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John Rentoul

@JohnRentoul

, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter

How long will Boris Johnson be PM? My sweepstake after 460 entries: mean 419
days, median 135, mode 0 docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAI…

There's also still time to enter the sweepstake on Johnson and Hunt's shares of the vote – average (mean & median) after 369 entries: Johnson 64% docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAI…

That sweepstake closes at 5pm tomorrow

Finally, I'm also running a sweepstake on who will occupy the 4 great offices of state next Sunday. State of play after 184 entries:
PM: Johnson 96%
Chancellor: Javid 56%
Foreign Sec: Hunt 48%
Home Sec: Gove 25%
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAI…

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Margin: 3x
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If 2% profit or loss is achieved, no further trades will be placed that day

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Alright y’all. You win.

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1/ Satoshi’s Vision™ is a silly endeavor, as it doesn’t matter what it was, we are where we are now. However, those pushing the “Bitcoin was first made for payments” narrative insist on cherry-picking sentences from the white paper and forum posts to champion their perspective.

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