Anant Gite of ShivSena. Last time PWP & NCP fought independently, dummy candidate took votes of Sunil Tatkare.
This time they have allied, ShivSena took Antule's son in party although NCP looks like winning.
Maval - ShivSena

A high voltage battle which is looking neck to neck however, SS's Barne is local candidate while Parth Pawar - son of Ajit Pawar was announced almost month before election.
SS should get lead from Chinchwad, Maval & Karjat while NCP can get lead from Uran, Panvel. Pimpri has higher probability of NCP getting lead but neck to neck. PWP has supported NCP as much as they could.
Jagtap has worked for BJP even if not to full extent while many other NCP leaders have worked whole-heartly for NCP. In spite of that, when looked at insight ShivSena will win this seat. Chinchwad's ShivSenas margin may be much higher to break.
Pune - BJP

#Pune may have noticed drop in voting percentage by 4% compared to 2014, however due reason is Congress voter didn't step down enthusiastically as they used to be. Late candidate declaration has costed party dearly.
Girish Bapat should win against Mohan Joshi of INC by margin of more than 2 lacs. Shivaji Nagar, Parvati, Kothrud, Kasba will give almost one side margin while INC will eye to get margin in Cantonment & Vadgaon Sheri.
Baramati - NCP

Though BJP put it all to win this seat, late declaration of candidate, no Modi's rally will be disadvantage.

BJP's Kanchan Kool fighting against NCP's Supriya Sule. NCP will get lead from Baramati, Indapur while BJP to get lead from Khadakwasla & Daund.
Real battle of Baramati lies between Indapur & Bhor. Covering lead of Baramati looks a tough task.

However must mention that BJP's Kanchan Kool reached to almost everyone (in terms of she is contesting from BJP) in very short time, she is wife of RSP MLA Rahul Kool.
Shirur - ShivSena

Few months ago, Shirur looked a very safe seat but surprise entry of Amol Kolhe shaken grounds of Shirur. In this high voltage battle, Kolhe's popularity, media coverage, oratory skills have paid off.

ShivSena has advantage of its experienced machinery
ShivSena to get lead from Ambegaon, possibly from Bhosari & has also eyed for Khed. On other hand NCP is eyeing Junnar, Shirur, Khed & Hadapsar as well.

Hadapsar may go neck to neck.

Taking voter to booth will pay off & ShivSena may win this battle with low margin.
Ahmednagar - BJP

BJP changed its candidate to Sujay Vikhe - son of Balasaheb Vikhe while NCP fielded Sangram Jagtap - son in law of Shivaji Kardile (Kardile is BJP MLA).

Sujay Vikhe had started his preparation to contest Ahmednagar & started social work very well in advance
Vikhe had already took organized efforts however on other hand, Sangram Jagtap is local candidate that is benefiting him a lot.
In this high voltage battle, Vikhe looks like winning due to his own system & voter base + BJPs vote being added while NCP putting truly tough fight!
Shirdi - ShivSena

Balasaheb Vikhe is helping ShivSena candidate Sadashiv Lokhande win against INCs Bhausaheb Kamble. ShivSena has an edge on this seat
Beed - BJP

Most of the leaders of NCP have already joined BJP. Preetam Munde from BJP should win against NCPs Bajrang Sonawane.
BJP should win seat by good margin.
Osmanabad - NCP

Son of Padmasinha Patil - Ranajagjitsinha is fighting on NCPs ticket while Sena has not given ticket to its incumbent MP. Omraje Nimbalkar to fight from ShivSena son of Pavanraje Nimbalkar.
Pavanraje Nimbalkar was father of Omraje who alleged to be murdered by Padmasinha Patil. That sentiment is still within people & have sympathy for Pavanraje Nimbalkar while how much Ravindra Gaikwad co operates (ex mp of ss) & anti incumbency towards Sena will play crucial role.
Latur - BJP
Used to be bastion of Congress earlier however since 2004, Latur started noticing power of BJP.
BJP has won seats since 2004 except lost in 2009 by narrow margin.
Latur rail coach factory, drought help, reach of Sambhaji Nilangekar making BJP win. BJP will retain.
Solapur - BJP

