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Trump is having a campaign rally in Rio Rancho, New Mexico. Quotes and fact checks in this thread.
Trump begins on a slightly unusual note, talking about "the eternal grace of almighty God." There is a protester. Trump says his usual thing about how the protester is going "home to mommy," then vows to win New Mexico.
As usual, Trump boasts of "thousands and thousands of people outside" who couldn't get in. Any reporters or other humans out there on scene, feel free to let me know.
"Crucially, for your state, we have ended the last administration's war on American energy," Trump says, then suggests he's the reason the US became #1 in oil and gas production, which happened under Obama in 2012. Here's a chart of oil and gas production in the Obama years. 
"We're independent. We're independent as we want. And we are now a net exporter of energy," Trump says, none of which is true. (The Energy Information Administration predicts the US will become a net exporter next year.)
Trump repeats his usual highly inaccurate description of the Green New Deal, saying, among other baseless things, that people will be limited to one car and not allowed to drive more than 162 miles.
Sir Alert: Trump says foreign leaders always come in and say, "Sir, I'd like to congratulate you on what you've done with the economy...a model for the entire world. They all say it."
"Can you believe how time is flying?" - Donald Trump
Trump says that he can't say this under the Me Too movement, but everyone is looking much better than they did three years ago, "including the men."
Trump boasts that he "didn't see any negative hand gesture" from onlookers during his motorcade ride from the airport. He says he thinks he really thinks he can win the state.
Trump mentions Hispanic Heritage Month, then asks people if they are Hispanic. He accurately boasts of the record low in Hispanic unemployment -- though, as with African Americans, it's worth noting the trendline.
Trump is exaggerating some statistics.
Trump is saying his usual things about how the wall is being built "fast" and how he is building "a lot" of it. Zero additional miles have been built during Trump's presidency; 60 miles of replacement barriers had been built. Trump has been arguing that this should count.
Trump, making a pitch to Hispanics, says that Hispanics "want the wall." National polling of Hispanics shows strong-majority opposition to the wall.
Trump repeats his false claim that North Carolina's Dan Bishop was down 17 points three weeks before his special election. No poll showed this. (The Trump campaign tweeted me some alleged poll that allegedly showed him down 14; it had no date, source, methodology or sample size.)
Trump repeats his false claim that North Carolina's Greg Murphy was up a mere "couple points" before the NC3 special election. Murphy was running in a district Trump won by 24; polls had him up double-digits.
Multi-Sir Sir Alert: Trump says his advisers told him not to help Dan Bishop, saying, "sir, don't get involved in that race, sir. You can't come back from 17 points, sir." Bishop was not down 17.
There were at least six sirs in that story. Even one sir is a red flag. A multi-sir story has a negative-percent chance of being true.
Trump calls Kavanaugh "a great, brilliant man" and blasts the New York Times for its "smear." He says the Times put out a "major apology"; it was an editors' note, not an apology. He notes that the woman at the center of the alleged Yale incident does not recall it.
Trump repeats his "$40 million" figure for the Mueller investigation. The final tab was $32 million, and the government is getting about $17 million from Paul Manafort as a result of his convictions.
"We got Choice for the vets. Choice. Everybody said it was impossible," Trump says of the program created in a Bernie Sanders-John McCain bill signed into law by Barack Obama in 2014.
Trump is adding to his Sir story about Mattis, saying Mattis told him, "Sir, we have very little ammunition." He says Mattis actually said it was "less" than "very little," then claims that Mattis actually said "We have very little slash NO ammunition."
Trump on Steve Cortes: "He happens to be Hispanic, but I've never quite figured it out, because he looks more like a WASP than I do, so I haven't figured that one out."
Trump then says "nobody loves the Hispanics more" than his supporter Steve Cortes. He then asks Cortes, "Who do you like more, the country or the Hispanics?" When Cortes apparently says "the country," Trump says, "I don't know."
Trump repeats his lie that China is having its worst economic year in 57 years, though he knows it's 27 years. He has decided to keep adding additional years; he's gone all the way up to 61 before pulling it back a bit.
"China is eating the tariffs...they're eating the tariffs." Americans are paying the tariffs.
Trump falsely claims that he has eliminated the estate tax. His tax law raised the threshold so that it applies to fewer people, but it has not been eliminated.
Trump keeps telling the story about his China-and-agriculture "conversation" with Ag Secretary Sonny Perdue in slightly but notably different ways that make clear either that this never happened or that he is not remembering it very well. (It has regularly involved a Sir, so)
Trump says he called Warren "Pocahontas" "too early," but don't worry, he's bringing it back.
