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Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
@kevinhorourke
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
A genuine question. There seems to be a consensus that the talk of 30 days in Berlin last week has undermined Remainer hopes of moving against the Johnson government in early September (see for example the rather good article below).

thetimes.co.uk/article/boriss…
You would assume that this makes a no deal Brexit more likely.

And so the question is: were Merkel and Macron unaware that this might be the effect? Was this an unforced error on their part?
Or are they at the stage where they assume that a no deal Brexit is going to happen no matter what they say, and that at this stage the only consideration is to appear open and reasonable so as to ensure that the blame remains firmly pinned on Johnson?
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Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
@kevinhorourke
This point needs to be made more often inside the UK since it is crucial. The deadline for a deal is not October 17, it is well before that, since a legally binding treaty is needed by October 17, not some vague aspirational language.
The EU Council will presumably discuss Brexit, but this will be the 27 remaining members meeting as they have done before behind closed doors -- they certainly won't be negotiating with Johnson at the Council since it is Barnier who does that.
And what will the 27 be doing behind closed doors? Presumably deciding whether or not to approve any amended deal that has been agreed between HMG and Barnier *before* the Council. And they may also be discussing a common position to be adopted in the event of a no-Deal Brexit.
Read 4 tweets
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Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
@kevinhorourke
It's none of my business since I'm not British but I have to say this seems sensible to me, coming as it does from a party with a strong Remainer constituency. (I am guessing it will be widely mocked though.)
You surely can't remain in the EU without a referendum & there needs to be a sensible leave choice on the ballot. No deal is a very bad leave option for the UK that no responsible politician should advocate.
It'd even be bad for Leavers since it'd completely discredit their cause if it actually happened....thus making it more likely that the UK would eventually rejoin. If the UK even survived.
Read 12 tweets
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Kevin Hjortshøj O'Rourke
@kevinhorourke
I am not sure this will make the EU more anxious to keep the UK as a member...
The EU negotiates with governments; there has been a referendum and Article 50 has been triggered; it is under an obligation to negotiate in good faith with HMG to secure a sensible deal until such time as a no deal Brexit occurs, or HMG revokes Article 50.
(But the LibDems needn't fear, it really doesn't look as if there will be a deal before October 31, or indeed before a general election. Could be wrong about that of course!)
Read 3 tweets

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