There was very high anti incumbency against BJPs incumbent MP. His work & reach was not up to mark & people were in mood to make change.
Sudden entry of Prakash Ambedkar changed full election scenario. In 3 way contest , BJP is making it due to VBAs strong presence
Solapur City North, Akkalkot, Solapur South assemblies will give good lead to BJP while other constituencies will notice Congress & VBAs presence.
Madha - BJP

A true neck to neck fight where BJP will take lead in Malshiras, Maan & Phaltan on other hand NCP will take lead in Madha, Karmala, Sangola.
BJP has upper hand due to BJP put all resources, imported right persons, CM personally took this seat as a challenge
In Madha, BJP has fielded son of Hindurao Naik Nimbalkar - Ranjeetsinha Naik Nimbalkar. On other hand NCP has fielded Sanjaymama Shinde brother of Babanrao Shinde. Both have much high popularity in Madha & reach is tremendous in Malshiras & Madha assemblies.
Sangli- BJP

Vishal Patil of INC on ticket of Swabhimani Shetkari Sanghatana became a great combination on other hand VBAs Gopichand Padalkar was strong rebel of BJP.
BJP faced headache due to Padalkar cutting BJPs base voters. Although in this tough contest, BJP have edge
Satara - NCP

In 2014, NDA left this seat to RPI & it became a cakewalk for Chhatrapati Udayanraje Bhosale - a Chhatrapati legacy .

This time ShivSena fielded Narendra Patil - a legacy of Anna saheb Patil.

Udayanraje is very much popular across & reach of NCP is tremendous.
However, Udayanraje facing anti-incumbency due no up to the mark development. BJP has increased its own power while Sena has kept its previous voter share intact. Narendra Patil being leader of Mathadi, it is a very good alternative. Udayanraje also faced heat of own party MLAs.
Ratnagiri-Sindhudurg - ShivSena

major contest between Narayan Rane's son Nilesh on their own Maharashtra Swabhiman Paksha & Vinayak Raut of ShivSena. SS has presence over all assemblies while Swabhiman may struggle in Chiplun, Ratnagiri, Rajapur possibly in Sawantwadi too.
Kolhapur - ShivSena

Anti incumbency against incumbent MP Dhananjay Mahadik.
ex MLA Satej Patil took revenge by working for ShivSena this time, seemed to have turned table & a sympathy towards SS. NDA started its rally from Kolhapur & Sanjay Mandlik should win. Sena to open acc
Hatkanangle - Swabhimani Shetkari Sanghatna

Seemed to be a safe seat at first glance for Raju Shetty however ShivSena-BJP-Mane's own voter combined worked for Dhairyasheel Mane of SS. Anti incumbency towards Shetty on many points while Sugarcane farmers being Shettys asset.
It become a tough fight & low voting percentage in Islampur should bother Raju Shetty. In spite of that, Raju Shetty may get lead in Shirala, Shirol & Islampur. How Sena has taken its voter to booth is the key for their win.
We (me & @ani7709) are not professional analysts & can go wrong, however as per wind of politics, observations, previous experiences & opinions. We put #Maharashtra Seat Forecast:

BJP: 20-22
INC: 03-05
NCP: 05-08
ShivSena: 12-16
Others: 0-2

Feedback is of course welcome.
@ani7709 Facts that I believe :
Fights between ShivSena against NCP/INC are major toss ups. Could go either way!

SS, BJP both will be a double digits INC, NCP will be in single digits (not combined I am talking) #Maharashtra
@ani7709 Sena will not doom as it seemed or projected by some journalists, analysts. Could have been a soft target but Sena cadre & its loyal voter will make it all to go Sena beyond single digit. Ground work will pay off
@ani7709 BJP & ShivSena sweeping whole MMRDA region (Mumbai-Thane belt)!

NDA winning 10/10 seats includes 6 seats of Mumbai, Palghar, Bhiwandi, Thane, Kalyan.
@ani7709 Predicting some of my personal predictions of other states (pretty high level - birds eye):

In #Karnataka, BJP should same count as much as it got in 2014 or more than that but not below.

Looks like BJP will gain more seats in #Haryana than it gained in 2014.
@ani7709 BJP will certainly cross 50+ in #UttarPradesh

BJP double digit in #Odisha

BJP double digit in #WestBengal
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