Trump, touting the USMCA, again asks people to think of the song YMCA, which he quarter-sings for a second.
"Frankly, unions love it. Labor loves it," Trump says of the USMCA, which is generally opposed by the labor movement in its current form.
Trump on what the US has previously gotten from its economic relationship with China: "Unemployment, and losses, and some cheap pencils. More than we needed."
Trump tells his usual story about how "we" have better houses and make more money than the so-called Washington Elite. "Why are they elite," he complains, saying "I've always taken offense...I'm more elite than them." The crowd is pretty quiet for much of this.
Trump continues to explain why he is more elite than the elite, saying: "If we go by the old standards: better houses, better schools, made MUCH more money, lived better..."
Trump repeats his usual nonsense about how traffickers don't use ports of entry, only open stretches of border. Experts say a large percentage of victims are brought in through legal ports; 80% of international victims cross official border points. iom.int/news/iom-most-…
Trump says the Democrats are awarding a contract to build a "wall" around their convention site (I haven't seen this story myself), so they're hypocrites, and we should tell them it should be "open borders" for the DNC.
Trump boasts of evicting "MS-3" ("MS-Three") gang members with the help of ICE.
Trump says Democrats went from phony Russia attacks to phony race attacks. "Do you believe that one, race? I'm the least racist person in this room," Trump, who has said and done a bunch of racist stuff, says to some mild cheers.
At length, Trump rejects the idea that he could care about people staying at his hotel properties.
"They wanted a wall in San Diego. Good mayor in San Diego, by the way," Trump says of Republican Kevin Faulconer, who, like his city council, opposes the wall.
Very little of what Trump is saying is true.
"Your politicians have not been loyal to you. They've been loyal to themselves," Trump says.
Trump says that if ICE doesn't deport criminals from New Mexico, "I gotta tell you something, folks. You got problems. You got problems. You got big problems."
Trump says that he says "Democrat Party" not only because "Democratic Party" sounds nicer, and he doesn't want them to sound nice, but because "Democrat Party" is their actual name, which it is not.
Trump swats a fly. He says, "I'm not into flies or mosquitoes. I don't like snakes too much. We've got plenty of them in New York and Washington, a different variety."
"We will always protect patients with pre-existing conditions. The Republicans will always do that," Trump says as the Republicans and his administration try to get a court to declare Obamacare void without a plan to replace those pre-existing protections if they succeed.
Trump on negative media coverage from "phony" journalists: "You know, when you think of it: I'm president and they're not." There is a loud cheer.
Trump: "It's great calm in the Oval Office," though "you don't hear about it" -- "we have great calm."
Trump touts his investment in the military, his abandonment of the Iran deal, his recognition of Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights. He says he is standing up for America and New Mexico.
Trump falsely describes the flawed study about Google allegedly costing Trump up to 10 million votes in 2016, wrongly saying it was a "Google executive" who said this. It was a psychologist and researcher. cnn.com/2019/08/19/pol…
Trump is complaining of "phony polls" that showed him down to Buttigieg by two points in Texas. (Has anyone seen such a poll?)
Trump, in his usual newscaster voice, is recounting, in the third person, how "Donald Trump has WON" various states some said were supposed to be close in 2016, such as Texas and Utah. He baselessly alleges that polls are "suppression polls" designed to hurt him.
Trump promises to win New Mexico, says he'll be "so surprised" if he loses.
Trump returns to his lie about the Veterans Choice law created in 2014, saying this time, "They've tried to get that for 45 years. They haven't been able to get it. But I'm good at getting things." (He signed the VA MISSION Act, which modified and expanded the Choice program.)
Trump repeats his regular false claim that Venezuela was "one of the wealthiest countries in the world" 15 years ago, when it was 67th in the world in GDP per capita.
Trump repeats his regular promises to find cures for childhood cancer and end the AIDS epidemic in America within 10 years. "Will be gone within 10 years," he repeats.
Trump on his decision to weaken efficiency regulations for light bulbs: "I wanted incandescent light. I wanted to look better, OK? I wanted to pay less money to look better."
"Cars have so much junk on them now to save a tiny little fraction of gasoline," Trump complains.
Trump says energy-efficient cars are "made out of papier mache" and "weigh about three pounds," which is bad for crashes, because heavier is better: "When somebody hits me, I want to be in as close to an army tank as possible." He then calls himself an "environmentalist."
"America is thriving like never before, and ladies and gentlemen of the great state of New Mexico -- we love you -- the best is yet to come," Trump says, then closes with his standard "great again" lines.
